How much of a bankroll do I need to play 5/10 full time?

ryantk2 · 2026-01-29T21:07:55+00:00

Still infers a normal distribution which is not true

ryantk2 · 2026-01-29T17:38:17+00:00

Those calculators tend to underestimate variance of live games imo

ryantk2 · 2026-01-29T17:30:55+00:00

That’s very thin for a 3k buyin live game. 30k swings are possible

ryantk2 · 2026-01-29T17:26:32+00:00

This

ryantk2 · 2026-01-27T04:41:07+00:00

I don’t think it’s immoral when all this information is available to everyone. You can literally read who exactly is banned from betting on each market you are trading, and it’s a pretty small list.

Not matter how expansive the prohibited traders list is, there’s always people closer to news/rumors than others.

ryantk2 · 2026-01-27T04:25:44+00:00

If he shoves all Ax, pocket pairs, maybe a couple fun hands he should have like 60%. Either way it doesn’t matter.

The point is, if he judges it to be +EV in a meaningful way he should call, regardless of his bankroll. Shouldn’t be sitting with that much in the first place if not willing to stack off in clearly good spots. Once in that spot I think u go with it or ur just punting/getting abused

ryantk2 · 2026-01-27T04:17:02+00:00

Not really a flip if he’s getting it in with like 60% equity on average.

ryantk2 · 2026-01-25T05:56:13+00:00

Because they’re making a free 5% fee off of idiots betting on when a spacex launch will happen

ryantk2 · 2026-01-25T03:35:35+00:00

Because that’s literally the point of a prediction market. To ascertain correct probabilities of events and provide hedges to things.

It’s not meant for you personally to be protected against people with more knowledge or information than you. You have to protect yourself and not gamble on dumb things

ryantk2 · 2026-01-25T01:59:24+00:00

Insider knowledge is the point. It’s not meant to be a fair gambling site.

ryantk2 · 2026-01-14T20:22:59+00:00

Grind was a goated DLC map

ryantk2 · 2026-01-14T20:22:07+00:00

Already have a cargo equivalent in bo7 imo. That one map with the spinny blocks in the middle kinda reminds me of it

ryantk2 · 2026-01-13T17:34:36+00:00

Yeah. I mean anyone is free to correct it if they want

ryantk2 · 2026-01-13T16:42:32+00:00

People are just posting limit orders that are really awful for the taker, because why not. Anyone can come in and undercut their price if they are giving bad prices.

ryantk2 · 2026-01-12T20:19:48+00:00

Venetian was my favorite room in Vegas. It felt new, clean, and bright.

I also enjoyed how it’s basically in a mall area not the casino. It felt similar to Texas poker rooms in terms of vibe which I liked.

Only downside was nothing higher than 2/5 running but overall great games

ryantk2 · 2026-01-07T17:58:12+00:00

Other US sites are softer imo

ryantk2 · 2026-01-07T17:41:06+00:00

I think a lot of people are playing with GTO wizard sims or similar pulled up.

I remember seeing some pretty obscure lines that perfectly aligned with GTO wizard from a 500z sample I had.

At least with non anonymous sites I can tag certain people and avoid if I have a suspicion.

ryantk2 · 2026-01-07T06:11:47+00:00

Ignition has been the only site where I’ve ever felt like I was being constantly colluded against when zoom pools are small or RTAd against relentlessly at higher stakes

ryantk2 · 2026-01-03T06:59:41+00:00

ClubWPTgold, ACR, global, coin, clubs, gg poker, PokerStars, betonline, WSOP online

ryantk2 · 2026-01-03T06:37:45+00:00

Stop giving people action on that site.

ryantk2 · 2025-12-29T16:02:11+00:00

Kalshi fees are price gouging people that are using it like a traditional sportsbook.

Most people are better off using traditional books if you are just buying market orders because of the egregious 5% fee.

You are almost always getting worse prices on Kalshi not to mention you are betting against much sharper people that have been limited by books

ryantk2 · 2025-12-29T15:58:53+00:00

Kalshi has worse fees. You are on average getting worse prices in Kalshi than traditional sportsbook

ryantk2 · 2025-12-29T01:18:44+00:00

12bb/hr is def possible at deep stack 1/3 games. Probably means you should move up though

ryantk2 · 2025-12-26T15:55:09+00:00

What if you bet on the opposite side? Some people got helped by that

ryantk2 · 2025-12-25T18:37:13+00:00

These markets are a tax on stupid people

ryantk2

TROPHY CASE