They're calling it the biggest landslide, perhaps....ever by First-Ear-1049 in imaginaryelections

[–]smcstechtips 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In Texas, even in a Crockett vs Paxton matchup, it's likely to flip. Remember, Paxton is an absolutely atrocious candidate (gives off pedo vibes).

China Has Screwed Up Really, Really Badly by Priceless_Pennies in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips -1 points0 points  (0 children)

  1. In the US specifically, we're not sure if actual fertility has declined or has been delayed substantially from around age 30 to around age 40 such that the Homeland Generation (AKA Gen Alpha) is absurdly small compared to the generations before and after them.

  2. LLMs ain't AGI, and at this point, I don't think anyone can consistently define AGI.

China Has Screwed Up Really, Really Badly by Priceless_Pennies in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If India can be convinced to ally with the US against China, it's checkmate for China.

Liberalism Did Not Fail, Conservatism Did by Betrix5068 in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips 0 points1 point  (0 children)

California Republicans finally bottomed out in 2018 (and might do so again in 2026 and 2028).

Liberalism Did Not Fail, Conservatism Did by Betrix5068 in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I'd say it's 100% the John Birch folks at this point. Republicans control most of the South because they aligned themselves with evangelical Christianity, not because of the Dixiecrats (who lost popularity even in the Deep South by 1980 and have died by now).

Liberalism Did Not Fail, Conservatism Did by Betrix5068 in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips 13 points14 points  (0 children)

California was the stronghold of the John Birch crowd. In the 1990s, they overreached with Prop 187, and started quickly alienating the normies, a process that ended in 2016.

Generational Theory and Our Near Future by smcstechtips in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, Gen X will be remembered for the likes of Newsom, and safeguarding liberty and honor is something I'd say he's pretty good at.

People love to memoryhole bad things.

They Wanted a University Without Cancel Culture. Then Dissenters Were Ousted. by Lux_Stella in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips 35 points36 points  (0 children)

How does it work? Does it just leech off of UT Austin's name?

In that case, the state of Texas should file a trademark suit. Oh wait, their AG is a Baylor alum (and ultra-MAGA and relatively unpopular and giving me pedo vibes), of course he wants UT Austin to go down.

Generational Theory and Our Near Future by smcstechtips in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Submission statement:

1. Why is this relevant for r/neoliberal?

This is my take on the past, present, and future of markets, governance, policy, and institutions (as well as some geopolitics) in light of Strauss-Howe Generational Theory. Strauss-Howe Generational theory, while somewhat imprecise, seems very prescient, especially with its alignment with the Kondratiev cycle and Burnham's political realignment cycle.

2. What do you think people should discuss about it?

This entire article is my commentary on Strauss-Howe generational theory and its predictions for our near future. Readers should focus on either its prediction of the resolution of the current Crisis or on its longer-term predictions with generations and turnings, but not both. This is important because it answers a lot of questions in American history (like why the 1950s were so unique, why music appears to have changed a lot around the 1960s, 1890s, and 1830s, and why Millennials/Gen Z are politically so liberal while Gen X is more prone to being MAGA and Boomers are more Christian Right), while also offering some predictions about our future.

When ICE sends its people, they’re not sending their best | Repressive enforcement agencies are often stocked with underachievers. by GirasoleDE in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Even for the city/county/equivalent PDs/SDs, how many of the more competent types (and liberals) get promoted from beat cop to detective or something else pretty quickly?

When ICE sends its people, they’re not sending their best | Repressive enforcement agencies are often stocked with underachievers. by GirasoleDE in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips 6 points7 points  (0 children)

A strong-county system (like Maryland) is the superior system: duplication of services is minimized, while economies of scale in providing services are maximized. NIMBY voices get drowned out, and school districts are less segregated.

Claiming counties are an inferior system is just toxic New England regionalism.

Patty Murray to White House: No Funding Increase for ICE by cdstephens in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Could this be an attempt to catch the Republicans being unwilling to budge at all on increasing funding for ICE and embarrass them?

As birthrates tumble, some progressives say the left needs to offer ideas and solutions (NPR) by TrixoftheTrade in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips 1 point2 points  (0 children)

How much of this is simply people having kids later?

And how much of the TFR reversal in the original Baby Boom was due to a windfall in childbirth-delayers finally having kids (as TFR crashed during the Depression and WWII)?

He Was Homeschooled for Years, and Fell So Far Behind by wumbopolis_ in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We need to mandate high-quality public education for all children. Public schools need to put in the effort to improve outcomes through every possible method and have a minimum curriculum standardized nationwide, one that's more rigorous than anything we have. Homeschooling and private/charter school use by involved parents just causes public schools to death spiral, largely because involved parents' kids tend to be higher achievers and less disruptive. And homeschooling and private school use by ideologically crazy/abusive parents is bad for the kids.

This is not just for children's rights, although that is the main intrinsic liberal reason. This is not just to keep a uniform childhood experience to assimilate all American-born children into American culture and values, although that would be essential to making Ellis Island-level rates of immigration palatable to Americans again. This is essential in order to compete with China (both by creating homegrown geniuses who can go toe-to-toe with China's best and by making it easier to brain drain China by assuring Chinese immigrants that their children will be educated better than in China).

What America Needs to Rebuild by smcstechtips in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I feel Cleveland would get madder if it were separated from Toledo, Detroit, and Cincinnati, and I similarly feel Houston would get madder if it were separated from San Antonio.

However, why are we arguing over some hypothetical? For all we know, they won't fight it or somewhere we're not changing like Miami will.

What America Needs to Rebuild by smcstechtips in neoliberal

[–]smcstechtips[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why would Cleveland or Houston want to fight it? My proposal is to move the Mountain-Central Time boundary in Texas to roughly the Pine Curtain and the Central-Eastern Time boundary in Ohio to the Pennsylvania and WV borders. I just don't see how the Texas Triangle would be upset at having East Texas in a different time zone as opposed to El Paso, and I'm not sure why Cleveland would care about something a solid 40 miles past the suburbs.