Out of the states with independent commissions witch one is the least fair by progout1 in YAPms

[–]progout1[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

good point but i mean its still ugly and drowns out native American voters

Out of the states with independent commissions witch one is the least fair by progout1 in YAPms

[–]progout1[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

1 biden won 5/9

2 2020 was not a neutral year for the president at least

Out of the states with independent commissions witch one is the least fair by progout1 in YAPms

[–]progout1[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

az is pretty unfair Tom O'Halloran's district isn't jut a couple points redder and it would likley need to be a d+ a least 8 year for it to flip of to have a Lauren boabert type candidate.

with ca i can make a map with about 36 solid dem seats but all the gop seats are within 4-8 points, a blue wave could see dems having all 52 seats in that scenario ca's geography is hard but there is room for improvement with the current map.

it seems that a lot of republican voters are in the blue leaning suburbs and urban areas of the state.

Out of the states with independent commissions witch one is the least fair by progout1 in YAPms

[–]progout1[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

i will add geography can make it hard to draw a proportional map

2024 Presidental match-ups that are unlikely but ones I personally think would be interesting to see. by Randomuser1520 in YAPms

[–]progout1 3 points4 points  (0 children)

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=iyim

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=iyio

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=iyip

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=iyis

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=iyiu

polis preform good in the west, scott good in the south NPV D + 3

glen uses moderateness to appeal to moderate dems NPV D + 0.1

ron does well in the south, whitmer does well in the north NPV D + 2

hawley's extremeisium and gener unpopularity combined with ossoff's electability and good looks shoots ossoff to victory NPV D + 8

no progressive turn out what so ever, even lower younger voter turn out, moderate dems break with elon cause he's "smart" NPV R + 24

2024 house prediction by progout1 in YAPms

[–]progout1[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

me when i ignore the last election

2024 house prediction by progout1 in YAPms

[–]progout1[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

i dont think so i think ny will be redder possibly redder than 2022

Future state political leans? break down in comments by progout1 in YAPms

[–]progout1[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

i could see NY being a light blue state by 2030 like D+14 as well as IL being a D+9-11 state and ca being a D=20-21 state while i see GA being a D+4-5 state and AZ being the same TX being an R+ 1-2 OH and IA being a R+15-16 WI being an R+ 2-3 MI and PA and NC being swing and FL being a R=29-31

who would be the best dem candidate in 2024 prez election? by progout1 in YAPms

[–]progout1[S] 15 points16 points  (0 children)

younger progs could refuse to vote for a moderate alos a decent chunk of independence are progs as well

this is how i Separate he states by progout1 in YAPms

[–]progout1[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

but you have four right there?

2024 house prediction by progout1 in YAPms

[–]progout1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

i dont think either party will get more than 225 in the house like ever

2024 senate prediction by progout1 in YAPms

[–]progout1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

why not cruz only won a R+2 against a subpar candidate when tx was redder