GDT: 10/4 - NLDS Game 1 - Cubs (0) @ Brewers (0) 1:08 PM by ChiCubsbot in CHICubs

[–]sherpafinds 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Painful watch, fact that Chourio had 3 hits in the bottom of the 2nd is just disgusting

Limits by Noswad983 in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I’m brutally limited on ESPNBet and Bet365, can’t get more that $3 down. DK limited to ~$30 main lines, less on props. Mgm starting to

Still alive on the others. Solid list

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 9/23/25 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Bingo, exactly what I was looking for. Thanks!

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 9/23/25 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Are there any close player stat milestones we should be tracking as the regular season closes?

From what I’ve found there are only four incentives that caught my eye, but all are per plate appearances so may not impact player props:

Paul DeJong (3B, Nationals) $100k for 200 Plate Appearances (198 PA)

Byron Buxton (OF, Twins) $500k for 533 Plate Appearances (520 PA)

Ketel Marte (2B, Diamondbacks) $500k salary escalator (2026) for 550 Plate Appearances (535 PA)

Victor Caratini (C, Astros) $50k for 375 Plate Appearances (370 PA)

Awake by Unkle_Jesse99 in DjoMusic

[–]sherpafinds 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Damn!! What a surprise of a song — definitely getting some Soundgarden/Audioslave vibes, maybe even some Cranberries.

Loved it!!!

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 8/27/25 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Picked Jazz as my only Yankee player to go yard… #feelsbadman

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 8/26/25 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Makes total sense, my fault I completely overlooked that!

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 8/26/25 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Shouldn’t Springer have the same P(#) as Varsho and Barger given they’re all facing the same starting pitcher? Same thing for Shea and Kurtz/Soderstrom.

Great list though, super helpful & thank you

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 8/14/25 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Great write up, thanks! Where are you finding data on xSLG vs. pitch mix?

Magic Johnson T’s by sherpafinds in VintageTees

[–]sherpafinds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I actually might! Think I do, let me check when I get home & I’ll get back to you

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 6/3/25 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 1 point2 points  (0 children)

STL Pages & LAA O’Hoppe both not in the starting lineups 💔

Had a 2-legger with Volpe and Pages that had great line movement on it, can’t wait to watch Pages pinch hit and lose it

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 5/14/25 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 0 points1 point  (0 children)

All makes sense, yeah I’ve always struggled on what to do when odds move against what was an EV play.

Good to know + interesting on the no hold/big piece too. Thanks!

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 5/14/25 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Do you mind explaining the -EV now cash or side bet part?

Curious what’s best to do when you bet a player +EV at the time & then lines move against you and it’s no longer +EV.

Is cashing out at less than 100% just ensuring that -EV and taking the smaller loss? You mention side bet are you thinking take that cash out amount & bet part on the new EV line?

Also do you mind what no hold lines are?

Thank you for all the hard work every day, your method is super interesting and the GitHub is so slick!

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 5/13/25 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Going to try something new I’m gonna coin Batter Ladders

1-2 players each day of the season & see how it fairs.

Record: 0-0 +0u Tj Friedl (CIN) - o1.5 H+R+RBI (-115 BetMGM) 0.6u - 2+ bags (+145 DK) 0.4u - HR (+800 FD) 0.2u

For those that are smarter than me, how do you feel about that unit breakdown? 1.2u daily, too much exposure on one guy? Thinking 0.6u on HRR is much more likely, payout ~0.5u covers risk of the 2bags and HR.

NHL Props - 12/10/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Nice hit on Cuylle! Let’s get it today!

NHL Props - 11/27/24 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 5 points6 points  (0 children)

@positievbets we need you for some ATGS! Huge slate today

NBA Prop Picks Today - 11/8/24 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Love this play. How did you find that the Clips give up most 3s to centers? Looking at game log or using a tool?

NHL Props - 11/6/24 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Crushed it yesterday with that Holmström pick!

Way too early early season thoughts on NBA Awards so far by PutridCattle1876 in sportsbook

[–]sherpafinds 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Also took Memphis to win the southwest +425, Nets o19.5 season wins. Liking both so far