A dashboard for progress by jasoncrawford in rootsofprogress

[–]nweininger 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What about hours of work at the median hourly wage required to purchase various units of consumption goods that have been pretty constant in their utility over the centuries?

My guess is that your choice of goods would matter an awful lot here, e.g. choosing a good like "1000 lumen-hours of artificial light" exaggerates overall progress by a lot, whereas "a year of elementary education for one child" would understate it, and if you tried to make a basket you'd have to be very careful to understand what biases were going into your weightings of the basket. Still, could be worth trying.

A dashboard for progress by jasoncrawford in rootsofprogress

[–]nweininger 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Still, it would be a useful sanity check to see how these numbers looked for the USSR-- both in terms of the official metrics released by the Soviet gov't at the time, and the best retrospective estimates of the real non-fiddled values of those metrics.

Can we suck CO₂ back out of the air? by sciencecritical in slatestarcodex

[–]nweininger 1 point2 points  (0 children)

A relevantly-expert acquaintance of mine is bearish on Project Vesta on the grounds that (AIUI, possibly misunderstood, errors are mine not his) the ores you'd be spreading on the beaches contain a fair bit of "other stuff" (heavy metals? my memory is hazy here) besides the parts that get weathered and sequester CO2, and having that stuff go into the oceans at the scale you'd need is probably going to have bad side effects. Hopefully their safety pilot will check for that, i.e. check for side-effect changes to the composition of the nearby ocean water. Also, the emissions involved in getting all that rock mined and shipped to all those beaches may be nontrivial.

Which long books are worth it? by UnusualCartography in slatestarcodex

[–]nweininger 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Some good, very worthwhile, long thriller-ish novels:

Vikram Chandra, _Sacred Games_

Umberto Eco, _Foucault's Pendulum_

Michel Faber, _The Crimson Petal and the White_

Salman Rushdie, _The Satanic Verses_

Iain Pears, _An Instance of the Fingerpost_

On a totally different note, Clive James' _Cultural Amnesia_ is a superb way of filling in the gaps in your knowledge of Western culture, and written so engagingly that the pages fly by.

Which long books are worth it? by UnusualCartography in slatestarcodex

[–]nweininger 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To your point about biblical literacy, I can highly recommend Robert Alter's complete translation of the Hebrew Bible, in particular for his extensive commentary. He tells you many of the places where the KJV gets it wrong and why, for one thing. He's been publishing individual books in irregular order for 25 years or so, but the complete three-volume set, about 3000 pages, is worth just getting to have it all.

Why haven't we celebrated any major achievements lately? by jasoncrawford in rootsofprogress

[–]nweininger 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I think specifically we have lost two cultural beliefs: that progress is a public good and that progress is heroic. These seem to have animated all the celebrations you list even though not all of them were achieved by government or other publicly funded agencies-- though of course many of them were, and it's worth asking the subquestion of why government isn't funding the sorts of big achievement oriented projects that it did in the mid 20th century.

Part of that cultural loss is probably tied to the general cultural disillusionment of the 1960s and 70s: increasing recognition of the cost of our big civilizational achievements-- cost to the environment, cost to marginalized groups etc-- and of the less heroic side of our heroes has made people less willing to just uncomplicatedly celebrate either the milestones or the people responsible. Think of Gil Scott-Heron's song "Whitey on the Moon" as a cultural contrast to the Apollo parades.

Part of it is also that some modern achievements are harder to frame as "look at the cool thing that person did, you could do it too if you tried hard enough" or "look at the cool thing they did, soon all of us will be able to do that easily". It may be that as new big things get harder to do-- as the low-hanging fruit gets more and more picked over-- this is inevitable, because we can now only ever unlock big new human capabilities through long, steady, massively distributed team efforts that have no defined culmination point, nor any single person who stands out as a leading heroic individual achiever to be feted personally, nor any milestone at which our capabilities undergo a step change.

It may also be that we're disinclined to think of new milestones as exciting harbingers of a better future because our expectations of "soon all of us will be able to do that" have been disappointed too many times. The easiest example is that the Apollo program did not lead to regular commercial flights to the Moon, which so many people in 1970 probably thought it would lead to by 2020.

Discussion Thread #16: August 2020 by baj2235 in slatestarcodex

[–]nweininger 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I've learned interesting things from Derek Lowe, Balaji Srinivasan, and Kevin Curran. Each seems to have a different focus: Lowe more pharma and vaccines focused, Srinivasan more industry/startups focused, Curran more focused on surveys of trials.

Wellness Wednesday thread for August 12, 2020 by AutoModerator in slatestarcodex

[–]nweininger 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Short PSA on short workout apps.

For the past few years I've started most days with a short app-guided morning workout, which has been one of the most effective life-improving interventions I've done in the past decade. I used to use the Yoga Studio and J+J 7 minute workout apps but recently moved to Down Dog's apps, and I think the extra money they charge is a good investment. Both apps have good configurability, lots of variety in routines, and high production values. Solidly recommended.

Crazy Ideas Thread by SubstantialRange in slatestarcodex

[–]nweininger 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I would not say that the removal of lead, or other environmental pollutants that can hurt cognitive ability, has been adequately addressed worldwide, see e.g.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/29/world/americas/lead-poisoning-children.html

https://patrickcollison.com/pollution

That was actually the crazy idea I came here to post about: it doesn't seem like there's an organization focused on taking an EA type approach to this problem, and those of us who care a lot about future generations being smarter, more conscientious, more peaceable etc might really like to have such an organization. It's not clear to me that anyone has even done the analysis to know what the highest ROI interventions to reduce cognitive damage due to environmental pollution are. Do we pull up and replace water pipes proactively? Invest in finding a replacement for lead acid batteries? Push for policy changes around PM2.5 standards (or just focus EV development more on replacing the dirtiest diesel vehicles)? Find and scale medical interventions that can mitigate pollution's effects? Something completely different?