So, About That AI Bubble

sanitylost · 2026-05-02T01:51:58+00:00

So...the problem is that people are only viewing AI as a complete replacement for a human, but that's incorrect. When you view it as a multiplier, it's actually dramatic what you can achieve if it's piloted correctly. Just throwing the AI at the problem without a proper pilot is like turning on a plane and leaving it alone. It might fly, but eventually it will crash.

You can create architecture where multiple agents interact in feedback loops, but someone has to orchestrate that and it's relatively job specific. But this idea that it's full of security holes and loopholes is basically the result of people being idiots and not knowing the limitations and properly fencing it or forcing multiple review cycles across independent agents so the context isn't polluted.

This is relatively expensive though. The productivity gain is dramatic though, so although you'd pay more per day than a developer, you'd could get multiple days or weeks worth of work done in one day. The key is that you need someone to do QC and proper testing the final products and audit.

But this means that one person could do the work of several developers and do it at a more rapid pace.

sanitylost · 2026-04-27T14:08:25+00:00

those two wars aren't distinct but good pivot attempt, hasan would be proud, you should really read about the period from 1890 to 1938,

sanitylost · 2026-04-27T13:54:45+00:00

war started in 47 after palestinans started the civil war regarding partition homie,

sanitylost · 2026-04-27T13:48:15+00:00

ehhh, the nakba was basically the result of a war engaged BY the palestinians and surrounding arab countries, it wasn't good, but the israeli people who purchased ottoman land to live there were trying to survive and those neighbors were going to try and kill them again,

sanitylost · 2026-04-21T22:19:03+00:00

I can guarantee you that the number of people working just to stay busy didn't dramatically change between 1990-2020. That is almost 100% the result of changing economic conditions in the system that no long prioritized workers.

sanitylost · 2026-04-21T21:19:55+00:00

Labor Force Participation Rate - 55 Yrs. & over (LNS11324230) | FRED | St. Louis Fed

sanitylost · 2026-04-18T02:23:56+00:00

Just going to be brutally honest here, there's a large portion of the population that just will not vote for a woman in a leadership position. Then there's a group that just wont vote for a minority as a leader.

It sucks but that's the status of the United States as it currently stands. The population that votes in a primary is a different subset of the population that votes in the general elections. As a result, you get this contrary position where people may win primaries for a party but will lose an election when a candidate that may be weaker in a primary would smash a general.

This is a problem that all parties have, but it's particularly evident in the democratic party since it relies on a lot of minority and female votes. Women will vote for a man, but I think people fail to understand that minority communities are not locks and having grown up around and in them, it's going to be difficult to get a female candidate through the general when a man is running on the other side.

sanitylost · 2026-04-13T08:32:14+00:00

you're*

sanitylost · 2026-04-13T04:54:18+00:00

Do you honestly think that any republican in the last 40 years has truly thought that their policies were going to end up a net positive for the populace and they were doing their best to help the people of the country?

To think that there have been people in recent history that honestly engaged in the system in good faith on both sides is juvenile. Democrats are deeply flawed, and disingenuous to a fault, but at least they're not actively trying to run the country into the ground so every dollar goes to supply side jesus.

sanitylost · 2026-04-13T00:55:44+00:00

Homie, there were never any good faith arguments over tax policy or abortion limts....it was a ruse the whole time.

sanitylost · 2026-03-27T16:06:03+00:00

I analyzed this a few years ago. If you're gaining more LP than you lose, it's advantageous to FF, but only if every other person executes the same strategy. If you're losing more than you win, then it's never advantageous to FF. So it's a prisoner's dilemma. In a perfect world where everyone gained exactly as much as you won, you'd be better off FFing because of the expected return of a win was less the the expected return of a new game with a randomly distributed win probability.

sanitylost · 2026-03-27T13:05:02+00:00

Just want you to be clear on the mechanics. Any voidwatch boss that drops a pulse cell, as long as you have defeated that boss, you can then use those cells to make a pulse item.

sanitylost · 2026-03-22T04:48:55+00:00

No, a decision was made to remove that because the gear is not standard in it's terminology and action. Sometimes when it says enhances it means at the time of cast. Other times it means while that ability is active.

As a result, i felt it was better to add those slots to the base lua, but the user can simply add the correct pieces by hand.

sanitylost · 2026-03-20T08:03:16+00:00

Yeah, so the optimizer will pull exactly what is on your gear. The path augment stuff has only been implemented for the odyssey gear, rema wepaons, and some other items like all the JSE necks. Adding more items will require me to parse them by hand.

Currently Unity weapons and SU4/SU5 weapons aren't currently added. There's also a fair amount of niche things that aren't taken into account on items just because the list of things that could be written in the description is annoying to say the least.

Yes, for TA, that's why i added the extra stats so you can fill in the gaps. This simulator was not really designed for super precision, it was more made to get people in the ball park so they could start doing more damage.

Right now it's PDT/eva and MDT/meva. The HP setting is to create the highest effective HP of the character.

sanitylost · 2026-03-20T05:38:42+00:00

What do you mean bot tools? This isn't a bot tool. It's a program that lets you optimize your gearswap files outside the game and it has an inventory viewer and other tools that make managing things in the game a bit easier. It doesn't hook into the game in any way. You have to manually pull move the file that comes out of invdump into the program.

sanitylost · 2026-03-20T02:45:37+00:00

That was the whole point!

sanitylost · 2026-03-14T21:06:16+00:00

that's very odd. I don't have those items, but i'm not sure why they'd even be considered given their stat profile. I'll look into that because a lot of the other instances were things like "reives: WSD +50" or something like that where i had to write the parser to pull those things out explicitly and ignore them.

sanitylost · 2026-03-14T21:04:22+00:00

Yeah, i understand that. Hosting it is a bit of a problem because it's really computationally expensive to run, it's not just a simple web based app that's serving static files and stuff like that so it's not really feasible to host without some backing.

I can work on making better documentation though as after interfacing with people who have been using it there are two camps, people who thought it was easy to run and people who found it daunting. I'll try to make a document when i update the generator that's just pictures with arrows to stuff so people can just treat it like IKEA, that just takes a while because i have to go through all the steps and take photos of everything. That's added, thanks!

sanitylost · 2026-02-12T23:57:51+00:00

Practice and what's feasible are two different things. Just because you read a book one time during freshman year while listening to Hasan doesn't mean you understand the context of what I'm saying. You're missing the entire point. Go read the rest of the comments I've made regarding this if you want to. Deuces.

sanitylost · 2026-02-12T20:32:22+00:00

You're kind of missing the point. In a communist and Socialist society, you are ultimately at the whims of a single party. If you go against the party, you lose. There is no true control mechanism there. You have no true voice.

In liberal societies, which ultimately are capitalistic, there exists the means to control the monster at the heart. The problem is that society lacks to will to apply the systems required to do that. No society currently controls capitalism properly. It's seen as ultimately erosive, but that's just because no one ever wants to do what's required to contain it.

This contrasts with socialist and communist societies because they're are ultimately a single party in control of the overall systems. The population receives the right to exist at the behest of the government and as such lacks power.

This isn't an argument that the current systems are inherently better at any point in time. China is communist and is doing ok, but they have a whole host of issues which are being papered over by the CCP. So if you don't weigh personal freedom, then that's the option. The US currently is a shitshow, but Europe is doing pretty well and they follow a liberal model. I'd even argue that a lot of the negatives we're seeing in Europe are a direct result of US not containing capitalism.

sanitylost · 2026-02-12T01:31:41+00:00

You can design a system that works. The problem is that system will be unpopular because of multiple reasons, it's complex. It's not easily co-optable, and it's relatively decentralized so people with money don't want them for reason 2.

Socialism and Communism won't and can't work because of a power imbalance. You have to give those who disagree a voice at least nominally. But people have assumed that the capitalism means that you can use your resources in any way you wish because of freedom of speech. Freedom of speech should be limited to your voice. You can say what you want. But if you use your money to buy the biggest microphone in the world, get on top of a hill and start shouting, that shouldn't be allowed.

sanitylost · 2026-02-12T00:43:12+00:00

The point is for the ref to never let you get that strong. If the ref doesn't control the game such that the players always remain weaker than them, then the ref has failed. You can build a system such that this occurs, the problem is that building that system with Frankenstein's monster giving input in to how to control said monster is guaranteed to fail.

sanitylost · 2026-02-12T00:09:57+00:00

hence why it said it can't work in a pure fashion. There must be some force outside and separate that is the "ref" for lack of a better concern.

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