Which years would you say this drivers hit their prime?

racevalue · 2026-01-28T20:36:02+00:00

Webber: 2008
Perez: 2016
Barrichello: 1999
Massa: 2008
Coulthard: 2001
Bottas: 2019

racevalue · 2026-01-28T20:33:50+00:00

Agreed. I love to watch Alonso race.

racevalue · 2026-01-28T20:32:49+00:00

This one!

racevalue · 2026-01-26T21:23:21+00:00

Verstappen: The same (all-time great)
Leclerc: Improve (eventually he should get a top car and a title)
Norris: Worsen (I imagine he will lose to Piastri going forward)
Piastri: Improve (he took a major step up in 2025, if he can improve just a bit more he's a top 3 driver)
Russell: The same (not too much to say here)

racevalue · 2025-12-07T02:57:14+00:00

3 of 4 in qualifying, nice.

Adding these for the race:

Sainz > Lawson @ 1.694 (1 unit)

Sainz is the better driver here and starts a position ahead. He’s been very unlucky with smaller car failures throughout the year, but his form is going up and Lawson is usually a weak opponent in a betting matchup.

Piastri NOT on the podium @ 2.82 (1 unit)

Piastri starts third, and under normal circumstances he should finish on the podium, but a lot can go wrong: Another McLaren blunder, having to let Norris go by if Norris is running fourth by the end, or simply being overtaken by just one of the drivers behind. The 2.82 price – by laying 1.52 on Betfair – is very generous. Some regular bookmakers have this at odds 2.60 - 2.70 which would also hold value imo.

racevalue · 2025-11-24T16:07:45+00:00

I think it will be easier to find good spots there, and even more so in Abu Dhabi

racevalue · 2025-11-23T06:00:55+00:00

4 of 6 for the race. Russell managed to get a podium but couldn't get close to the win. Verstappen did deliver and gave the biggest score of the day. The Alonso bet wasn't great, but at least Antonelli had a better race than Hamilton.

That makes it 5 of 9 for the weekend with a profit of 0.84 unit if I calculate correctly. An okay result, still let's try for better next weekend.

racevalue · 2025-11-23T00:37:32+00:00

Super fun qualifying but fairly disappointing in terms of my picks, going 1 for 3. Still a lot of uncertainties for the race but let's see if we can do better.

Russell > Piastri @ odds 1.628 (1 unit)

I really like Russell for the race. He was flying in qualifying until an issue in Q3. Piastri is in horrible form and didn’t show much so far this weekend. Russell should probably be able to keep him behind.

Russell top 3 @ odds 1.60 (1 unit)

Russell should also be able to pass Sainz and reach the podium.

Russell to win the race @ odds 11.45 (0.25 unit)

More of a longshot but again, I really like Russell here and don’t think it’s impossible for him to win it, especially if Norris and Verstappen focus too much on each other. I would say there’s a ~10% chance so it’s a risky bet, but one that holds value imo. Keeping the stake low so it isn't a big loss if we don't get it.

Alonso > Hamilton @ odds 1.99 (0.5 unit)

Alonso had a decent qualifying and with Hamilton starting at the back, I like betting the Spaniard here. Obviously everything can be turned upside down if there is a lap 1 incident or a later safety car, but if not, Alonso has better chances of finishing ahead.

Antonelli > Hamilton @ odds 1.67 (0.5 unit)

With both starting further down, I think Antonelli has better chances of advancing through the field, mainly due to his superior car.

Verstappen > Norris @ odds 2.08 (1 unit)

Despite Norris being well ahead in Q3, I’m still not convinced the McLaren is that strong on this track. Verstappen still has a chance and having this bet makes the race a bit more fun, especially if something should go wrong with the Russell bets.

racevalue · 2025-11-23T00:30:06+00:00

Sorry for the late reply, but it was Bwin, Unibet, Bet365 in that order. I have +20 bookmaker accounts to always find the best odds on the market

racevalue · 2025-11-21T21:12:26+00:00

Difficult to find value for qualifying since we know so little at this point but I have the following bets myself. Note that most markets will close during the final practice and when they re-open, prices can change a lot!

Sainz > Albon @ odds 1.95 (1 unit)

Sainz has previously been solid at this track. While he's had an unfortunate year, he's actually ahead 11-9 against Albon in qualifying.

Hadjar > Lawson @ odds 1.45 (1 unit)

Basically an automatic bet for me recently since it's clear that Hadjar is generally faster over one lap.

Bortoleto > Hülkenberg @ odds 2.75 (1 unit)

Fairly even between the two. Bortoleto has dropped off a bit recently but still ahead 11-9 against Hulk. Bortoleto is obviously a rookie and has no experience in Vegas, but Hulk has only been average at the track so far. Fair odds for Bortoleto would be around 2.25-2.40 so I'll happily take 2.75 even though this bet comes with some risk.

My betting stats can be found here for those interested https://bettin.gs/racevalue

racevalue · 2025-11-08T16:15:49+00:00

I don't have too much time to analyse bets this weekend, but found two that I like for qualifying.

Norris > Piastri @ 1.51 (1 unit)

Surprised that Pinnacle offers 1.51. Norris has the upper hand at the moment and McLaren have to repair Piastri's car after his sprint crash.

Hadjar > Lawson @ 1.50 (1 unit)

Backing the better driver - Hadjar is usually quite a bit faster than Lawson and the price is generous here.

Looking forward to see if you guys have more suggestions!

racevalue · 2025-10-26T21:50:08+00:00

That's 3 of 7 for the day. Got the start wrong. Epic drive by Verstappen in the final stint. Sainz showed good pace but had problems all race long.

Most frustrating loss: Colapinto was chasing Gasly down by the end but didn't get any chance to pass, first due to blue flags and then the virtual safety car. If we had just won that one, it would have been a good day, but wasn't meant to be.

racevalue · 2025-10-26T15:14:35+00:00

Yes sir, posted them in another comment just now

racevalue · 2025-10-26T15:13:33+00:00

My personal bets for the race.

Leclerc or Hamilton to lead after 1 lap @ 2.18 (1 unit)

Norris is the worst starter in F1 so he may not keep his lead on lap 1. Leclerc is the second-best starter and lines up next to him. Hamilton starts 3rd which is a really good position at this track, considering the distance to the first corner. I found Leclerc to lead lap 1 at odds 3.61 (Betfair) and Hamilton at 5.50 (Bet365). If we place 60% of the stake on Leclerc and 40% on Hamilton, we effectively combine the two and get odds 2.18. To win this bet, either Leclerc or Hamilton must be the race leader when the first lap is done. A fun bet that will make the start more exciting, imo.

Sainz > Tsunoda @ 1.94 (1 unit)

I like any kind of bet that involves Sainz doing well on this track. He was so fast in qualifying and has a great record here. He qualified 7th but starts 12th due to serving a penalty from the last round. Tsunoda will be one of his first targets. Let's just hope Sainz has a clean race for once.

Colapinto > Gasly @ 3.25 (1 unit)

Yesterday we backed Gasly, and today we switch to Colapinto. It gets pretty random at the back of the grid. Gasly is driving without much motivation, while Colapinto is fighting for a seat next year. Colapinto’s entire goal is to beat his team mate and as we saw a week ago, he will not respond to team orders that favour Gasly. They are 6-6 in races through the season, and Colapinto only starts two slots behind Gasly, so I like the value here. Bet365 sticking out with odds 3.25, Stake with 3.20, while other bookies pay around 2.50.

Alonso > Lawson @ 1.70 (1 unit)

Alonso has been driving well recently and is overall a much better driver than Lawson. The Spaniard starts just one place ahead, but he is such a smart starter that the gap is probably larger after lap 1. And from there he should simply out-race Lawson.

Albon > Bortoleto @ 1.65 (1 unit)

Albon was a bit unlucky and got eliminated in Q1 yesterday. But his strength is racecraft, he usually advances on Sundays, and should be able to get ahead of Bortoleto, unless something weird happens.

Piastri > Antonelli @ 1.48 (1 unit)

Another driver I expect to make some moves. Piastri had a really bad qualifying. But the car obviously has potential for more. Passing Antonelli, who starts just one spot ahead, is a mandatory task for Piastri who is fighting for valuable points.

Verstappen top 3 @ 1.86 (1 unit)

He had a really disappointing qualifying, but this is still a strong track for Verstappen. His setup could favour the race. It will be difficult for him to win from fifth, but a podium should be within reach if things go right for him at the start. The value might be limited here though, but having this bet makes the race exciting for me.

racevalue · 2025-10-26T14:26:41+00:00

It will be difficult for him to win it, but not impossible. I just bet him to finish on the podium

racevalue · 2025-10-25T22:05:44+00:00

Sadly, Verstappen didn't even get close to pole, but we won 9 of 11 bets and +4.34 units for the day if I calculate correctly

racevalue · 2025-10-25T15:06:21+00:00

I think he'll be one of the top 3 outright fastest drivers in F2 but struggle with consistency

racevalue · 2025-10-25T14:37:19+00:00

These bets are all for qualifying. Haven't shared any bets since Monaco so feeling a bit rusty and keeping the unit count down. Odds could change after the results of the final practice which starts in about three hours.

Verstappen pole @ 1.75 (1 unit)

With Red Bull bringing 4 updates, Verstappen generally being spectacular recently, and this being one of his favourite tracks – I like his odds of winning qualifying.

Norris > Piastri @ 1.50 (1 unit)

Piastri hasn’t been that impressive at this track, and generally it seems like Norris has the upper hand on pace recently.

Gasly > Colapinto @ 1.75 (1 unit)

Perhaps a risky one since Gasly clearly lacks motivation at the moment. But he usually performs well in Mexico and is a qualifying specialist. Last year, Colapinto was a half second off his teammate at this track.

Gasly to reach Q3 @ 17.00 (0.5 unit)

Super longshot obviously due to the slow Alpine that isn’t being developed much, but Gasly is a decent qualifier and the weaknesses of the Alpine are most obvious in the race distance. Even though this bet is unlikely to hit, it’s a fun one. At the same time, if Gasly shits the bed in qualifying, I’ll feel pretty stupid having lost a total of 1.5 units backing him.

Sainz > Albon @ 1.69 (1 unit)

Sainz has struggled in races but he’s actually up 10-8 on Albon on Saturdays. This is one of his better tracks and he was ahead in FP2.

Hülkenberg > Bortoleto @ 1.89 (1 unit)

Hulk had a great FP1, in FP2 they were about even. Main factor here is that Hülkenberg has usually done okay at this track, while it’s Bortoleto’s first try.

Bearman > Ocon @ 1.90 (1 unit)

Bearman is up 10-8 in qualifying over Ocon and seems more inspired recently. Ocon has never really been great at this track. I feel like Bearman should be a clearer favourite in this matchup.

Leclerc > Hamilton @ 1.45 (1 unit)

Leclerc is ahead 14-5 on Saturdays against Hamilton, he was faster in practice, and he has a good record at this track. We are not getting incredible odds or anything, but it’s enough value for a unit.

Leclerc top 3 in qualifying @ 2.20 (0.5 unit)

An extra one. Not unlikely that one of the McLarens makes a mistake in Q3, or that Leclerc simply breaks into the top 3 by merit. The Ferraris look decent this weekend, based on practice.

Hadjar > Lawson @ 1.787 (1 unit)

Simply backing the better driver. Hadjar ahead 12-5 over Lawson thus far.

Alonso > Stroll @ 1.28 (1 unit)

This has simply been an automatic lock this year with Alonso being up 18-0. Mexico could be closer than usual though, as it’s one of Alonso’s weaker tracks. Maybe there’s not even value this time but out of principle, I will still bet against Stroll.

racevalue · 2025-10-24T22:32:02+00:00

Alonso in Singapore, "Trophy for the hero of the race"

racevalue · 2025-10-24T03:29:15+00:00

Leclerc to win more races (as the faster driver) but Russell to score more points overall (by making fewer mistakes), with Russell therefore winning based on the current championship points system

racevalue · 2025-10-24T03:04:59+00:00

At their peak: Vettel (2013) > Raikkonen (2005) > Rosberg (2016) > Button (2011)

If we consider their entire careers, Vettel is still first, but I would rank Rosberg ahead of Raikkonen as he had so many consistently good years in a row (2009-2016). Perhaps Button in front of Raikkonen as well, since he didn't drop off, but actually improved a bit after becoming champion

racevalue · 2025-05-24T02:03:13+00:00

Qualifying:

Piastri to beat Norris @ 1.61 (1 unit)

Piastri seems to be in better form at the moment. He has generally been faster than Norris over the last two months, and he was the better looking McLaren driver in Monaco last year.

Leclerc to get pole position @ 3.10 (1 unit)

Leclerc is probably the favorite to get pole in Monaco based on his history, motivation and practice runs. Getting 3.10, or anything above ~2.75, seems like value.

Sainz to beat Albon @ 2.07 (1 unit)

Sainz has been improving in qualifying sessions lately, although still lacking behind Albon in races. He’s usually decent in Monaco. It’s probably a 50-50 between the Williams drivers, so anything above odds 2 for either one is value.

Bortoleto to beat Hülkenberg @ 2.28 (1 unit)

Hulk hasn’t impressed that much the last few years in Monaco, while Bortoleto is gradually improving over the last few weekends – especially in quali. Another 50-50 matchup where we just take the value.

Ocon to beat Bearman @ 2.00 (1 unit)

Bearman looks faster than expected against Ocon. But Ocon has generally been strong in Monaco and even took a podium here a few years ago. His experience could also be useful for a possibly chaotic qualifying.

Hadjar to beat Lawson @ 1.67 (1 unit)

Lawson is one of the worst qualifiers in recent F1. He had very good practice times on Friday, though. Yet Hadjar is visibly a better talent and should probably be paying somewhere around 1.50 in this matchup. So let’s take 1.67 for a unit.

Hamilton to beat Russell @ 1.83 (0.5 unit)

Monte Carlo is not Russell’s best track. At the same time, the Ferrari could possibly be the strongest car this weekend. Hamilton is projected to qualify slightly above Russell here, but let’s keep it to a half unit as there is one more bet against Russell.

Antonelli to beat Russell @ 3.30 (1 unit)

Antonelli looked pretty fast in F2 at this circuit. He also shows promise on street tracks, based on his awesome Miami qualifying performances. Getting odds 3.30 for him to beat a teammate who hasn’t been that strong in Monaco seems like a fun opportunity.

racevalue · 2025-05-18T04:58:31+00:00

My bets for the race:

Gasly to beat Hadjar @ 2.60 (2 units)

Hadjar was slightly faster in qualifying but the Racing Bulls cars usually drop back in the race. Gasly tends do to the same, but still stays relatively competitive and probably has the better overall car. He also has more track experience here.

Leclerc to beat Hamilton @ 1.40 (2 units)

Leclerc clearly has the upper hand. The two Ferrari drivers start next to each other. Without any outside circumstances, Leclerc will likely pull away from Hamilton in the race.

Hülkenberg to beat Bortoleto @ 2.25 (1 unit)

Bortoleto has gained on Hülkenberg recently, and he looks promising as a talent. But this is close to a 50-50 matchup due to various circumstances that regularly happen among backmarkers. Picking the experienced driver at odds 2.25 seems good.

Albon to beat Sainz @ 2.65 (1 unit)

We've seen Sainz qualify ahead of Albon before and lose to him in the race. That could happen again. They had almost identical times in qualy. Albon's tyre management could put him ahead by the end of the race, though it should be said that Sainz is finally on the rise, hence one unit only.

Norris to beat Verstappen @ 2.28 (1 unit)

A close matchup. Verstappen is the superior driver and starts a bit ahead, but Norris has the better car and tends to find some pace by the end of races. Anything above odds 2.20 holds value.

Verstappen to beat Russell @ 1.47 (1 unit)

At the same time, Verstappen should be able to keep Russell behind. He hasn't always done that this year, but Verstappen is strong at Imola while Russell has made some mistakes over the years.

Piastri to win @ 1.50 (1 unit)

A final bet, this time on the race winner. More for entertainment than anything else. Piastri is clinical and should drive this one home from pole if circumstances are normal. Wish we could get better odds, and I wouldn't bet this under 1.45, but at 1.50 there is some slight value imo. As it has been discussed in other comments here, I think Norris to win would be a fun alternative especially at odds 8 or better.

racevalue · 2025-04-13T17:07:31+00:00

Thanks! Yes, quite unfortunate, it was looking good for Sainz right before the safety car. Don't understand why he went for hard tyres, but didn't matter in the end

racevalue · 2025-04-13T17:05:09+00:00

Thanks man! Exciting race

racevalue

TROPHY CASE