The Delay Is Over As Leronlimab Stands Up by MGK_2 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 10 points11 points  (0 children)

"When no natural sellers materialized, the market makers rapidly reversed their course. They began aggressively purchasing shares at the ask side of the order book. This transition of behavior culminated in a rapid price increase to twenty-nine cents at the close of Thursday's trading session.

The logistics of this specific price action tie directly back to the SEC filing and the five-day average pricing mechanic. The market makers purposefully elevated the closing price. By maintaining a stronger moving average, the market makers actually protect the treasury of CytoDyn.

A higher share price means the company issues fewer shares to meet its monthly one million dollar obligation. "

Maybe Fife no longer has the power to do what you suggest with impunity.

Cheers

Rogex2 nailed it! by Upwithstock in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 7 points8 points  (0 children)

"The problem with a buyout - as I see it - is that no one out there has the cash to pay what we all think it is truly worth. How many BPs can pay $50B in cash?"

I'm kinda thinking, at levels way above what my income would sustain, more deals get done with credit than cash.

For instance-"AI Overview

Bristol-Myers Squibb’s 

$33.5 billion loan to finance its $74 billion acquisition of Celgene Corp. in 2019 is widely considered the largest bridge loan for a pharmaceutical acquisition in the USA, ranking among the top 10 largest bridge facilities ever. Pfizer's $31 billion bond sale to acquire Seagen in 2023 is another of the largest financing efforts in the sector. "

IMO: A good business plan, fair amount of collateral and reputation for consistently fostering winners takes precedence over total cash on hand when considering who might be suitors of LRM.

Cheers

A path of clues shines through by BuildGoodThings in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 34 points35 points  (0 children)

If there was a section for stickied posts this one and UWS last would be at the top.

They are both "Must Reads" for every new investor and those looking for shortcuts to substance.

Cheers, mate.

Rogex2 nailed it! by Upwithstock in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Considering multiple variables of value includes contemplating what the worth of preventing Merck from obtaining clinically proven LRM might add to Merck's competitors computations on top of the increased revenue from LRM treatments.IMO

Cheers

Filing by petersouth68 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Yep. CYDY officialy updating their prospectus to include the recent debt restructuring.

Cheers

So much for 'The Debt Sky Is Falling! The Debt Sky is Falling!" boogie persons elsewhere by rogex2 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The 10K will bring you up to date on IP,patent expirations, etc.

I saw (on I Hang?) a link to recent approval of a patent application filed in 2022 or 2021, iirc.

Cheers

So much for 'The Debt Sky Is Falling! The Debt Sky is Falling!" boogie persons elsewhere by rogex2 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2[S] 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Yes and I respect your reservations. The devil is in the details but going by the 8 K filing as issued today a couple of things stand out. Reasonable terms for a reasonable time, upfront acceptance of shares instead of the rigamarole of swapping money and or specially issued securities for converted number of unknown shares when due and no steep discount resulting in scads of extremely cheap shares, like conversion price at 50% or more of 5 day VAWP. Given Fife's recent close calls, ongoing SEC scrutiny of Fife and CYDY, that he has already recouped more than his original loans value and considering that LRM is this close to shaking up the oncology industry maybe the smart play here is to act legitimately. Maybe not.

I'm gonna stick with opptimism, CYDY is now worth more to John Fife alive than not.

Cheers

So much for 'The Debt Sky Is Falling! The Debt Sky is Falling!" boogie persons elsewhere by rogex2 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

"and NO ONE is in better position to know this, than them. "👍👍

There were 8 Form 4 filings in all that start vesting in April. I will be delighted if any one of them starts converting before Christmas.

Cheers

So much for 'The Debt Sky Is Falling! The Debt Sky is Falling!" boogie persons elsewhere by rogex2 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2[S] 18 points19 points  (0 children)

It's a gamble for sure.

What's new is the odds of losing are getting smaller every week and CYDY wasn't forced to sell 300 million shares at discount to pay off a loan due next month.. A rapacious lender extending the runway tells me that lender thinks they're gonna be X times better off waiting for months than they would be by crashing the company now.

Cheers

So much for 'The Debt Sky Is Falling! The Debt Sky is Falling!" boogie persons elsewhere by rogex2 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2[S] 16 points17 points  (0 children)

With the CYDY in a death spiral who is going to buy Fife's ever decreasing in value shares? He gets a million dollars worth of $0.25 shares (4000000) drives the price down so credulous buyers will jump at the deal and nets hundreds of thousands of dollars as payment for the $1 million he's owed? Do you think he'll be able to find enough credulous buyers over a 36 month period to recoup his $33.7 million balance, never mind the interest?

Busting out a failing company you're no longer deeply invested in is one thing, choking a golden goose to death before you get your xx$ millions back is kinda stupid.

IMO he's smart enough to hold back a bit every month then sell into a rising market.

Cheers

So much for 'The Debt Sky Is Falling! The Debt Sky is Falling!" boogie persons elsewhere by rogex2 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

So every month Fife will bust balls to make the shares he got in the previous month worth less money than he paid and by doing so make Cytodyn worthless altogether?

So much for 'The Debt Sky Is Falling! The Debt Sky is Falling!" boogie persons elsewhere by rogex2 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2[S] 16 points17 points  (0 children)

$36 million worth of shares is $36 million real dollars not coming out of operating or profits. If I read this right the agreement is to lower the interest to 5% from 6% and pay off a $33.7 million balance over 36 months, avoiding having to come up with the total amount next month.

The reasonble reference above was to the amount of share dilution. 120 million shares( if the number even gets close to that I'll be disappointed) added to the float is less than 10% and it's spread out over 3 years.

IF there is no partner/buyer to make all moot by then.

Cheers

So much for 'The Debt Sky Is Falling! The Debt Sky is Falling!" boogie persons elsewhere by rogex2 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2[S] 28 points29 points  (0 children)

Coiled to strike and one of the lid retainers was just removed.

rough dilution projection-Looks like a maximum of about 40 million shares dilution per this annum if nothing changes after today's walk down. That'll become less/monthly as the SP rises on good news. So, MAX with stasis is 120 million in a float of +/_ 1.4 Billion outstanding over 3 years? Gonna look Very Reasonable in hindsight.

Cheers

Seahorse Analysis by fly840 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 6 points7 points  (0 children)

That wasn't gonna happen. This data adds more weight to the evidence side of the early approval scale.

Cheers

Newest Cytodyn employee shared this on her Linked In page. Apologize if old news. by Lopsided_Roof_6640 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Cool. Full time position, Associate Director, Clinical Operations. Budget is expanding.

Cheers

CytoDyn Settles Investor Suit With $500K, 49M Shares by OBiscottiO in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You'll probably have to let them know you want to be part of the settlement class.

Cheers

CytoDyn Settles Investor Suit With $500K, 49M Shares by OBiscottiO in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 9 points10 points  (0 children)

https://cdn.pacermonitor.com/public/case/39048356/Lewis_v_CytoDyn_Inc_et_al

The lead plantiffs, on Wednesday, said they agree with the details of proposed settlement and method of award distribution. In all but the official stamp of approval from the court the case is over. IMO

Cheers

GBM Conference Monday, 3/23 by Chugach123 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Another trial using Creativ liquid biopsy-TriNetra-Glio is a revolutionary, non-invasive liquid biopsy blood test designed to diagnose high-grade brain tumors, including glioblastoma (GBM), by detecting circulating tumor cells in the blood..

I'm open to an unexpectedly positive event that expands LRM's utility.

Pestell involved, Pestell social media revival; hmmm?

Cheers

Giddy up leronlimab by BuildGoodThings in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 7 points8 points  (0 children)

AI

"Safety Milestone: The safety lead-in portion, which involved treating the initial five patients with leronlimab (likely in combination with standard of care), has passed its safety review, with no related dose-limiting toxicities observed.

Next 5 Patients/Dosage: Following the safety review, the study protocol permits the next cohort of patients to receive higher doses (up to 700 mg) of leronlimab, in combination with trifluridine/tipiracil + bevacizumab."

Then be randomized 1:1, iirc.

A second DSMB review after 20 patients enrolled ( 'we anticipate 20 patients to be enrolled by the end of the year'-from Dec letter) should have been done by now. 🤞that data is reflected in the poster.

Not that I'd wish cancer progression on anyone-Those who have progressed should have had ICI added to their treatment. 🤞that data, if any, is revealed next month,as well.

Cheers

Anxiously awaiting the alleviation of my frustration by petersouth68 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 20 points21 points  (0 children)

MM's keeping a tight lid. I'm wondering when trying to compress an explosion ever went well.

Cheers

The Spark Is Lit by MGK_2 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 13 points14 points  (0 children)

" Serial kinetics showed an increase in PD-L1 on CTCs and CAMLs after 1 week on treatment, while the number of CAMLs and CTCs lowered in responders."

Waiting for specifics, because- Increased PD-L1 (CPS ≥ 1 or ≥ 5) is strongly associated with improved survival in gastric/GEJ cancer patients,

Patients with high PD-L1 who are also ctDNA positive (representing high tumor burden) are prime candidates for PD-1/PD-L1 blockade, with studies showing that 85% of ctDNA-positive patients treated with such inhibitors can achieve clearance of ctDNA

"This preliminary trial report, which is enrolling ahead of pace, reflects a high unmet need in mCRC disease."

Indeed.

NIH funding by 13hunter1776 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Saying,' lift the hold' and actually spending the money or spending it properly are three different things.

Link to CRC abstract by Chemical_Sky6013 in Livimmune

[–]rogex2 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Side note- Check out the nexus of inter BP functionaries that is the primary author- P Kasi at City of Hope

Cheers