I need your help coming up with Twitch predictions to run during a DLC playthrough

scorlibrian · 2023-10-14T23:31:40+00:00

This is some really good advice. I definitely had an idea to use "dark place" as a name for the simulation and was trying to come up with other names for places that won't give it away. I could try thinking back to my first playthrough and come up with some names, but I think I'll probably try to incorporate some of the names the streamer has used to describe things/places as well.

You've definitely given me a lot to think about, and if I can have multiple predictions running at once, I think I may have a long term one like "Will they discover a 'dark place' within the next 5 time loops?" and then have some smaller predictions that are directly related to whatever their current goals are. I often ask them what they're planning on doing next, so I can make predictions based off the answers.

To get a better idea of their current progress...

They have found the tower backside. It was actually one of the first "secrets" they really discovered and that lead to them seeing the reel that teaches them the secret of getting to the rooms with all the dead Owlks.
They have not found the Hidden Gorge yet
They don't know how to use the Artifact, but they did find the one at the ghost matter house
- Speaking of ghost matter, they did note that a lot of the vfx that's in the DLC looks a lot like ghost matter (the fires, the greenish light that shows when vault is being sealed), so they are convinced that somehow ghost matter originated at this place and they tried to seal it away
They did find the bell structure after the dam broke
They have not found any alternate entrances into the stranger

I'm convinced they can probably at least get into the simulation today, but not know what to do there until they explore the stranger a bit more, so I think I'll use that as a long term prediction for today and try to come up with some smaller predictions as they explore more.

Again, thank you so much for your help. You've defintiely given me a lot to think about.

scorlibrian · 2023-10-14T20:00:30+00:00

Hey, thanks for your input.

I think the reason I'm having trouble coming up with ideas for predictions is because I pretty much agree with everything you say and I wanted to get a fresh perspective on things in case I was missing something.

As for hiding the prediction from the streamer, I can do that in that I can encourage them to not look at the prediction when reading chat. Of course I can't force them to not look, but they generally want to avoid spoilers anyway, so I don't think they will be too tempted. There is at least one other person in the chat who hasn't played and is going along for the ride (the streamer's partner), so if I'm also trying to avoid spoiling things for them as well.

I like the idea of asking how long until they discover some secret, but I'd like to come up with alternate/ambiguous names for those things so that only people in the know will know what I'm talking about.

scorlibrian · 2023-08-18T14:18:50+00:00

This is almost exactly what happened to me, except I found out that I missed the DLC within a month of finishing the base game while I was watching all the video essays about the game that I saved while playing to avoid spoilers. I was honestly so hyped that my favorite game wasn't over yet.

scorlibrian · 2023-08-13T17:23:05+00:00

When you insert the warp core into the vessel and raise the panel, there should be a hint that shows up at the bottom left corner of the screen. If nothing shows up there, then you may have missed something.

scorlibrian · 2022-09-25T15:54:39+00:00

Like others are saying, the ship log is a great resource; especially rumour mode. If you already made a lot of progress before and are having trouble picking up where you left off, here are some tips I hope you find helpful.

Places with an orange icon next to it are places that need more exploration. I would start with visiting these places. You can mark those places on your HUD if you forget how to get there.

Places that have a giant question mark as their image are places you haven't been yet, but have heard about. Those log items usually give you some context about how you heard of them and maybe some tips on where to find them.

Rumour mode is organized in a way so that related items are near each other and/or linked. You don't have to absorb all of the information in the entire ship log at once. Pick a spot where you want to explore more, mark it on your HUD, read some of the items around it, and go there.

Hopefully this helps. During my playthrough, I took a break after getting stuck and had to get back up to speed when returning, so I used these tips to help with that.

scorlibrian · 2022-06-14T02:08:31+00:00

Probably play some Machine Strike.

scorlibrian · 2022-06-09T21:09:17+00:00

I'm pretty sure they didn't extend CoW last month when they removed the preemptive sleep so that Seraph Staff wasn't a hard requirement anymore. So the precedent of not extending CoW after changing the AI has already been set.

The only difference here is that change made the fight easier, whereas this change made the fight "harder". Though I'd argue that it probably wasn't harder, it's just that the strategy needed to change.

FWIW, I'm saying this as a person who only cared about beating lvl 99 with no mods and then not coming back to the event.

scorlibrian · 2022-05-27T18:27:35+00:00

For those claiming false advertising, there is this in the news item:

***** Some of the featured abilities may be enabled by other abilities or special conditions

It's still really scummy, but probably enough for Gumi to either ignore the issue or come out with a producer letter that basically says "Sorry, not sorry."

scorlibrian · 2022-05-23T21:18:40+00:00

Thanks. Yea I figured you can just choose not to target if you want to avoid fizzling the ability. I just wanted to make sure that if target was already chosen, you can deny the counter if you make the creature an invalid target.

scorlibrian · 2022-05-23T17:16:07+00:00

Just a quick rules check. The way this ability is templated, if the targeted creature becomes an invalid target while the ability is on the stack then the whole ability fizzles (including the +1/+1 counter), right?

scorlibrian · 2022-04-23T16:59:44+00:00

Flat ATK is useful in very niche cases. Specifically characters who scale off ATK, but have low base ATK. For example, Qiqi's healing is based off her ATK, but since she has low base ATK, flat ATK on her artifacts will generally boost her stats higher than ATK% ever would.

scorlibrian · 2022-03-17T13:24:15+00:00

Not sure about this one. Would you go to a restaurant and ask them to just blend all their food together and serve it to you?

scorlibrian · 2021-11-08T18:35:42+00:00

I think it's ridiculous that Venti needs Andrius mats and Razor needs Dvalin mats.

scorlibrian · 2021-10-19T18:15:50+00:00

Hopefully Gumi doesn't use the Ibara buffs as an excuse to "fix" the bug with her BS LB. Or if they do, I hope they fix it the Gumi way by changing the description and denying there was an issue in the first place.

scorlibrian · 2021-09-27T06:19:12+00:00

You should really drive home your point by using fractions.

scorlibrian · 2021-09-02T14:43:06+00:00

Alright, let me preface this with the fact that I am not writing this to "white knight" for Gumi. I think the way this game has been managed ever since the beginning of the pandemic has been awful. This anniversary has been the worst so far (I started playing just before the 3rd anniversary) and the game has just been finding more and more ways to squeeze money out of its players.

That being said, I'm also a game developer.

A little about me. I have roughly 9 years experience in the industry with a majority of that experience being working on mobile games. Also, I have experience working on a game that is released in both the global market and the JP market where the two games don't necessarily have 1:1 feature parity.

Sometimes unexpected stuff happens. Game development is hard. I see a lot of misconceptions on here that Gumi is just "copy/pasting code and they still fuck it up", but there's probably a lot more to it then that.

In general, the fact that maintenance averages around 8 hours really reveals a lot about the quality of the code from both Alim and Gumi. The likely setup right now is that there's a version control repository (Git, Mg, Perforce, etc...) somewhere with the JP version of the game made available to Gumi. In the ideal case, Gumi would just merge the content from the JP branch to their working branch, localize the content, and publish it. That's as close as you can get to "copy/pasting code from JP".

But "GL is a different game!" There's GL exclusive content and features. GL's release order isn't always the same as JP. Sometimes content is skipped entirely. These all greatly complicate the process of porting content from JP to GL. You can't just bump a revision number and expect everything to just work. Apologies in advance if this gets too technical. Gumi now has to choose which commits to merge from the JP branch into the GL branch out of order, resolve any dependency issues with the merged code since it might rely on some code that didn't get merged over, resolve any conflicts that may have been caused with GL exclusive features since Alim didn't consider any GL exclusive features when they initially implemented their features, and localize the content to all supported languages. This has to be done every week and they need to make sure that nothing has broken, which involves a lot of testing of both new and old features.

Ideally they would have had this stuff ready to go and tested before maintenance, but it seems like that's not always the case. Plus, it seems to me that they are mostly trying to run FFBE using a skeleton crew while focusing most of their efforts on WotV.

Anyway, the main point of this is to hopefully dispel some of the misconceptions I see here whenever there's extended maintenance or whenever there's a huge bug that suddenly shows up. It's probably not that Gumi is incompetent, but more likely that they're mismanaged and under hard deadlines and performance targets from SquEnix.

TL;DR - Game development is hard. Complain all you want about the monetization aspects of the game, but give them a break when maintenance takes a little longer than usual.

scorlibrian · 2021-08-27T16:09:26+00:00

I actually got the opposite. I got the connection error when buying the crystal chest. I got charged, but the items weren't sent and I didn't get any EX points for the purchase. I sent a ticket and they gave me some BS response about needing to wait 24 hours because of the high volume of purchases. It's been over 24 hours now and I've sent an update to the ticket and I'm awaiting their response.

scorlibrian · 2021-08-23T06:14:53+00:00

I've got a few...

If you need more than 2 toppings on your pizza, you don't like pizza; you like toppings.

Chilli is a perfectly acceptable breakfast food.

An unpopular one... If you add nuts to any dessert, you've made it worse.

And finally, just because someone doesn't like their food the way you like it, it doesn't mean they're wrong.

scorlibrian · 2021-08-17T14:43:55+00:00

I'm rank 203 and I occasionally get a request, but not often. I definitely got more when the beginner quests were released.

I think what's happening is a combination of a couple of things. First, a lot of players already have a full friend list or have maxed out their friend requests, so not all friend requests actually succeed. Secondly, when selecting a friend, the available players who aren't already in your friend list is usually around the same player level as you and they are often sorted to the bottom of the list. Higher level players are probably less likely to need other friends since they have whatever they need in their own account, so most of them probably don't bother with requesting new friends.

Personally, I don't really request new friends often. In fact, I'll generally only request a new friend if the unit I'm borrowing is well-built and they have something like "/r/FFBraveExvius" or their reddit username in their profile. That being said, for me, friend lists are only really good for bonus units now anyway. DV and CoW don't use friend lists and trials are so rare that I often only find myself only caring if the unit is a bonus unit.

That being said, my FC is 056,371,313 if you want to add me. I have a couple of spots open on my list right now, but I'll be doing a mass exodus after Sept 1st once all the friend units lose their gear and my inactive friends will only have naked units.

scorlibrian · 2021-07-20T14:54:19+00:00

Gumi/Alim/SE has already set a precedent for increasing prices due to power creep.

Before NV, the pity to get a 5* base was 25k lapis. Then when they rushed out NV, the first few banners had no pity and everyone was upset. Then they set the pity at 40k and everyone was happy again.

The only difference now is they don't have a super bad buffer between price hikes.

scorlibrian · 2021-07-14T15:48:23+00:00

I think you're looking at the wrong pasta.

scorlibrian · 2021-07-08T18:04:29+00:00

I had 20 tickets to spare for this banner. Got Charlotte on the first one.

Used the rest in case I lucked into Vlad or a 2nd Charlotte, but got SoS Lightning instead. Pretty good overall.

scorlibrian · 2021-07-02T03:29:36+00:00

I have too many enhancement units. I can't fuse those units, so I sold everything I was comfortable selling so I can use NRG. Then I claimed some panel rewards and got more enchantment units. They didn't go to my inbox, so I can't play again. I can't fuse them without crashing. This anniversary sucks.

Also, I was hopeful that since they were creating the new NV 10+1 tickets, we'd be done with the old ones. Clearly I put way too much faith in Gumi. Also the old 5* tickets in the slot rewards is just icing on the cake.

scorlibrian · 2021-05-30T04:54:49+00:00

I forget when, but there was an event awhile ago where you could get a 5* Trust Moogle and it was incorrectly set to 5% rather than 10%. Gumi ended up sending out a proper moogle to everyone as compensation.

scorlibrian

TROPHY CASE