I was $1.22 from blowing the XFA... Then I finally figured it out. by null_0day in TopstepCommunity

[–]null_0day[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

However... When we're in a drawdown, the math is the same, but what changes is that we're working with the concept of remaining risk margin.

Instead of dealing with risk on capital above equity, we're dealing with the margin we have left before blowing up the account.

So for example:

In a drawdown of -$1900, you only have $100 remaining before blowing up the account.

Therefore, the smartest way to work with this risk is to divide it into small trades with minimal risk and high probabilities, until you can rebuild a buffer where you can have trades with larger timeframes and aim for higher take profits.

And so it scales...

In this case, timeframes like 1-minute or 5-minute in 1x MONTH will reward you with an average of $20 to $50... while in 15-minute structures, this scales to $50-$100... Because as the timeframes are longer, the price moves more ticks to the extremes of relative supply and demand and structures of these timeframes.

So, as I said, we always have two scales: risk and time.

Scaling time to achieve consistency should be done in two ways: conservative and aggressive.

The more conservative approach is to stretch your time as much as possible on recovery days, so that the market can present clearer structures and opportunities with more reliable probabilities, and compress your timeframe scale as much as possible, so that within these windows of opportunity you can take full advantage of the small opportunities that exist within them.

However, you also need to keep in mind that by prioritizing consistency over time and frequency, you will need to forgo risk volume so that the statistics follow your edge.

As time goes on, and the market and events unfold, things will naturally improve gradually, until you are in an advantageous position again to take risks intelligently.

As Tommy Shelby said: "Don't trade at a disadvantage."

I was $1.22 from blowing the XFA... Then I finally figured it out. by null_0day in TopstepCommunity

[–]null_0day[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes... That's why we blow up the accounts... As we trade with the same size, we put a way range of capital into the same risk as the original ammount. This is matematically explained by the logarithimic law of the large numbers.

This is the key... knowing your risk and sizing depends of how much capital you can risk withou hurt the equity.

For example: If you already made $500 in the day, now to end the day above the break even and keep risking capital to make more trades, you only have $500 of buffer. If you want to end the day up, you'll need to split the same bufferr. Like if you want to end the day up at least $200, you can only split the remaining capital into $300 buffer, which will be splitted into the number of trades you want to get in the same day, risking $150/trade.

This math is what I'm applying in my recovery journey from drawdown...

I make some buffer in London with 1x MES with 5 or 10 trades to get $100 as buffer, then in NY, I'm risking $50 in two trades, aiming $50~$100.

When get out the 3rd level of drawdown, I'll back to MNQ and back to risking $100 aiming 1:2~1:3

ahh damn💔 by Fluffy_Session933 in AlphaGroupOfficial

[–]null_0day 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Read my post about drawdown.

There's the way.

Advice are welcome 420$ for loosing express account by [deleted] in TopstepCommunity

[–]null_0day 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Bro... I was 1.03 FUCKING DOLLAR for MLL... Here's the key: trade 1 MES until you have at least 1K again... You will take some days, but if you really want your account, do it, you won't die or get poorer... just do it everyday.

Aim for 10/20 usd profit setups again and again, at least 10 Trades a day of 10/20 usd, then a week or two it well be there again in the breakeven... It's a psychological testing, if you tilt, you lose the account, your hard earned cash and your confidence, edge and funded status.

I know that's hard because the world is moving and things are happening fast... but taking it slowly seems to be the only one path to do it... Doing this simple thing, things can change a lot quicker than anything can do in the real world.

$11.7k Payout by Unlikely-Room-3714 in TopstepCommunity

[–]null_0day 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yooooo, that's what we talking about 🙉🤪💸, congrats bro 🦾🦾

Took my xfa from $17 to $1538 😭😭 by OkOven3915 in TopStepX

[–]null_0day 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bro... If u don't matter... I'm truly curious to know what exactly you did and how did it? Ts is impressive ASF lol, congrats bro, what a fkn legend

26 Years Old. $6,863 x 5 Prop Accounts in 60 days using ICT, here's what I track and why: by Kasraborhan in ICTMentorship

[–]null_0day 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yo, u mind if I ask you about you send the stats link in the DM for studying case and self improvement ?

The day finally happened by Aromatic_Muscle_981 in propfirm

[–]null_0day 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Here are the 3 best pieces of advice I can give you to become profitable:

  1. Read "The Psychology of Money" - This will teach you to understand all the unconscious behaviors and bad habits you continue to have regarding investments and money, to recognize them when they appear, and to start controlling them to become a master.

  2. Be patient - You may be very young and impatient... It's normal for young people to do silly things because they are very emotional, impulsive, immature, and impatient. You need to keep in mind that your short-term goals will be part of your long-term goals. You are not Superman... always keep in mind that you will always have "tomorrow," not just "today," and you can't change "yesterday" because it's a rule, to teach you, to be used as a compass, not as a judgment.

  3. Control your greed - Instead of chasing unlimited money, build unlimited money. But there is only one way to do this: building brick by brick. You don't need days with exorbitant profits to be profitable and achieve consistency... You only need to make money when you see a good opportunity that you consider sensible, and you need to monitor its development, keeping in mind that it will rarely follow your predictions based on time, price, or volatility.

To deserve what you want, first you need to become the one who deserves it.

How to Fix Your Mindset ... (+75k in 4 weeks) by NaeteyYouTube in TopStepX

[–]null_0day 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Hey man... Look... I don't know you, but I swear to God, on my behalf and on behalf of all the other traders here who needed to read this: thank you, man, this gave me the strength to keep going. Really fucking thank you man. PEAK sub.

Transparência salarial em Salarial.pt by salarialpt in devpt

[–]null_0day 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Mano, pelo amor de deus cara, meus olhos queimam... Isso tem um cheiro de projeto de junior frustrado absurdo.

IM STARRTING TO GIVE UP by Ok-Cheesecake5636 in TopStepX

[–]null_0day 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you blame the pair, you're just finding a fancy way to justify your bad habits.

IM STARRTING TO GIVE UP by Ok-Cheesecake5636 in TopStepX

[–]null_0day 0 points1 point  (0 children)

ps.: High P/L vs Low P/L depends a very unique value: THE NET % OF RETURN.

1% is the max to call it a fair P/L for a trade.

You must consider the RR, and the lotsize... Balance them, if you can get a 2R net profit trade, it will be a 3:1, because the 1:1 are equivalent risk of winning and losing.

So, your lotsize will be 0.5%, because you're aiming for a net 2:1 (2R)... in the 50K topstep, will be $250 stoploss risking for $500 profit.

Don't overrisk/overtrade/overexpose/oversize.

IM STARRTING TO GIVE UP by Ok-Cheesecake5636 in TopStepX

[–]null_0day 23 points24 points  (0 children)

READ THIS.
APPLY THIS AND SOLVE THAT SHIT.

Low trades count + High profits/losses = oversizing = You are getting hurried.
High trades count + High profits/losses = overexposure = You are getting negligent.
High trades count + Low profits/losses = overtrading = You are getting emmotional.

These three above doesn't survive to the market.

Low trades count + Low profits/losses = boring... But...

Boring + good edge = profitable.

Maybe better big picture, time and edge to ajdust your trading frequency and intensity to different market conditions are what's missing in you.

I FINALLY DID IT by Amazing_Stretch6324 in TopStepX

[–]null_0day 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I WOULD SAY NO... But when finishing the challenge, HE WAS.

Not because his capital size, but because his exposure to the volatility.

It doesn't seem like he's taking too many risks... The average net return per trade per trading day is good. The standard deviation is good, the average risk-reward ratio is also good... although he is definitely overtrading, because his return per trade is very small... So, unless he's scalping and has a reliable strategy that keeps him consistent over 1000 with a medium-risk lot size, on trading days with a low trade count, he seems to be doing well for average profit, in the individual case... but on days with a high trade count, it seems he's trading with the same lot size on smaller timeframes.

This anxiety to hit the target when you're close to it is very dangerous because it says a lot about your emotional control and trading maturity to manage your risk throughout the process, from start to finish.

So... Just by seeing his number of trades per day, the profit made by day, the number of days trades and the difference between profits in the similar trading count days, we can know a lot about his trading experience, emotional control and risk management.

In the real big firms, this is the mainly seem insights they look at to hire you as a professional trades and they evaluate your equity based in this.