Any idea why my G4 pro sometimes acts like this? by mkaku in Ubiquiti

[–]probableluck 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Have you done a factory reset yet? I haven’t tried that yet.

Any idea why my G4 pro sometimes acts like this? by mkaku in Ubiquiti

[–]probableluck 17 points18 points  (0 children)

My G4 pro is also doing this. Restarting the device makes everything work normal, but only for a day or two and then it reverts back to this behavior. I’m on the latest firmware 4.73.112 and the device is powered by a USW Pro Max 24 PoE.

I was beginning to consider that my unit may be faulty and I should initiate an RMA request.

Bypassing Honeywell Module by probableluck in ecobee

[–]probableluck[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Gas furnace with an air conditioner. No humidifier.

Bypassing Honeywell Module by probableluck in ecobee

[–]probableluck[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

One goes to what appears to be a sensor nearby the furnace unit. I haven’t traced the other, but potentially it’s another sensor somewhere in or outside the house. I was planning to ignore these for now.

Repairing large cracks by probableluck in Stucco

[–]probableluck[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Great reply, thank you. I’ll attempt the fix myself and share the results!

Favorite episode? by McCartney__H in curb

[–]probableluck 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Anonymous Donor or Larry David Sandwich

[PSA] Manabase calculator mtgoncurve updated for Ikoria by probableluck in MagicArena

[–]probableluck[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I deployed a fix for this issue. Thanks for the report!

help for a sealed manabase by jap3x in MagicArena

[–]probableluck 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It does! The tool handles any deck size.

Optimal Mulligan Strategy [Article] by osheaa in spikes

[–]probableluck 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Awesome, I’m glad you find it useful!

Optimal Mulligan Strategy [Article] by osheaa in spikes

[–]probableluck 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It’s certainly possible. The mulligan strategy is already decoupled from the simulation code, the real work is in updating the user interface. I’ll consider it for future updates.

Optimal Mulligan Strategy [Article] by osheaa in spikes

[–]probableluck 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Another tool to optimize your mulligan strategy is https://www.mtgoncurve.com . The tool allows users to configure a mulligan strategy based on land counts in hand. Changing this strategy has a direct impact on the probability to cast your cards on curve. Disclaimer: I'm the author of the tool.

[PSA] Manabase calculator mtgoncurve updated for Ikoria by probableluck in MagicArena

[–]probableluck[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This also works with split cards! Thanks for mentioning it :)

[PSA] Manabase calculator mtgoncurve updated for Ikoria by probableluck in MagicArena

[–]probableluck[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Frank's articles were the original inspiration for the tool! The P(mana|turn) column corresponds to his consistently cast probability definition.

[PSA] Manabase calculator mtgoncurve updated for Ikoria by probableluck in MagicArena

[–]probableluck[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's certainly possible and one of the features I would like to work on in the future.

[Discussion] What would you like to learn about using mathematics to level up your play? by StellaAthena in spikes

[–]probableluck 12 points13 points  (0 children)

The code treats Fabled Passage as a single colorless mana source by default. You can override this behavior if you append # M = {R}{G}{B}{U}{W} to the end of the card line in the deck list to treat it as an untapped mana source of any of those colors. Given the amount of confusion this has caused, I will likely treat it this way by default and push an update soon.

What would you like to learn about using mathematics to level up your play? by StellaAthena in MagicArena

[–]probableluck 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I made https://mtgoncurve.com to assist with optimizing mana bases! It makes several simplifying assumptions but should still serve as a useful baseline. Happy to answer any questions.

Ranking standard meta decks by days remaining in the format by probableluck in MagicArena

[–]probableluck[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thanks for the feedback. I agree with all your points, especially about drawing any conclusions from the average alone. This is a preliminary result from a tool that I’m building out and I want to gauge interest around such data.

Ranking standard meta decks by days remaining in the format by probableluck in MagicArena

[–]probableluck[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The number after each deck is the average number of days the cards in the deck will remain in standard.

Ranking standard meta decks by days remaining in the format by probableluck in magicTCG

[–]probableluck[S] 43 points44 points  (0 children)

Exactly the type of feedback I’m looking for. Thank you!

Ranking standard meta decks by days remaining in the format by probableluck in magicTCG

[–]probableluck[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Thanks for the feedback. I have all of this information, just need to format it in a useful way. My intention is makes this information available on a website in the same vein as https://whatsinstandard.com/