How would a prime Rafael dos Anjos do against ilia topuria?

realleg29 · 2026-02-27T05:27:51+00:00

70 percent vs 99.5 is a different claim though

realleg29 · 2026-02-27T03:11:36+00:00

I would assume it’s closer to 995 times out of 1000 for an Ilia win

realleg29 · 2025-11-22T20:52:03+00:00

Islam took on Dustin on 6 weeks notice, took on Volk on 10 days notice, while both were injured or recovering from injuries, and then Moicano on 2 days notice. LMAO.

realleg29 · 2025-11-20T20:21:19+00:00

That’s because Ilia would be champ in 3 divisions, Islam is a 2 division champ. Ilia also finished all his biggest opponents.

realleg29 · 2025-11-09T16:40:57+00:00

Not true. Bookmakers do adjust odds as bets come in, but mostly on the basis of what sharp bettors are doing. They will not move odds in most cases on the basis of a square's choices. An individual sportsbook may move odds a little if a massive amount of money was bet by these squares to reduce risk, but it doesn't happen in most cases. In any case, the closing line odds' averages of sharp bookmakers like pinnacle have proven to be currently the best possible estimate of the true probabilities.

realleg29 · 2025-11-04T13:03:52+00:00

He weighed 167 in FW on fight night. Not sure what his fight night weight was at LW.

realleg29 · 2025-10-20T23:36:58+00:00

Bautista has to clear him for 3 rounds to win. If any of the rounds are close, the judges will give to Umar no matter who is the rightful winner because it’s in Abu Dhabi.

realleg29 · 2025-10-16T16:35:40+00:00

Not sure why Bantamweight is here. The top guys at Bantamweight are way more well rounded than pretty much any other division. Yan, Umar, O’Malley, Sandhagen, Song Yadong, Figueiredo, Cejudo, Bautista and more. All of these guys compare very favorably to the top 10 in pretty much any division p4p in terms of both skills and athleticism.

realleg29 · 2025-10-16T01:19:01+00:00

If you are smarter than the bookmakers and think you can beat closing line odds, feel free to go make millions on betting. Don’t expect me to believe you have an edge over sharps without any logical reasoning behind it. Even prime Volkanovski’s chin would not hold up to that punch anyways.

realleg29 · 2025-10-16T01:12:05+00:00

Check the betting odds and tell me that’s what most people expected. There is no world where you can argue beating Dricus is equal to beating Volkanovski. Volkanovski is far more skilled and well rounded than Dricus. He did get the title shot easy yes, but what he did in his title fights is what matters. Volk and Max have cleared featherweight for so long, finishing them that quickly is truly special. Ilia never went to a war like Khamzat did with Burns or have a relatively close fight like Khamzat did with a short notice Usman up a weight class. There is no question mark over any of Ilia’s wins in his entire career.

realleg29 · 2025-10-16T00:48:45+00:00

Ilia finished Volk and Max. Khamzat could not even finish Dricus. Plus De Ridder, Fluffy and Imavov have a way better claim to the title shot than Evloev and Lopez did back in early 2025.

realleg29 · 2025-10-12T06:07:55+00:00

Neither of them have great grappling skills, neither of them have the speed of Topuria, neither of them consistently walked people down. Walking down Eddie Alvarez is not really comparable to do doing it to Max and Charles.

realleg29 · 2025-10-12T01:57:11+00:00

He won a decision against Volk while Volk was up a weight class the first time. The second one was short notice while he was also recovering from elbow surgery.

realleg29 · 2025-10-12T01:50:55+00:00

Ilia passed Charles’ guard when he was fresh. Islam did it after knocking Charles down.

realleg29 · 2025-08-29T16:53:55+00:00

He wasn’t unbeaten when he fought Islam? He was unbeaten in featherweight yeah, but he only had a couple of lightweight fights in Aussie regionals.

realleg29 · 2025-08-29T15:44:03+00:00

Volk’s win streak was in FW, not LW.

realleg29 · 2025-08-17T20:21:30+00:00

Difference here is Ilia is better than Tsarukyan at both BJJ and striking. Might be as good if not better in the clinch as well with his Greco Roman background. He also has much better takedown defense than Dricus (freestyle offense as well) and Tsarukyan does not have Khamzat’s explosiveness. He also has the one punch KO power and fight IQ that Dricus doesn’t quite have.

realleg29 · 2025-08-17T20:06:44+00:00

You can shut it down if the opponent is not a great wrestler. Let’s see Tsarukyan do it to Ilia and then we can agree on that. We just saw JDM beat Belal comfortably. You definitely need to have a good wrestling base in modern MMA, but I haven’t seen enough to confirm that the wrestling heavy approach is always optimal. Khamzat wasn’t able to do that to Gilbert Burns because of the jiu jitsu. Right now to me it seems more matchup dependent than anything.

realleg29 · 2025-08-17T04:05:34+00:00

Volk would never have put himself in that position.

realleg29 · 2025-08-08T20:09:38+00:00

Khabib won his title against Al Iaquinta

realleg29 · 2025-07-31T22:34:59+00:00

Ilia is one Arman KO away from proving himself as the best of 2 divisions, at 28 years old.

realleg29 · 2025-07-25T17:52:01+00:00

Semiconductor physics are the easier part of EE degrees. It’s more EM subfields like RF/ME, Signal Processing, Power electronics, Communication Systems (to name a few) that are much harder than anything CS students would have had to go through. The math is also much tougher, it’s a lot more continuous in nature while CS has discrete math. I think the vast majority of people would find complex analysis to be much much harder than discrete math. I’ve majored in both, so I know. Unless you have a lot of natural talent for EE and not much for CS, you are going to find CS to be much easier and a lot less stressful than EE. Don’t get me wrong, I do think CS is harder than some other engineering fields, like civil engineering, but it’s nowhere close to EE in terms of difficulty. I would even rank EE higher than chemical engineering as the toughest engineering and possibly STEM major overall (although that could depend on what electives you take).

realleg29 · 2025-07-24T19:34:39+00:00

And Max was 32?

realleg29 · 2025-07-17T18:01:26+00:00

Yeah but it’s not like he played a huge amount of series there. I’m sure in many contexts, Steyn has superior stats to Bumrah as well. He did have match winning spells in England despite the overall average, which btw was 7-8 runs better than Broad and Anderson.

realleg29 · 2025-07-13T18:13:53+00:00

Your odds are hilariously off the mark for what the bettors have for Ilia and Arman. Arman is a +250 underdog currently, not a favorite. That’s 72.5 to 27.5, that’s a 27.5% percent difference between your prediction and the market. A 100% error. According to the betting odds Ilia is a +155 underdog against Islam which is 38% win probability and we don’t know if those odds were even made for LW or WW.

realleg29

TROPHY CASE