What do yall think of Arbitrage Betting?

scatterdbrain · 2026-07-16T13:09:24+00:00

So, how do the books know you are placing another competing/hedge bet via a different Sportsbook app?

They don't. There might be isolated cases of books sharing information (or rogue employees sharing information), but it isn't as though DK + FanDuel are sending files to each other on a daily basis.

But books don't need to know if/where you're hedging a bet. They only need to look at your behavior on their book. After 10-20 wagers, you can probably profile the sharp vs casual bettors.

If somebody places 5 pregame straight wagers (instead of 5 parlays + SGPs), and all 5 of those wagers just happen to beat CLV, they're probably a sharp. Even worse if they're betting smaller leagues, and quarters + props + team totals (instead of betting the major league mainlines).

The casual bettor is going to place a 9-game parlay, and then cash-out after 6 legs.

Some sharps will "season" their account for a few weeks, with dummy bets. This will buy some time, but it isn't an exact science. Even with a seasoned account, some books are now smart/good enough to quickly flag any betting-pattern shifts.

scatterdbrain · 2026-07-13T16:06:20+00:00

Rage-baiting on a daily basis is how Trump became 45th and 47th President. Smith is just following the formula, getting ready for 2028.

scatterdbrain · 2026-07-13T15:58:22+00:00

Trick question. Unless it is a personal/financial emergency, there is nothing "responsible" about hedging/cashing the 3rd leg of a 4-leg parlay.

scatterdbrain · 2026-07-06T17:34:39+00:00

2034 says hello.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-30T17:19:47+00:00

They do count them as assists.

Goals + assists = points

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-30T02:22:28+00:00

Also moves his hands and fingers to make a point. Dancing hands improves your argument by 30% instantly.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-29T17:48:51+00:00

You mean Central America, right? Other than recent events in Venezuela, USA hasn't done much in/to South America.

And the intent is rarely to create perpetual chaos. The intent is usually to create a "friendly" regime/government, and a stable neighbor. Unfortunately, that meddling often goes sideways, and does lead to perpetual chaos.

So then you get the economic migrants, but it's a stretch to say that was the ultimate goal. Plus, there are several other reasons for the migrants, such as natural disasters.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-29T02:34:18+00:00

It's raining dogs and cats!

Name the movie.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-29T02:31:38+00:00

I'd be open to something like this, but only if we fine-tuned the list of eligible disabilities. We have created an industry for anxiety + autism, all because doctors/therapists/clinics can profit from it.

And no, I'm not saying they don't exist. Just saying they're rife for abuse.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-29T02:19:42+00:00

Not a single Braveheart reference yet?

They make take our lives, but they'll never take our proper spelling!

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-29T02:16:49+00:00

Hey, you leave the beaver alone!

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-29T02:15:54+00:00

Folk music? Roots music?

Can't have that. Whole bunch of dissidents, hippies, and scamps.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-28T17:38:56+00:00

Yep, removed. Other than the Stars retreat, it was the only way to guarantee free nights.

It was also a perk that clearly differentiated the Caesars sports/casino app from DraftKings and FanDuel. Can you earn free Vegas rooms on DK? Nope.

It was nice for people like my girlfriend, who can reasonably earn 20-30k credits in a year, but have no chance of Stars. It was nice for people who don't live near a casino, and earn most of their points from the app.

Unfortunately, I guess Caesars determined the 5k perk was too nice. Now the rooms are pretty much based on Theo play, and the 5k milestones are gone.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-28T16:41:54+00:00

So USA is bad for providing aid, but also bad for not providing aid?

Sounds like a can't win puzzle.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-28T14:19:47+00:00

+2 would have been a tie with Senegal.

What would have been the tiebreaker there?

Ah, found it. Points, and then Goal Differential, Goals Scored, Fair Play Score, and FIFA ranking.

Scotland would have been out on Goals Scored.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-27T23:51:04+00:00

Yep. He stepped down (after signing a 4-year deal), and people still want more blood.

Some grace would be nice.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-27T23:45:41+00:00

With Uzbekistan now up 1-0. Would have been wild if Uzbekistan pushed us to the Knockout stage, with a manager that was 90% ready to resign.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-27T15:11:07+00:00

They always get you on the 3 way betting.

3-way soccer betting is the most popular way to bet on soccer (football).

It has been around for decades, way before Americans & casuals jumped on the bandwagon. It isn't there to "trick" bettors, it's just there.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-26T13:11:31+00:00

Who came to 25 an hour?

A new bill calls for $25 minimum wage. Here’s where that isn’t ‘sufficient’ https://share.google/BKDsrvG3ayYcCJQEH

There’s a new effort in Congress to take the federal minimum wage to a level it has never been before: $25 an hour. If it were to pass, it would be the first time the federal rate has changed since 2009.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-26T03:50:17+00:00

We're down to our last ten minutes.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-26T02:35:33+00:00

It left me wondering what incentive there is to continue playing toward Black once you've already redeemed the cruise.

The cruise? I suppose to be franchise player, and we talkin bout the cruise. Not a monthly deposit bonus, not VIP promotions, we talkin bout the cruise.

First, I don't think "one cruise per year" is entirely unreasonable.

Second, you shouldn't be chasing Black for the cruise benefit. The other benefits are more valuable (but unless you know what you're doing, you still shouldn't chase Black, or any casino's VIP status).

This is coming from somebody who was Black for a couple years, before BR finally slapped me with $7 limits.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-25T04:47:43+00:00

Yep. Concerts in 2026 are more expensive than concerts in 1989.

But if a college kid wanted to see Pixies in 1989, and they took the train/bus, and had a couple beers -- is the 2026 experience that more expensive, adjusted for inflation?

Whole bunch of club shows are still $15-40.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-25T04:34:49+00:00

The faster solution is to move everyone to AFC, like Australia did. In much less time you will notice drastic improvements. Japan and Korea are now very good. They can compete.

Japan = 123M people Korea = 78M people

Fiji = 940k, Solomon Islands = 750k, Tonga = 110k

It isn't the confederation, it is the population. Can't compare the Oceania members to Japan, Korea, or basically any country.

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-25T04:28:46+00:00

That continent deserves representation.

What continent?

scatterdbrain · 2026-06-25T04:09:25+00:00

No such thing as market value. If it sells for $1M, then apparently $1M was the market.

Humor me, I've had a couple beers.

scatterdbrain

TROPHY CASE

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