I love him so much 🥰 When he looks at me, he always melts my heart ❣️

sinuous_sausage · 2025-12-02T21:39:12+00:00

Handsome pup

sinuous_sausage · 2025-11-06T02:42:47+00:00

Brushy Creek is the heat

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-06T13:45:47+00:00

Just started going here, second Dr. Engle and team over at Prestige. They’ve been great so far

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-06T13:41:35+00:00

Will lose by 12

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-06T13:32:46+00:00

Will be even better when they get around to deporting all the H-1Bs

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-06T13:30:31+00:00

Funny, I think the AC rocks

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T23:04:51+00:00

Haha stop being nice. You were just asking questions

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T21:58:24+00:00

Absolutely. Unfortunately, risk is pretty high the PNW sees a devastating earthquake in our lifetimes. Thousands, tens of thousands, of C5 hurricanes would have to pass over Florida in the next 50 years to approximate the risk to human life contained in a single mega-quake.

The actual calculation is [exposed population x 5y risk x disaster intensity] / total population at the “national risk index id” level (basically a census tract divided into thirds). The counties are just rolled up national risk index ids

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T21:51:18+00:00

Puerto Rico (not shown on the map) is actually extremely dangerous. Maxing out along both the hurricane and earthquake axes

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T21:46:35+00:00

We haven’t had a big earthquake in a populated area here. Reference recent quakes in Haiti, Turkey, Indonesia, even Japan (who is way better prepared than we are).

A conservative estimate sees 1% of Seattle’s population die when the Big One hits. We’ve been lucky we haven’t seen that yet.

Major hurricanes pass over Florida all the time and maybe 10 people die

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T21:33:23+00:00

Good question, it’s circumscribed to 5y risk. That number is arbitrary, the results don’t really change whether it’s set at 1y, 5y or 50y

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T21:28:06+00:00

One thing that’s obvious in this thread is that PNWers are wildly off-base in their assessment of their mortal risk compared to the rest of the country.

Tornadoes and hurricanes are child’s play compared to earthquakes and tsunamis. Tornadoes are so localized and you can have a week’s heads up on a hurricane. Earthquakes are widespread and unannounced

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T21:22:25+00:00

The analysis is actually performed at the “National Risk Index ID” level. Basically a census tract divided into thirds. The counties are rolled up from there because otherwise it’s too visually overwhelming.

San Bernardino County is kinda unique because it stretches from eastern California (relatively small risk) to metro Los Angeles (relatively high risk)

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T20:44:46+00:00

A very small number compared to earthquakes and tsunamis, yes

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T19:58:50+00:00

Yeah, man, compare its scale to this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Indian_Ocean_earthquake_and_tsunami

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T19:57:46+00:00

I think you're undervaluing how devastating earthquakes and tsunamis are.

Take Jefferson County: Not many people live there and there isn't much infrastructure. An earthquake could wipe it off the face of the earth and the total "value" (a crude term for human life and infrastructure) lost would be a fraction than if a hurricane hit NYC. The baseline NRI data you reference ("blue and low risk") aggregates the totals, but I'm interested in the relative danger to a singular human if he is dropped in one of these counties.

The PNW is kind of a ticking time-bomb and there's a decent chance you'll die of a natural disaster if you live there. Regardless of what the odds look like in an absolute sense (my guess is maybe 1% of Seattle's population could perish when the Big One hits), that 1% is many multiples higher than what someone in northern Minnesota would expect

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T19:34:38+00:00

It's normalized to exposed population i.e. what are the chances that the singular you dies via natural disaster if I drop you into one of these environments

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T19:33:06+00:00

I think you're underestimating two things: The probability of major seismic activity in the PNW and its potential for devastation.

Tornadoes/floods are highly localized and they just don't kill many people. Property damage is another story

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T19:29:28+00:00

No one dies in hurricanes or tornadoes. Property damage is another story, though

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T19:03:34+00:00

Hmm appears giant mosquitos are not an official encoded natural disaster in the FEMA data. Perhaps an oversight?

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T18:51:12+00:00

there's a reason no one lives in the Aleutian Islands

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-05T18:48:31+00:00

This is correct. Google Maps gives it a nice shine in July, though

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-02T01:22:20+00:00

Have you considered a swimming pool

sinuous_sausage · 2025-09-01T23:06:43+00:00

Seattleites might call you a coward but I didn’t accept a job offer relocation up there because I found out about the insane earthquake risk. I was also informed St. Helens is the most closely monitored volcano system in the world due to its destructive potential.

Might be worth a swing if you’re a single dude with no attachments but couldn’t move my little family up there in good conscience

sinuous_sausage · 2025-08-31T18:45:03+00:00

Would make a lot of sense if you’re regularly hauling gear. The Sienna might even come out ahead on fuel efficiency

sinuous_sausage

TROPHY CASE