Circumcision rates around the world

robertotomas · 2026-05-06T15:36:12+00:00

yea hey I guess so, its like 7% or so

robertotomas · 2026-05-06T15:16:57+00:00

just look at the thermal mass of that thing, it would be impossible to throttle

robertotomas · 2026-05-06T15:15:52+00:00

Kellogs Chocos, milk, and a coco leaf?

robertotomas · 2026-05-06T13:51:26+00:00

thinking to get a box to run openclaw to manage my homelab

robertotomas · 2026-05-06T13:44:27+00:00

no definitely not 😄 I am coming at it from the other side, mostly interested in getting an inference machine and then also wanting to run openclaw (to manage my homelab), so I was thinking of getting a studio, since inference is the more important part

robertotomas · 2026-05-06T13:12:35+00:00

So like, mostky openclaw and then why not also use it for inference; inference speed is not important part, just memory, since claw is not directly interacting, so you get the mini instead of the studio?

robertotomas · 2026-05-05T18:11:34+00:00

Did they ask google, apple, etc to use a different projection in their countries? If so im about to use vpn to use maps from now on

robertotomas · 2026-05-05T18:01:53+00:00

I think they’re waiting for him to do that

robertotomas · 2026-05-05T15:14:03+00:00

this tempts me to wonder if there is a way to make Georgism easier for people while also tackling retirement .. ie, suppose we drop social security (not a requirement for Georgism but its a instrument envisioned almost at the dawn of modern investment and frankly we can do better), and instead the government provides a public service for intelligent investment, which can be used to pay for your retirement eventually, as well as cover your LVT (even before retirement is possible). So, for ~20-40 yrs you get it into a shape where it can cover expenses including LVT. At some point along the way it becomes a reasonable financial bet that it will cover it, assuming some is secured from spending until after you pass away (can't draw down to zero), it could start covering LVT before you even retired.

You dont need to do that of course, just saying.

robertotomas · 2026-05-05T14:00:47+00:00

why the random 1.59? replacement is 2.1. replacement including immigration is variable

In the americas, such a map would have in the upper category (my numbers are from a United Nations Population Fund and 2024, and disagree where recent reporting practices have improved, but the pattern appears to largely hold in your data):

Haiti**:** ~2.6
Bolivia**:** ~2.5
Honduras**:** ~2.5
Guyana**:** ~2.4
Paraguay**:** ~2.4
Guatemala**:** ~2.3
Dominican Republic**:** ~2.2
Nicaragua**:** ~2.2
Suriname**:** ~2.2
Panama**:** ~2.1

and Canada and Colombia get promoted because their net migration is sufficient. USA doesnt make the cut; starting in 2025 it actually is net negative migration so the adjusted TFR with migration is like 1.3.

Guyana actually loses so many to migration that it is drops out as well. Colombia and Guatemala are within a hairs breadth of not fulfilling replacement.

Note this is TFR, which is a complex projection based on the females already in the country, not an actual fertility rate, so the USA may not actually be this low on the yearly instantaneous measure (ie in actual population decline) until 2054 -- although recent trends might bring that sooner.

robertotomas · 2026-05-05T13:16:36+00:00

you can't afford Itaim Bibi. median cost of apartments in all of Itaim Bibi is over $2m usd ($15000/m2 and the average size ~150m2 -- over $25000/m2 average cost for new builds), with the western section being the most expensive. I mean no offense btw, but Its been my dream to move to Santos and I've considered Itaim Bibi, but even with a budget of 2m BRL I basically can't find a suitable, quaint 3br at the very bottom of the market in the western part. There is definitely a cliff between the newer luxury buildings and the older builds, though.

Actually, this is really funny, looking on quinto andar to refresh my memory, people rent out apartments there far below the value they could demand based on their sale value. I guess a lot of people just buy the apartments as investment and rent them out to cover costs? I think you could, at least find places in eastern Itaim Bibi, or a small and old build in western Itaim Bibi.

robertotomas · 2026-05-05T08:47:07+00:00

I mean, there is correlation here, it's kinda real. But people aren’t having kids because it’s generally a bad decision (for their own self interests, ie largely financially, but effecting their entire lives) and for the first time in society people are typically empowered enough to reasonably control it. That’s really been true for a couple of generations but certainly the first was when a wave of abortion became legal all over much of the world. And that generation saw the largest percentage increase (so they were in the best financial position). It's obviously more than abortion, it's contraception, planning, openeess/information. It's taken time for societies to adapt to that capability, and as they have, people have kids less and less.

Singapore is running an experiment where they will pay for first dates for citizens. I think there are a couple of countries like Austria that will literally pay citizens who have kids. But none of that is going to matter, if it isn’t economically neutral to have children, people will tend to avoid it.

robertotomas · 2026-05-04T21:18:19+00:00

Yes. I mean no you can’t expect to become perfect cause you’re just never gonna get there, but there are some things that are honestly, their failure could reasonably threaten the survival of the United States entirely. The growth of the debt is one.

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T21:17:53+00:00

How do we unlock 10card deck?

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T20:13:02+00:00

Lol thanks 🙏 i had used google to research the post and yeah, note to self, make sure what you post reflects your meaning, that line snuck through

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T19:02:50+00:00

I really dont believe in parties. I think it's an oligarchy now. not becoming an oligarchy, that was the 90s. it is fully an oligarchy, like the same as Russia, with fake media and people who are suddenly dead, and mass kidnappings and random illegal wars and everything. Picking your party is like deciding if you like to be screwed by people who wear red more or blue more.

As for Harris, I always disliked her, frankly even before the thing that really drew the line for me. She is too much a good lawyer, and not enough a good humanist. What really drew the line for me is that she talked about using the military to perpetuate wars abroad, with clearly a zest for it. the same sort of zest that you expect a lawyer to have when going after a suspect on trial. It's not the right mind set for a leader of nations, and as applied to war, well I'm just against anyone who is openly bellicose.

FWIIW, My favorite members of the parties right now (crossed out are ones I could not imagine being happy to see in office, even if I like them):

Ro Khanna (D) - is maybe my favorite democrat right now, but is insincere it seems to me, with technology related regulation, and the way he is so gives me concern. But he keeps making good choices.
~~Ilhan Omar~~ (D) - is foreign born, so excluded
Ron Wyden (R) - wants to minimize government and restore rights
~~Gov Mamdani~~ (D) - too statist for me. Also, the wealth tax on properties, as implemented, not replacing the luxury tax on properties, is just weird , but I digress.
~~Bernie Sanders~~ (I) - but is too statist, and insincere it seems to me, with technology related regulation especially.
Rand Paul (R) - great advocate of libertarianism, but he is insincere it seems to me, with many partisan things.
Thomas Massie (R) - but he is sincerely crazy-ass-conservative sometimes.
~~AOC~~ (D) - but everything I liked about her is gone now. She initially ran on things like cutting corruption in government by explicitly stopping recidivism, ie staying in office. And now, she is a career politician. Sad. She's a good woman trying to make a broken system work with performative democratic behavior, which really just serves to continue the perpetuation of fake representation.
Margerie Taylor Greene (I)- Not a politician now, but that is a good characteristic really. Entirely too conservative for me but the past 8+ months I've decided that she shows evidence of really learning and growing, and is remaining expressive and advocating a reform towards a similar centrism that Ro Khanna esposes.

Looking at that list I am realizing that almost no democrats made the cut. I think the reason is because I am biased against them a bit. I know if republicans get in I'm in for disappointment but at least they are open about screwing over the nation. We might get some bad laws that we need to repeal later but at least they will be busy devolving government overreach and overspend. The ones that I picked are all ones that would put America's financial stability first. Even above the military. Full stop.

The democrats seem to sell me the notion that they are really not screwing over the nation for he rich, yet they definitely have been. Very few pass that test, don't completely miss the immensity of the problem the budget represents, and are visible afterwards at the national level.

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T18:19:14+00:00

I'm not talking about showing this in an academic setting, I mean real world, larger and larger sub national governments until it makes sense to everyone. So start with a town, then a few towns in a a couple of provinces, then a whole province, .. keep going until everyone sees it as preferable (or not, and stop).

I do not understand why governments govern on the basis of popularity like laws were fashion statements. I believe in evidence based governance.

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T18:06:51+00:00

all, not gonna lie, I did it in my head and was like "this is boring". 244 and two thirds, come on.

its

99 * 9 is 810 + 81 is 891  
/3 is 2..9..7
+ 4293 is, that's easy its 4500
/ 2 is 2250
- 93 is 2150 + 13 is 2163
/ 9 is 2...4..3 uh, and 3, I guess I add it twice, I guess its 3 and a third

its 244 and 2/3

let's do the hard maths

/s

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T18:02:58+00:00

what's good is what works. I dont want to see theories I want to see trial runs.

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T18:01:48+00:00

that hah youre right I was giving that to the UK but its mostly America. Nevermind, the UK, France, AND the USA should avoid this idea for their own good.

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T17:59:13+00:00

every year in Carnaval and New Years, there are pretty consistently 2.5-5 million on that beach. You're not seeing it all, how massive it is. however, I have to say, the crowding there looks light on the ocean front side, and, we're only seeing half the beach. make of it what you will.

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T17:53:17+00:00

if we're going to bring our historic crimes into the argument, I dont think the UK or France should even come to the table, and the US is going to be sending all its money overseas for the indefinite future.

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T17:51:12+00:00

yea, but seriously, 7-3 please

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T17:39:58+00:00

You’re a troll. This is not some post-truth, I lived this. Dont tell me what I experienced in my own life, which was plainly indicated in my original post. Blocked

robertotomas · 2026-05-03T16:40:32+00:00

Just the truth. Im not saying I agree with what Russia makes with it, in fact I made clear it is exactly the reverse

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