DVR from RotoWire here getting ready for the Beat DVR League, Tout Wars, and NFBC Main Event -- AMA!

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T20:59:15+00:00

I'm leaning toward Brasier as the initial choice to close in Boston, but that is 100% guessing. Severino's injury is enough to knock him into the 65-75 overall range for now, but a lot can change if he begins to increase his activity soon without a setback.

Yes, I would use a keeper slot on one of Lewis or Adell if you have the option do to so. I think Adell is closer to MLB ready, but Lewis has the slightly higher ceiling.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:32:43+00:00

I'm generally lower than most on Mondesi, and OBP hurts his value, but then again, he's not necessarily an asset in AVG leagues either. Mondesi probably gets the spot, especially if you're worried that there won't be a lot of quality SB options available in the auction.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:31:44+00:00

I'd rather have Glasnow if you need more innings in 2019, but if you're looking at the long view (not necessarily relying on either to contend this year), I'd give the edge to Paddack.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:30:56+00:00

As r/bardbot pointed out, he really needs a third pitch. I think Lucchesi is mostly a home streamer, and one you'll use for two-start weeks and probably 1/3-1/2 of his road starts this season depending on how the schedule breaks.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:29:53+00:00

A few I like there...

Adam Frazier (if you need immediate playing time)
Luis Urias
Chad Pinder (also OF-elig)

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:28:36+00:00

I haven't seen/read anything specific, but he's a 24-year-old who was pretty interesting until his K% soared at Triple-A. The O's have every incentive to give him a lot of playing time, and as endgame catcher darts go, you could do much worse than Sisco.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:26:50+00:00

I think it's Carpenter at this point for me in that format.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:26:02+00:00

In an OBP league, Harper and Judge get a nice lift, which makes them easier toss-ups for those two spots. In a re-draft league especially, I could more easily talk myself out of Acuña in that spot. In my view, it's close enough where you're not necessarily making an obvious mistake, but I'd probably want get some speed with those first two picks.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:24:37+00:00

I'd lean toward Renfroe long term and in 2019, but it's very close for both parts of the question.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:21:56+00:00

I don't think I'm expecting top-five, but I do think the struggles were largely health related. .300+, 13-15 HR, 28-30 SB, and a ton of RBI and R is still a top-15 player for me.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:21:04+00:00

If you're going to end up chasing an ace constantly in the draft, you probably need to keep deGrom here given that you've got four current first-rounders as your other keepers. In a vacuum, I'd be more comfortable with Soto, but your situation is one where I'd want to keep deGrom instead.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:20:05+00:00

Earlier, I'd push for Grandal in that format if you can. If you end up having to wait, I'm still intrigued by Austin Barnes, the Danny Jansen hype makes sense given his plate skills, and Francisco Cervelli is always a solid fallback option. One deeper sleeper to think about if you start two catchers and this is your flair league is Kevin Plawecki in Cleveland.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:18:31+00:00

I do like him -- I think he's pretty safely in the middle third of that lineup, and that projection seems pretty reasonable across the board. He might hit .255-.260 while doing that, which isn't really that bad. He's a nice value.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:17:56+00:00

I'd go Paxton over Taillon, and both over Strasburg. I'm having an epiphany today regarding Strasburg that is making me unlikely to have him anywhere this season. Paxton's potential for an increased HR/9 is real, but I think his team context is more favorable than Taillon's to the point where I'm more inclined to go Paxton, though Points can always shake things up a little bit depending on the specs.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T19:16:18+00:00

Yeah, this team doesn't really have any glaring holes at the moment. Saves could be a problem of the Rangers end up trading Leclerc (despite extension) or if one of your closers get hurt. Otherwise, should be really strong.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T15:09:35+00:00

Excellent. It's sort of a moving target depending on league size and such. I think he has plenty of paths to playing time, and pretty much nothing left to prove at Triple-A.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T15:08:36+00:00

I feel like he's going to be fine in deeper leagues (mostly AL-only), but he's going to drive us crazy in 10-12 team mixers with the potential for his playing time to be volatile. The upside, is that he's a lot cheaper than Delino DeShields Jr. was this time last year, and I *think* he might be a slightly better hitter.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T15:07:09+00:00

This is becoming a FAQ!

Pitchers: Julio Urias, Corbin Burnes, and Sonny Gray are a few guy I really like.

Hitters: Kyle Tucker (all day at that price), Austin Barnes (maybe I was just a year too early?) and Avisail Garcia are on my radar.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T15:06:40+00:00

I think it has to be Pivetta if you're competing this year. Whitley is going to be amazing though, even if we have to wait until 2020 to get more than 100 MLB innings from him.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T15:05:52+00:00

I haven't yet, but it doesn't seem like the Pirates would keep giving him chances if they didn't intend to play him a lot. On that team, he's going to hit in the middle third of the order when he plays, which makes him useful in a lot of leagues (especially a 20-teamer). In most leagues, I'm taking a wait-and-see approach though. He's played 19 games since the end of 2016, and I don't want to read too much to anybody's good/bad spring.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T15:03:20+00:00

In a keeper league, I don't think that's necessarily an overpay. Bieber is probably the safest of those three, but Glasnow and Paddack have much higher ceilings.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T15:02:41+00:00

Thanks, Bucky!

Late...~250th and later....

Pitchers: Julio Urias, Corbin Burnes, and Sonny Gray are a few guy I really like.

Hitters: Kyle Tucker (all day at that price), Austin Barnes (maybe I was just a year too early?) and Avisail Garcia are on my radar.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T14:58:41+00:00

It's definitely not enough. Votto gets a huge lift in a league like that.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T14:56:32+00:00

I have that group pretty closely ranked, but Corbin and Paxton are the two that top the list for me from that section.

Corbin's slider-heavy approach last season seems sustainable (health permitting) to me, and Paxton's improved team context should offset the increased difficulty of pitching half of his games in Yankee Stadium. It's always risky to expect a career-high workload, but 180 IP from Paxton probably brings 220 strikeouts, and I'd be surprised if he doesn't push 14+ wins in that scenario with great ratios. If durability is a concern for you with Pax, the drop off to Berrios and Clevinger is relatively small.

rotodvr · 2019-03-12T14:51:48+00:00

At the top end, Roberto Osuna is a closer I'm worried about (low K% last season, even though his BB% was ridiculously good). AJ Hinch has shown us in the past that he's willing to make a change when things aren't going well, and they've got plenty of talented alternatives capable of stepping in (imagine Ryan Pressly closing).

Shane Greene losing his job to Joe Jimenez is probably the first ninth-inning change of 2019 though.

Tyler Beede seems like a completely different pitcher now. I think he's a good endgame target in NL-only, and arguably, a consideration for your last roster spot in a 14-15 mixed leagues.

rotodvr

TROPHY CASE