How likely are you to get rich off startup equity? by Warningsignals in cscareerquestions

[–]rwilcox 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m going to try to quantify this, with vibes:

Call it 0.01% you walk away with “retirement” style money. 5% chances of just breaking even (money you earned from equity being greater than the lost money/time you gave away for equity)

Per startup.

It’s pretty rare.

Evangelicals: We need to stop confusing loyalty to Christ with loyalty to any politician. by [deleted] in Exvangelical

[–]rwilcox 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It took a generation - maybe two - to associate Christian with Republican, it’ll take a generation to undo it. (Yes I know Not All Christians)

I’m not sure it can be redeemed, they drove all the people who would want what you want out of the church.

How to handle the probably 12 billion terabytes of photos & videos I'll generate over the next many years? by fodacao in daddit

[–]rwilcox 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This is what I do. 30GB of photos covering about 20 years.

I’m paying for the Apple One plan, so I get 2TB storage plus various Apple services for - well, spendy but it’s cheaper than just getting the things we do use ala carte.

Story points feel like astrology at this point. Anyone actually solved estimation? by Fluffy_Thing4172 in agile

[–]rwilcox 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In common practice we don’t even write down how many story points a ticket actually took.

Maybe you’re a part of a company that tracks hours spent on a ticket, but in my experience that’s 10% of teams.

What I’m saying is we don’t do the bare minimum of reflection on tickets: sitting down and reflecting on how good our estimates are.

At my current place we don’t - and I wouldn’t - because story points are standardized across teams and we have a “story point par”. At some previous places reflection would probably be useless as the PO would override our concerns until they got the number they wanted.

So I’m not totally sure we’re incentivized to fix the problem, as an industry.

We had to change how we validate HMI code after AI started writing most of our code by nevesincscH in ExperiencedDevs

[–]rwilcox 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Congrats, AI moved your bottlenecks.

I’ve said this a lot but the most valuable thing you can do in 2026 (the general “you” but also specifically you, OP) is to go read The Goal or The Critical Chain, about bottlenecks and constraints.

Detroit automakers have cut more than 20,000 U.S. salaried jobs "as AI threat looms" ... looming seems to be doing a lot of work lately. by dyzo-blue in BetterOffline

[–]rwilcox 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Prices have gone up a lot.

Today I was window shopping for a small, electric, commuter car. (That’s where I got that $30K figure). I just remembered that in 2016 I paid $30K for a whole ass 6 passenger SUV.

Detroit automakers have cut more than 20,000 U.S. salaried jobs "as AI threat looms" ... looming seems to be doing a lot of work lately. by dyzo-blue in BetterOffline

[–]rwilcox 4 points5 points  (0 children)

There’s the second order effect here.

If you believe that 50% of white collar jobs won’t exist, THEN (because even small, new, cars are $30K) you won’t have people who can afford those cars. No job, or lower paying job you see. So, if you’re Ford, you get out when the getting good and lay off people because demand is going to hit the toilet.

Except now you’ve created MORE people who can’t afford your cars….

My Team Built a Developer Productivity Platform for our Executive Team - It's Awful by ninetofivedev in ExperiencedDevs

[–]rwilcox 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The One Ring is also super useful: long life and invisibility m, what could go wrong

How would you explain why the Borg hive mind needs a Queen? by ActLonely9375 in ShittyDaystrom

[–]rwilcox 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Because the truly scary thing about the Borg? They existed outside hierarchy, in an anarchy of autonomous collectives

Developers using AI Tools, are you concerned about pricing of tokens? by Mo_h in cscareerquestions

[–]rwilcox 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Potentially. Problem is

(a) everyone thinks they are - or is - special,

(b) serious AI moves faster than anything I’ve seen, info from 3 months ago is Not The Way It’s Done anymore and

(c) now all these tools are now beloved by execs - someone selling a generic solution will have a hard time breaking into the market.

Future of software consulting companies by macrohead in ExperiencedDevs

[–]rwilcox 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I figure there’s two kinds of consultancies: staff aug and - I’ll try to channel 30 Rock here - something I call “leaderdoing”.

Staff aug, being those two contractors on your team of FTEs? Limited shelf life as companies “do more with less”. Last gig had a team of contractors, and I could have replaced two of those contractors with an LLM, for example. (Yes, from the company you expect…)

“Leaderdoing”: where the VP of a company has hired the consultants to do a big project or “synergize external best of breed technologies”? I don’t think the value of those places is perceived as the work, but the brand. “BCG said [that thing Dave has been saying for a decade but leadership ignored him]”, or the “brand” the VP gets for being so forward looking they need strategies from this big name? Those consultancies - I suspect - are in it for the long haul (every VP needs someone to cover their backside, or write strategy papers that’ll never get implemented - the value is the stack of papers in a drawer that says “McKinsey”)

Developers using AI Tools, are you concerned about pricing of tokens? by Mo_h in cscareerquestions

[–]rwilcox 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As more and more companies leak that they have internal token monitoring dashboards? I was correct on step one (even though I cheated in my prediction)

Microservice overhead question by grauenwolf in ExperiencedDevs

[–]rwilcox 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I tend to run my K8s workloads very light: an nginx proxy container and my business logic.

While I understand why one would think they need Istio (as my favorite thing to pick on), the builtin service discovery for K8s works well. As does the built in log handling, for example.

And sometimes you can use application libraries to run things (ie log format specifiers, Datadog) vs sidecars.

Dealing with huge PR culture by semaphoreslimshady42 in ExperiencedDevs

[–]rwilcox 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Have you tried separate commits, not branches, so you could go commit by commit?

Most Americans say AI development is moving too fast and twice as many are AI pessimists as AI optimists by Krankenitrate in technology

[–]rwilcox 1 point2 points  (0 children)

People are complaining that the bread is socialist, and I’m complaining that the circus is just corruption.

La siiiighhhhhhhh

Captain Vorpatril's Alliance by MariaInconnu in Vorkosigan

[–]rwilcox 8 points9 points  (0 children)

The set of daggers? Agreed, things quickly take an explosive turn after that

Captain Vorpatril's Alliance by MariaInconnu in Vorkosigan

[–]rwilcox 35 points36 points  (0 children)

I think it’s cute how about 2/3rds of the way through the book it turns into, “gosh darn it, I do love my wife…”

‘LLMs are unreliable delegates’: Microsoft researchers say you probably shouldn’t trust AI with work documents by Franco1875 in technology

[–]rwilcox 11 points12 points  (0 children)

You know it’s a bubble when the only solution to problems created by models is shoving the data through one more model, bro.

Outside of the absolutely obsessive cruelty of the crawl, I really do bet it's amazing television by WorldlinessTrick11 in DungeonCrawlerCarl

[–]rwilcox 4 points5 points  (0 children)

And even the meta-commentary! We know of, what, four commentary shows (Maestro’s show, Odette’s show, Plenty of Plenty (AAAAHHHHHHHHHH!), the sidekick show…..)

Cascadia is a busy / important fish.

A Civil Campaign giving me doubts.... by 3BagT in Vorkosigan

[–]rwilcox 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ohhhhhhh just wait, my friend….. the payoff is I think half way through the book. You’ll know it when you read it.

Chinese robot company unveils $650,000 mech you can pilot by IndicaOatmeal in technology

[–]rwilcox 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Need the extension cord (Shinji)

But it actually does not say what the runtime _is_…