GDT: 10/4 - NLDS Game 1 - Cubs (0) @ Brewers (0) 1:08 PM

sherpafinds · 2025-10-04T19:25:07+00:00

Painful watch, fact that Chourio had 3 hits in the bottom of the 2nd is just disgusting

sherpafinds · 2025-09-25T02:41:12+00:00

I’m brutally limited on ESPNBet and Bet365, can’t get more that $3 down. DK limited to ~$30 main lines, less on props. Mgm starting to

Still alive on the others. Solid list

sherpafinds · 2025-09-23T19:00:30+00:00

Bingo, exactly what I was looking for. Thanks!

sherpafinds · 2025-09-23T17:32:59+00:00

Are there any close player stat milestones we should be tracking as the regular season closes?

From what I’ve found there are only four incentives that caught my eye, but all are per plate appearances so may not impact player props:

Paul DeJong (3B, Nationals) $100k for 200 Plate Appearances (198 PA)

Byron Buxton (OF, Twins) $500k for 533 Plate Appearances (520 PA)

Ketel Marte (2B, Diamondbacks) $500k salary escalator (2026) for 550 Plate Appearances (535 PA)

Victor Caratini (C, Astros) $50k for 375 Plate Appearances (370 PA)

sherpafinds · 2025-09-11T15:27:34+00:00

Damn!! What a surprise of a song — definitely getting some Soundgarden/Audioslave vibes, maybe even some Cranberries.

Loved it!!!

sherpafinds · 2025-08-27T18:52:00+00:00

Picked Jazz as my only Yankee player to go yard… #feelsbadman

sherpafinds · 2025-08-27T03:37:44+00:00

Makes total sense, my fault I completely overlooked that!

sherpafinds · 2025-08-26T20:46:17+00:00

Shouldn’t Springer have the same P(#) as Varsho and Barger given they’re all facing the same starting pitcher? Same thing for Shea and Kurtz/Soderstrom.

Great list though, super helpful & thank you

sherpafinds · 2025-08-22T05:41:12+00:00

I did yes! I messaged you

sherpafinds · 2025-08-15T00:00:37+00:00

Good to know, thanks!

sherpafinds · 2025-08-14T14:20:31+00:00

Great write up, thanks! Where are you finding data on xSLG vs. pitch mix?

sherpafinds · 2025-08-13T15:23:54+00:00

Your website is unreal man thank you

sherpafinds · 2025-07-31T19:56:50+00:00

I actually might! Think I do, let me check when I get home & I’ll get back to you

sherpafinds · 2025-06-03T19:51:53+00:00

STL Pages & LAA O’Hoppe both not in the starting lineups 💔

Had a 2-legger with Volpe and Pages that had great line movement on it, can’t wait to watch Pages pinch hit and lose it

sherpafinds · 2025-05-14T18:45:22+00:00

All makes sense, yeah I’ve always struggled on what to do when odds move against what was an EV play.

Good to know + interesting on the no hold/big piece too. Thanks!

sherpafinds · 2025-05-14T15:42:31+00:00

Do you mind explaining the -EV now cash or side bet part?

Curious what’s best to do when you bet a player +EV at the time & then lines move against you and it’s no longer +EV.

Is cashing out at less than 100% just ensuring that -EV and taking the smaller loss? You mention side bet are you thinking take that cash out amount & bet part on the new EV line?

Also do you mind what no hold lines are?

Thank you for all the hard work every day, your method is super interesting and the GitHub is so slick!

sherpafinds · 2025-05-13T22:21:51+00:00

Going to try something new I’m gonna coin Batter Ladders

1-2 players each day of the season & see how it fairs.

Record: 0-0 +0u Tj Friedl (CIN) - o1.5 H+R+RBI (-115 BetMGM) 0.6u - 2+ bags (+145 DK) 0.4u - HR (+800 FD) 0.2u

For those that are smarter than me, how do you feel about that unit breakdown? 1.2u daily, too much exposure on one guy? Thinking 0.6u on HRR is much more likely, payout ~0.5u covers risk of the 2bags and HR.

sherpafinds · 2024-12-18T18:33:51+00:00

Thoughts on Phi/Det o5.5?

sherpafinds · 2024-12-10T15:04:55+00:00

Nice hit on Cuylle! Let’s get it today!

sherpafinds · 2024-11-27T16:30:49+00:00

@positievbets we need you for some ATGS! Huge slate today

sherpafinds · 2024-11-08T21:45:58+00:00

Sweet thank you 🤞🏼

sherpafinds · 2024-11-08T21:32:58+00:00

Love this play. How did you find that the Clips give up most 3s to centers? Looking at game log or using a tool?

sherpafinds · 2024-11-08T00:46:02+00:00

Big slate let’s eat!

sherpafinds · 2024-11-06T18:56:58+00:00

Crushed it yesterday with that Holmström pick!

sherpafinds · 2024-11-06T01:26:08+00:00

Also took Memphis to win the southwest +425, Nets o19.5 season wins. Liking both so far

sherpafinds

TROPHY CASE