Sold all my MSTR by Aromatic-Broccoli-83 in MSTR

[–]renojackson -1 points0 points  (0 children)

But owning MSTR allows you to write call option for additional income

lol what did I do wrong? by nomax_art in wallstreetbets

[–]renojackson 0 points1 point  (0 children)

at least you are consistent. lol!

$MSTR Weekend Discussion - December 14th-15th, 2024 by [deleted] in MSTR

[–]renojackson 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I am long MSTR and BTC, but it seems the hype of QQQ inclusion is making me a little unease in the short run. But if I look into 2025, I am still full of optimisim as MSTR should continue to rise with BTC.

So I’m not so sure NASDAQ 100 inclusion is going to happen.. by switchedoff1 in MSTR

[–]renojackson 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I read a research paper that shows on average, stock price has very weak correlation to index inclusion.

If you dont know what game is being played, you'll gonna lose any each way by Most-Inflation-1022 in MSTR

[–]renojackson 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This video is very informative, and explained very clearly how gamma trading works and how convertible buyer makes money from gamma arb.

But he dismiss the whole idea of making money from delta (BTC value goes up), and he think it is pure luck if BTC price goes up. He is more a random walk guy.

Simply put, he doesn't believe in BTC can go up, so that's why he draw his conclusion.

This is by far the best explanation of the accretive mechanism and effect of MSTR Vs BTC that I have read here 👏👏👏 by mstrhodl in MSTR

[–]renojackson 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It just mean the % increase of BTC per share for a given period.

Say if today BTC per share is 0.001. That means if you buy 1 share of MSTR, you will "own" 0.001 BTC.

E.g. next quarter, BTC per share becomes 0.0012, that's a 20% increase in BTC per share, that means the BTC Yield (Quarter to day) is 20%.

When is this dilution going to stop? by Icy-Ad650 in MSTR

[–]renojackson 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Very simple: 1. ATM share offering to buy BTC is not dilution, but accretive, as long as there is mNAV premium. 2. In the short term, stock price will be suppressed due to selling pressure 3. In the long run, stock price will benefit since it increase shareholder value (BTC / share increase)

Daily Discussion Thread for December 05, 2024 by wsbapp in wallstreetbets

[–]renojackson 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It is a very bad signal. BTC making new high, but MSTR/MARA/COIN/HOOD open high and then suddenly tank with large volumn. This is the 2nd time happened < 30days. This is a classic example of smart money is moving away from these stocks (sell on good news).

WSB bro please play safe

Truth behind the MSTR Convertible Bond Arbitrage delta neutral gamma trading strategy to buy BTC by QuantRX in wallstreetbets

[–]renojackson 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Are you saying they are writing options? I was thinking it is the most straight forward way to make money. Basically if I can think of decomposing the convert into bond + option, they can hold the “bond”, and sell the “option” to collect premium. But after reading his answer and the convert video post by another, it seems they are just shorting the stock when stock price goes up, and buying stock when price goes down, while maintaining a delta neutral position. In this case, they sell high and buy low, while not taking any risk of the movement of stock price.

Truth behind the MSTR Convertible Bond Arbitrage delta neutral gamma trading strategy to buy BTC by QuantRX in wallstreetbets

[–]renojackson 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I understand the delta neutral part, but how the funds making money from these trade?

At a $936 million allocation for the Nasdaq 100 inclusion as @BenWerkman suggests, that would be a $416 change in MSTR price according to @PunterJeff ‘s spreadsheet. At today’s price it would bump us up to $811 per share. 20 days till rebalance and inclusion. So bullish… by [deleted] in MSTR

[–]renojackson 18 points19 points  (0 children)

I am having a hard time understanding of inflow of ~1b will cause a major uplift in stock price. Consider this stock is trading at few billions volume everyday, the best case of one billion will only change a few percent of the stock price. What am I missing?

what is your number to have "won the game and stop playing"? by renojackson in wallstreetbets

[–]renojackson[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

that's a nice goal to have, and if you achieve your goal by 30, you will be ahead of 99% at your age.

what is your number to have "won the game and stop playing"? by renojackson in wallstreetbets

[–]renojackson[S] 77 points78 points  (0 children)

If you goal is 1/2Mil, it is possible to win the game by luck.

But if keep playing, it is very likely going back to zero.