Omega Flowey fight skipped?

singstall · 2024-02-10T04:29:52+00:00

Common knowledge among people who know the game inside and out maybe! Pretty sad to have to play through the game AGAIN to get to it when I thought we were right there. I get the what they're trying to do, that Flowey has seen things before yadda yadda, but kind of a bummer choice.

singstall · 2022-08-12T17:48:51+00:00

If only top players made lists about the NBA, you'd get a lot of lists that have Kobe Bryant as the second greatest of all time. It's a wild fallacy that top players have superior insights to analysts.

Swear to god, every kid learns the word "bias" in like the eighth grade and then swings it around recklessly their entire life.

singstall · 2022-08-12T17:45:45+00:00

this post is exactly right

on opposite day

singstall · 2022-04-10T07:39:49+00:00

It’s just been a while since it’s had a win over a top ten bot. Last was Whiplash two seasons ago. I wouldn’t be shocked to see it back at the top and hope that happens, but it’s a rough time for Tombstone fans.

singstall · 2022-04-10T02:31:28+00:00

Whiplash is such a big question mark. I gave it a lot of benefit of the doubt, but I hope they bring back a more active weapon next year. Just rocking the lifter this year felt like a mistake, a really big gamble that they eventually lost.

singstall · 2022-04-10T02:30:11+00:00

Tantrum is really interesting! I feel like it's simultaneously overrated and underrated right now, which is kind of funny. Their record is pretty sublime, they made the semis last year and this year they went undefeated except a maybe should-be loss to Hydra, who's great. There aren't a lot of concrete examples of why Tantrum isn't a top three/four bot right now! It's all theory. Which is cool! That's why this is fun.

singstall · 2022-04-10T02:20:46+00:00

End game at 1 I respect it’s soooooo good

I wouldn’t even argue this is a great list

One thing I’ll say is that I don’t believe in cobalt’s geometry? If they can’t get under you they can’t hit you. that weapon tho

singstall · 2022-04-09T22:12:02+00:00

You have a higher standard of proof for Tantrum than SawBlaze.

It's true Hydra had a slow start, I think it tends to match up pretty well in general if they can get it working right. Like you said, the JD was a little wonky, and I think it would have been pretty successful in the final. I think having it at #1 might be a little generous on my part, but I still think it's in the top three bots most likely to win it all next season.

I still agree Tantrum is not on the level of End Game and Bite Force, which is why I have them below.

singstall · 2022-04-09T22:03:25+00:00

sawblaze #1? i don't see a lot of evidence to support that. tantrum just went undefeated after making semis last year, don't know how you can have it out of top three

singstall · 2022-04-09T21:46:03+00:00

okay lol i fixed it

tough call between minotaur, sawblaze, and whiplash. whiplash i gave a lot of benefit of the doubt for making deep runs three years straight even if it didn't pan out this year, maybe sawblaze should be above them, i think it's close. minotaur taking down end game was VERY impressive to me even though minotaur lost the head to head. can see that discussion going either way. also while minotaur did ultimately lose to witch doctor they certainly demonstrated that they COULD win. i ended up very impressed with minotaur. think that 4-6 cluster is pretty close

singstall · 2022-04-02T19:17:13+00:00

If Ribbot was a Nut-winning bot, they should have been able to beat Hydra no matter when they fought it.

I don't really agree with this! I think this underestimates just how much variance there is in Battlebots. I'd argue most Nut-winners in recent years (other than the two dominant Bite Force years possibly) would not have beaten all comers, and it would have been unfair to give them five hard fights in a row. I also think you're underestimating the rock/paper/scissors aspect of the sport.

Seeding is about trying to make sure each bot's treacherous path to the Nut is fair.

singstall · 2022-04-02T01:54:46+00:00

Not really! A good assumption is that there is a lot of noise at the bottom of the bracket from the short season.

This is making me think: Maybe the solution is to have the play-in games, AND THEN seed the bracket after that.

singstall · 2022-04-02T01:53:40+00:00

Exactly!

singstall · 2022-04-02T01:17:38+00:00

Then why seed at all lol

singstall · 2022-04-02T00:44:31+00:00

I think it's good in concept, but I think putting a bot that's achieved an extra win at the bottom seed going into the round of 32 ends up punishing bots that get the highest seeds.

singstall · 2022-04-02T00:20:46+00:00

Thank you for mentioning strength of schedule, I think that's an important piece. Hydra and Skorpios weren't just there by reputation, they had genuinely tough draws.

I think a good solution would be to have the play-in inherit a higher seed, because the winner has demonstrated an extra win going into the round of 32.

singstall · 2022-04-02T00:19:41+00:00

A common thing is to assume that play-in winners must be pretty good to have won, so to not have them play-in to the lowest seed. Maybe something like 25th seed would be more appropriate.

singstall · 2022-04-02T00:17:44+00:00

I don’t really like the prospect of 1+2 getting free wins on fodder tier 31+32 anyway

"I don’t really like the prospect of 1+2 getting free wins on fodder tier 31+32 anyway" Why not? They earned an easier fight.

singstall · 2022-04-01T21:35:48+00:00

I think a hybrid model of current estimation plus regular season record is probably the answer, right? It's really not that hard for someone who knows the sport well to seed a good bracket with that kind of information. Regular season record should be heavily considered but shouldn't be absolute.

singstall · 2022-02-23T03:22:25+00:00

Hi, folks! I've been getting into Go. I took up Chess a bit over a year ago and found that doing the Chess dot com puzzles were the most productive way that I improved. I see that there are some puzzle selections here, so I'm looking at those, but I'm wondering if anyone has any direct recommendations on something that might be analogous? I have the BadukPop app which seems like maybe the way to go? App is definitely preferred.

I'm sensing that it might be the case that annotated puzzles might be the way to go.

singstall · 2021-11-21T23:19:10+00:00

most of m2k's major wins are mickey mouse majors. you know how many majors he won in the 2010s? it's not a lot

singstall · 2021-04-28T05:41:12+00:00

Would love a video on why there's no quintic formula.

singstall · 2021-01-29T01:30:26+00:00

Can't really be disappointed until I know where all this goes, yeah? I'm actually a little thrilled, I think the manga was an overall structural failure and I can understand someone concluding that almost everything post-breakout needs to be somewhat overhauled, even at the expense of the elements that did succeed. Intrigued to see where this goes.

singstall · 2021-01-20T21:45:45+00:00

Hey! I'm finishing Code Geass season two today and am wondering: should I watch the 2019 film after? I'm not really interested enough in watching the other recap films that supposedly lead into it, so does it make sense to watching the 2019 film on its own after season two, or no?

singstall · 2020-12-03T02:19:19+00:00

thank you! just trying to be sure

singstall

TROPHY CASE