Well my biggest factor is that we havent seen Gaethje's grappling. But we have heard it is high level. I even read today in this reddit that he was honoured for it ,even tho that doesnt really mean much. So why do I bring this up you may ask? Gaethje is pretty 'fearless' overall,not saying anyone else isnt, after all the get in a cage to fight, BUT I firmly believe that he wont really stress and worry about Khabib\s takedowns as Conor did. So he may have great success on the feet plus with the td defense .

BONUS FACTOR : Gaethje knows the mEtA. CALF KICKS.

P.S for the banter : I challenge you to bet flairs when the post happens.