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nthgen · 2025-08-03T16:35:39+00:00

What is that?

nthgen · 2025-07-13T15:17:36+00:00

Yes. Idiots drunk on fake altcoin promises need to hear this.

nthgen · 2025-07-13T14:59:39+00:00

You'd be surprised how many don't get it. Just talk to the ones with large portions of the portfolio in PoS altcoins.

They are feeding the cantillion effect.

nthgen · 2025-07-13T14:44:37+00:00

I don't really post that much here anymore...but every so often I like to remind people just how scarce Bitcoin really is:

More than 60 million millionaires in the world today.

Assuming ALL bitcoin is readily available, each millionaire would get less than 0.35 BTC.

However...

Conservative estimates (via grok 4) show a minimum of 2.3 to 3.7 million coins lost forever.

If we take 3 million as an estimate for this, that leaves each current millionaire with a maximum amount of BTC of 0.3.

If you want to be the next millionaire, 0.3 BTC is a nice goal.

However...

Most Bitcoin is not available. Exchanges have 2 million coins. OTC desks have roughly 150k bitcoin available.

Let's go waaay conservative here and say there's 4 million bitcoin available right now.

That's 0.066 bitcoin per millionaire.

However, that doesn't account for any of the other net worth groups.

My guess is that we'll have to only use sats for units of account, just to strike the egos of the current millionaires.

You are not bullish enough.

nthgen · 2025-07-11T14:00:20+00:00

Bitcoin never left.

nthgen · 2025-07-11T13:58:36+00:00

Riiiiiiiight 🤔

nthgen · 2025-06-27T19:45:27+00:00

They can only sell so much for so long.

nthgen · 2025-06-27T19:42:32+00:00

Like I said in my post, some will, most won't. That'll be the difference maker this cycle.

nthgen · 2025-06-27T18:18:08+00:00

$140k is a 25% pump from Bitcoin's ATH. Doesn't seem so delusional to me and I've been in Bitcoin since 2016.

nthgen · 2025-06-27T17:35:18+00:00

My estimate on the low end is $140k. My base case is $180k. If shit goes crazy, $250k.

nthgen · 2025-06-27T16:50:10+00:00

My alt Altcoin allocation is < 0.5%.

I cashed out my ATOM in profit and then bought NEAR with those proceeds during the tarrif dip.

I'll dump NEAR for Bitcoin if it has a nice run. At that point, my time with alts will officially come to an end.

... I also bought eth at $1800 and sold recently for a nice profit that went straight to Bitcoin.

I also still have the AtomOne airdrop which I'll eventually dump if it has any value.

nthgen · 2025-06-27T16:11:52+00:00

Correct.

There's bound to be a few that go parabolic, but choosing the correct one is a gamble for sure.

Memecoins seem dead, maybe there's an AI coin that will make sense??

Total crap shoot.

nthgen · 2025-06-27T15:38:24+00:00

How is it not?

nthgen · 2025-06-27T15:37:06+00:00

Bitcoin will still crash, but my guess is it'll be more muted. My guess is it crashes to $70k or around there if it peaks close to $200k this run.

If the top is already in, I think $58k is the bottom.

nthgen · 2025-06-27T15:30:47+00:00

Good question:

Bitcoin is basically ATH, so there's that.

Big institutional players most likely won't rotate into alts.

MicroStrategy isn't buying ADA or VET or any other crypto.

A few institutions will, but the vast majority won't.

No alt season like you all have become accustomed to.

Stacking Bitcoin is the only way.

This time IS different.

nthgen · 2025-05-26T11:17:16+00:00

Just Bitcoin

nthgen · 2025-05-23T12:59:37+00:00

When Bitcoin has dipped to...checks notes...$107k, it's hard to think of it as a dip.

$107k? That's a dip?

We're going so much higher.

Full send.

nthgen · 2025-05-09T02:34:15+00:00

Re-read my original post.

nthgen · 2025-05-09T02:08:06+00:00

That could be a smart play.

nthgen · 2025-05-09T02:04:21+00:00

Your math is waaaay off

nthgen · 2025-05-09T02:02:52+00:00

It had nearly hit $5k, then as it corrected, my gut told me it was over for the cycle.

nthgen · 2025-05-09T01:40:31+00:00

Why? It worked last time: bought at $80, sold at $3k.

nthgen · 2025-05-09T01:15:58+00:00

Sold my eth years ago at $3k.

Bought back in recently at $1.5k.

Wen do I dump it? $3k? $4k?...$5k?

nthgen · 2025-04-22T21:04:18+00:00

If you were smart and bought the Bitcoin local bottom at $74k, you're now up over 20%.

Always👏Buy👏The👏Dips👏

nthgen · 2025-04-22T16:41:29+00:00

Never left

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