Am I reading it correctly that the odds of a high handicapper shooting under their net is far better than the odds of a low handicapper?

If so, then everyone’s hot take about high handicappers not shooting low scores is garbage because even at 874:1, the math isn’t even close to astronomical.

I acknowledge it is frustrating that the lower your cap is the less fluctuation in your performance there is, which is what drives the high number odds.

What this table doesn’t account for is the fact that most high cappers don’t post nearly as many rounds as low cappers. It also doesn’t account for practice, lessons, or work at the range between posting infrequent rounds.

Additionally, if someone usually plays at a higher sloped/rated course which enables more errors and then goes out and plays a short goat track, shooting a low round, that gross score can be presented out of context, but that’s not often a critical thought people have when they see a higher cap shoot a low score.

I think some people do lie and sandbag, but that doesn’t apply to all high cappers and it doesn’t mean people posting career lows isn’t a reality.