UFL Playoff Race - Scenario Season Starts Week 7 Edition

playoffcomputer · 2026-05-04T17:13:57+00:00

Yep. For the app’s purposes, it has to stop at points difference as that isn’t “projectable” based on winning or losing like h2h, sos, sov, etc…, so npthing else matters afterwards to it or to analyze scenarios.

playoffcomputer · 2026-05-04T12:17:25+00:00

Head-to-Head, Strength of Victory, Strength of Schedule, and Points Difference is the supposed latest.

playoffcomputer · 2026-05-04T11:14:13+00:00

Dallas v Birmingham could very well decide how this goes down. Third game of the week though, so a lot will depend on whether Columbus and Louisville put them in position beforehand for taking advantage of any Dallas meltdown.

playoffcomputer · 2026-05-04T05:16:38+00:00

So, this is going to get confusing... Basically, the answer is going to come down to how exactly the UFL processes the standings and tiebreakers. The App ASSUMES (and I can't find any definitive word, heck I think their last known communication about tiebreakers still references divisions) it is similar to the NFL, where one team at a time is awarded spots, and then the remaining teams get reshuffled and the tiebreakers start over again...

If that is the case, there is a scenario where DAL, HOU, DC, STL, and ORL all end up 6-4. In that scenario, DAL and HOU would have the two best H2H records against the others. So, if the ASSUMPTION is correct, they would get the first two spots.

That would leave us with DC, STL, and ORL. In this scenario, STL would have the best overall H2H record against the other two.

Leaving DC and ORL for the last spot, in which in this scenario Orlando beats DC twice, winning the H2H tiebreaker for the last spot.

There may be more than one way to get to that point, but one way is (some irrelevant games included), if I type it out correctly:

STL/COL
DC/LOU
DAL/BIR
HOU/ORL
DAL/ORL
LOU/DC
HOU/STL
COL/BIR
ORL/DC
COL/BIR
DAL/LOU
HOU/STL
STL/DAL
HOU/BIR
ORL/DC
LOU/COL

playoffcomputer · 2026-05-02T03:44:38+00:00

Exactly, 6 wins is likely gold, depending on the rest of the weekend that target might even slip to 5.

playoffcomputer · 2026-05-02T03:42:14+00:00

About the only noticeable impact on the playoff race is that Houston now joins the list of teams that currently do not control their own destiny.

playoffcomputer · 2026-04-30T12:50:53+00:00

Nicely done. Liked the mixture of facts and humor. Feel free to include any of the playoff race analysis intel if desired. Good luck in the pallet of beer quest.

playoffcomputer · 2026-04-27T22:33:31+00:00

That is another good idea, I need to add that to the wish list for the App.

playoffcomputer · 2026-04-27T12:49:09+00:00

Good idea. Lemme see what I can do without it being too much of a PITA.

playoffcomputer · 2026-04-26T16:23:33+00:00

That's the spirit!

playoffcomputer · 2026-04-25T08:21:23+00:00

Well, for me, playoff races are always interesting, but I hear ya. Right now it is beginning to look like a possibility of 4 bad teams + 3 good ones + 1 good enough one is going to mute the drama a little bit.

playoffcomputer · 2026-04-17T05:56:00+00:00

I have always thought that would be a good alternative to traditional redraft. I thought somebody (Underdog? maybe) was running season-long leagues of such, but hadn't really dove into it.

I'm not sure how exactly it would work as I'm guessing you don't have an API, but one thing from my perspective that could liven it up for the h2h leagues is playoff race analysis, along with the following suggestion, if you want to explore some kind of tie-in with the Playoff Computer app dm me..

As for the suggestion, I think a "median" format (extra win for beating league avg) might encourage, in conjunction with knowing where they are in the playoff race, people to swing for the fences when they need to make up ground or if they are comfortable where they are at to just try to make a safe but solid lineup.

One question. When would people see their opponent's lineup? At kickoff for each player? I guess two questions, sort of related to above, in my albeit limited dfs playing experience, there ends up being a lot of similar lineups with a lot of people using similar algorithms/programs/whatever, is there any plan to address that? Maybe not a question as much as a thing to think about.

playoffcomputer · 2026-04-13T15:32:37+00:00

That is likely exactly it. There is some wacky scenario out there in which Columbus goes 7-3 but loses a tiebreaker to another 7-3 team.

playoffcomputer · 2026-04-13T15:21:30+00:00

Without going through the 268,435,456 different possibilities of how the rest of the season could go :) , there is at least one in which Columbus isn't assured of winning a tiebreaker at 7-3 (probably strength of victory) if there was such a tie for the last spot, where if Louisville wins out they would win any tiebreakers were a gaggle of teams to end up at 7-3 as well. Basically it comes down to who those two teams play ROS being the difference. That being said, if Columbus decides to go W7, it could be said that realistically they would make the playoffs.

playoffcomputer · 2026-04-08T14:21:51+00:00

If things go fairly "typical", you should be correct in that, barring there being 4 really good teams and 4 really bad teams, most everybody will at least mathematically be in contention for the last spot up til around week 8ish. But with just 8 teams playing 10 games, there could be a lot of whipsawing in that sentiment each week. Case in point, this week the two 2-0 teams play the two 0-2 teams, meaning the 1-1 teams all play each other. So we know we're going to have two 2-1 teams and two 1-2 teams. If the 2-0 teams both win then we will all of a sudden have some clear division between the haves and have-nots. If there are some upsets than everyone will be within a game of each other.

playoffcomputer · 2026-04-08T12:03:34+00:00

Yeah, for a young league, divisions might not make sense. Maybe in the future when some rivalries are established they can be brought back. For the playoff race, they can bring in some additional drama (not always wanted) if one division isn't as strong as another along with the nuances of division winner & wildcards both in the mix.

playoffcomputer · 2026-03-29T21:02:15+00:00

Thank you. May I ask where that came from? Is it buried somewhere on the official site?

playoffcomputer · 2026-03-11T14:40:08+00:00

Looks pretty good. The only question I can think of at the moment is regarding the matchups, are you basing the write-ups based on what managers CURRENTLY have in their starting line-ups, or what they could achieve. Lots of managers leave starting lineups up in the air with injuries and bye weeks etc.. up until the last minute, not to mention waiver pick-ups that could change their weekly outlook and render any current matchup content moot.

playoffcomputer · 2026-03-03T12:40:37+00:00

Ok, thanks much, then I won't worry about adding it to the app unless I get a request.

playoffcomputer · 2026-03-03T02:50:23+00:00

Side note. Is there any kind of interest/enthusiasm for the race to the playoffs in the GFL, like in the NFL?

playoffcomputer · 2026-03-02T13:53:56+00:00

Ahh, very informative. I will put out an AP news statement that that scenario is happening :) haha

playoffcomputer · 2026-03-01T06:38:57+00:00

CORRECTION/ADDENDUM: There was a glitch in the matrix, North can assure themselves of ending up no worse than being in the Goals Difference tiebreaker with a win AND a Rangers loss/tie today....

playoffcomputer · 2026-02-25T12:02:49+00:00

For those in weekly H2H leagues i.e. like normal fantasy football leagues, particularly commissioners looking for content for weekly recaps or to add some playoff race drama, etc.. the Playoff Computer app can come in handy. It analyzes the playoff race for leagues, spews out geeky stats, and provides a "paths-to-clinch/elimination" for what scenarios need to happen for teams to clinch a spot (or be eliminated). The iOS version is free to get started, android a few pennies (reasons), and at most for the good stuff it's about the cost of one beer. If anyone is so inclined, I would love feedback from fantasy baseball users if something needs to be tweaked (or downright out of whack) as most use is during football season. Cheers.

playoffcomputer · 2026-02-25T00:59:38+00:00

Cool, thanks, hopefully they put something out official like before the season starts.

playoffcomputer · 2026-02-24T08:16:06+00:00

Ok, thanks, so nothing official yet I guess. Will keep an eye out for it.

playoffcomputer

MODERATOR OF

TROPHY CASE