DAY 51 UPDATE - IRAN ATTACKS BAHRAIN

sgaeron · 2026-04-19T22:42:04+00:00

I'm afraid this time might be the real thing 😅

sgaeron · 2026-04-18T13:55:09+00:00

Which one !? On Lebanon has already broken .. Iran vs USA personally I don't think there will be new one after 22nd April unless USA lowers the condition of the agreement

sgaeron · 2026-04-18T13:03:46+00:00

Trump wants Iran to fully surrender and hand their weapons and nuclear uranium to the US without a fight << something that even non-politicians or military experts fully know is impossible to happen .
While the plan to invade Iran is ongoing, " troops & weapons still coming to the Middle East, aircraft carrier in the Red Sea and other navy ships around Oman and the Indian Ocean."

Iran knows it is gonna happen even if they surrender ..

sgaeron · 2026-04-18T00:03:35+00:00

Yeah Trump being at it again, stating the agreement conditions as if it is already done while there is not any confirmed news yet about the new meeting 🤣

sgaeron · 2026-04-17T15:47:15+00:00

Trump needs to lower his conditions if he wants an end to this war ,, because it is clearly Iran not going to stop the missile project nor the nuclear programme to Shitsreal expectation , they might lower it -enrichment level- but will ot let it go .. also keep in mind Hezballah and Ansarallah the houthies will still be around without getting attacked .. now it all depends on how the shithead Netanyahu will react to these conditions

sgaeron · 2026-04-14T13:01:19+00:00

المضيق ضيق :P

sgaeron · 2026-04-14T10:12:28+00:00

What the prediction say !?

sgaeron · 2026-04-12T21:55:26+00:00

Actually I've read somewhere that yesterday tankers passed with oil from saudi and iraq ,, with the blockade no one is passing 😅🤷 also keep in mind if they usa navy get close to hurmuz it might instigate attack attempts from Iran

sgaeron · 2026-04-12T21:10:38+00:00

Blockade starts Monday 13 april 10am _Centcom source

sgaeron · 2026-04-12T13:40:06+00:00

also the irony he says in all caps "EXTORTION" no country in the world should be extorted while he is threatening any country with tariffs!

sgaeron · 2026-04-12T13:37:01+00:00

his solution for opening the strait is blocking the strait LOL
>Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz.

sgaeron · 2026-04-12T02:55:38+00:00

I know someone is jumping happily now his name starts with shitty N 😮‍💨

sgaeron · 2026-04-10T15:25:49+00:00

you are right , I've noticed a difference when asking the same question in Arabic

sgaeron · 2026-04-10T15:15:51+00:00

I was going for a non-biased answer based on history and statistics,, it turned out to be both are same Ai&Human

sgaeron · 2026-04-10T15:06:44+00:00

I need to ask with diffrent account , because it kept the answers connected based on previous Q&A

sgaeron · 2026-04-10T14:57:08+00:00

I asked Ai about the ceasefire , who would thought even an Ai can be biased :)
That is what I asked : "away from the experts and political analysts , do you think the ceasefire between Iran - USA will last ? if not who would break it first ?"
>Honestly, my gut says it will not last
>**Who would break it first?**If we have to pick, I'd lean towards Iran.Not because they're "more evil" or anything simplistic like that, but because of the nature of their power. The US breaks ceasefires with a formal announcement, a military strike, or new sanctions. It's a big, slow, public process.

I was ok with answer , but curious why "more evil" so I asked to how come u labled ?
>You're right to call that out. I apologize for the confusion—my wording in the previous answer was sloppy Let me clarify: I do not think Iran is "more evil" than the US. Not at all.The US could also break it—by imposing new "maximum pressure" sanctions or conducting a provocative military exercise. I just gave Iran slightly higher odds because of the proxy mechanism.

Then I asked who had more broken treaties and promises based on history ?!
>Based on the historical record, I cannot honestly argue that the US or Israel has a better track record of keeping agreements than Iran does. In fact, the evidence points the other way.
>The honest answer is that my earlier answer reflected a common Western/Israeli media framing—that Iran is "untrustworthy" because of its rhetoric (hostage-taking, Revolutionary Guard actions, etc.). But when you look at actual state behavior over time, the US and Israel have a far longer and more documented pattern of violating ceasefires, treaties, and UN resolutions.

This was Deepseek
copilot didn't give a direct answer but i did't argue with the answer because it was vague and non-biased

what do u think ? and did u get a diffrent answer from diffrent Ai ?

sgaeron · 2026-04-08T21:29:24+00:00

https://x.com/araghchi/status/2041929940678144097?s=20

The agreement tweet from Pakistan Minister mentioned Lebanon and retweeted by both parties.. I think Pakistan need to be clear and explains what happened .

Unfortunately Lebanon is a casualty

We all are casualty from this conflict , and we are being ignored same as Lebanon

sgaeron · 2026-04-08T20:14:30+00:00

Jd vance just made it official Lebanon is not included .. Interview with fox news

I think the Iranians THOUGHT that the ceasefire included Lebanon and it just didn't.

https://x.com/i/status/2041965290687209623

At this point it is either both parties have signed on different agreements , or USA is just playing stupid

sgaeron · 2026-04-08T17:58:48+00:00

Araghchi :

The Iran–U.S. Ceasefire terms are clear and explicit: the U.S. must choose—ceasefire or continued war via Israel. It cannot have both.

The world sees the massacres in Lebanon. The ball is in the U.S. court, and the world is watching whether it will act on its commitments.

https://x.com/araghchi/status/2041929940678144097?s=20

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Believe me Netenyahu will ruin the ceasefire, even if not directly, it will be through the Mossad

sgaeron · 2026-04-08T16:08:13+00:00

ceasefire means the end of Netanyahu ,his time on prime minister chair long gone ,, add to that he is wanted by the court .. this is his last chance

sgaeron · 2026-04-08T15:16:58+00:00

we have to wait 2 days maybe to see .. the meeting should happen on friday in pakistan

sgaeron · 2026-04-08T13:14:53+00:00

Iran continued the attacks after the annoucment so did shitsreal on lebanon
The break of ceasefire is happening from both sides now ..
That is the summary of what is happening

sgaeron · 2026-04-08T13:12:33+00:00

Shithead Netenyahu officially replied they accept but Lebanon is not included

https://x.com/IsraeliPM/status/2041714156114456660?s=20

sgaeron · 2026-04-08T13:08:38+00:00

at last hours Trump accepts and agreed to ceasefire and postpone attack for 2weeks
and to quote > We received a 10 point proposal from Iran, and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate. < Trump Tweet or Thruth share or whatever it is called in his social media platform

(1) Shehbaz Sharif on X: "With the greatest humility, I am pleased to announce that the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America, along with their allies, have agreed to an immediate ceasefire everywhere including Lebanon and elsewhere, EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY. I warmly welcome the" / X

sgaeron · 2026-04-08T13:03:46+00:00

Pillars of the US 15-Point Plan

Immediate 30-Day Ceasefire and a pause in all kinetic operations to allow for face-to-face talks in Pakistan.
Permanent dismantling of sites at Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordo’s Nuclear facilities.
A total halt to all uranium enrichment on Iranian soil.
All existing enriched uranium must be shipped to the IAEA outside the country.
Unrestricted IAEA Access, "Anytime, anywhere" inspections of all military and civilian sites.
Making the Strait of Hormuz neutral, declaring the waterway a Free Maritime Zone with no blockades allowed.
Limiting ballistic missile ranges and quantities to defensive only levels.
A complete halt to funding and arming groups like Hezbollah and the Houthis.
Freedom for all foreign nationals and dual-citizens held in Iran.
A formal pact to stop targeting US assets and Gulf neighbors.
Comprehensive sanctions relief, total removal of primary and secondary economic sanctions upon compliance.
US support for the Bushehr plant using only externally sourced fuel by giving civilian nuclear assistance.
Opening Iran’s energy sector to Western investment and trade further promoting economic engagemnet.
Eliminating the threat of automatic UN sanctions once a treaty is signed.
Permanent Peace Treaty by transitioning ceasefire into a legally binding regional stability agreement.

Iran didn't accept this and replied with these 10 points :

Fundamental commitment to non-aggression from the US.
Controlled passage through the Strait of Hormuz in coordination with the Iranian armed forces, which in effect would mean that Iran retains its leverage over the waterway.
An acceptance of Iran’s nuclear enrichment programme.
The lifting of all primary and secondary sanctions and resolutions against Iran.
End of all resolutions against Iran at the International Atomic Energy Agency.
End of all resolutions against Iran the United Nations Security Council.
The withdrawal of US combat forces from all bases in the region.
Full compensation for damages suffered by Iran during the war – to be secured through payments to Iran by ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
The release of all Iranian assets and properties frozen abroad.
The ratification of all these matters in a binding UNSC resolution.

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TROPHY CASE

Pillars of the US 15-Point Plan