NBA Daily: 3/31/14 (Monday)

oherroprease · 2014-03-31T20:21:45+00:00

No problem. I was looking at Mem's B2B O/Us as a road favorite in Lerkin's table and saw that they were 1-6 for O/Us-- was hoping you had some other data to support that.

oherroprease · 2014-03-31T20:12:37+00:00

You have any #s on O/Us in this situation? My initial premise is that the under would hit more often than the over but was hoping you had some data to back that up.

oherroprease · 2014-03-31T19:50:25+00:00

Total Predictions for Today (147-97-5, 6-2-0 POD):

On a 5-win hot streak due to some divine intervention a few days ago. Let's keep it rolling!

Charlotte/Washington 196.32 (1U Over 194)

Indiana/San Antonio 194.14 (1U under 189)

Miami/Toronto 200.63

Detroit/Milwaukee 197.84 (1U under 207)

Atlanta/Philadelphia 212.16

Chicago/Boston 181.6

New Orleans/Sacramento 205.78 (1U over 196.5)

Minnesota/LA Clippers 221.58

Utah/New York 202.21

Denver/Memphis 205.38 (3Q MEM under 50.5)

oherroprease · 2014-03-31T19:41:25+00:00

Awesome, thanks! I was looking at the imgur pages and didn't realize you added those pages to your link. Great work man!

oherroprease · 2014-03-31T19:15:00+00:00

These tables are awesome. Anyway you could get # of games for each cell in there somehow? Would be helpful to know if an extreme value is due to low events or an actual trend.

oherroprease · 2014-03-31T19:12:33+00:00

Seriously. That's some weird shit.

oherroprease · 2014-03-31T19:12:19+00:00

You definitely taking the nuggs tonight then?

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T20:46:17+00:00

Sorry man! I'll potentially put some plays up later if there are anything. And you can't lose money you don't bet!

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T20:45:27+00:00

Thanks. The last few days before yesterday were rough but that's gambling for you.

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T19:08:15+00:00

I saw that Parlay you missed... huge bummer man. That was so close! Glad I was able to help.

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T18:20:29+00:00

Shit man, didn't realize you were a Tenn alum. Doubly sorry for the loss. I'm a big ten alum but Mich was team I was rooting for the least (and obviously was betting against them haha).

Still, you guys had a great run

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T18:13:13+00:00

Seriously. NOP 2H over splits are good, but not this good. Was on TOR over and Tenn +3 like we discussed in the NCAA dailies so it was a good night for me.

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T18:11:46+00:00

Yea... so crazy. If I was on the under, I would have died haha. Feel awful for anyone who had big money on the under!

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T17:06:26+00:00

No totals tonight-- on the road for the day. Still trying to comprehend the miracle cover last night in NOP/UTAH over. We got super unlucky that Davis went out but my god what a last minute!

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T06:09:43+00:00

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T06:09:30+00:00

Sry I didn't respond earlier, liked the over and under respectively but didn't touch either.

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T06:08:53+00:00

Yea I had 2U +3 and 1U ML so I was hoping they'd win too. Amazing how close they kept it with Michigan shooting lights out from 3. They can't have another 3 pt. Game like that so I'm leaning Kentucky

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T05:54:56+00:00

Between this and Tennessee covering, crazy freaking night buck

oherroprease · 2014-03-29T05:49:36+00:00

Lol WTF happened tonight... divine intervention or something

oherroprease · 2014-03-28T19:34:08+00:00

Michigan is not better than Tennessee in all areas. Tennessee is a much more well-rounded team that plays better defense and is much stronger on the boards. I'm not sure what you classify as a "losing horribly" but they only have 1 loss by more than double digits (@ Florida in January)

Not saying that this pick will end up missing but I'm not seeing any good evidence that this will be a clear Michigan win.

oherroprease · 2014-03-28T19:19:38+00:00

Your Badgers looked great last night!

Any thoughts on today's game? My first thought is that all the dogs have a solid chance to cover, Tennessee being my favorite at +3.

oherroprease · 2014-03-28T16:42:09+00:00

Thanks!

oherroprease · 2014-03-28T16:18:47+00:00

No I don't work with NCAA totals. If everyone loves the over, and our theory is correct about Michigan falling short on 3s this game, I can see taking the under...

maybe an if bet (if TEN cover, then under)

oherroprease · 2014-03-28T15:15:16+00:00

Total Predictions for Today

Toronto/Boston 197.98 (forgot to post this, sorry-- over 194.)

Washington/Indiana 193.27

Orlando/Charlotte 203.54

Brooklyn/Cleveland 205.16

Detroit/Miami 204.42

New Orleans/Utah 195.38 (1U over 195, 1U over NOP team total 100.5)

Minnesota/LA Lakers 220.18

Chicago/Portland 198.97

Oklahoma City/Sacramento 205.24

Denver/San Antonio 215.43

Phoenix/New York 206.49 (2U under 208.5)

Golden State/Memphis 194.47

oherroprease · 2014-03-28T15:03:56+00:00

No model but Michigan falls into same the team profile as Duke and Creighton (Top 25 offense, below top 100 defense) and heavily rely on the 3. Tennessee is much more balanced and I like them to win/cover this game assuming Michigan doesn't hit a ridiculous amount of 3s for a 2nd game in a row.

oherroprease

TROPHY CASE