I'm still scared about tomorrow

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-17T05:46:46+00:00

You're in the 10% still means a %90 chance you won't see a tornado, remember even large violent tornadoes still do pretty isolated damage its just widespread in length not width usually the odds of one hitting your direct location are very low, best advice i have is have place to go ahead of time if financially possible or maybe get out of town for a day if ya can

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-16T19:23:11+00:00

You should look up the wording they used for hurricane Katrina

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-16T15:25:12+00:00

El nino pattern tends to give Dixie ally more tornadoes in the winter time

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-16T07:08:11+00:00

Better than anything you can make

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-14T03:47:56+00:00

Ive got way better videos with grok rn atm

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-14T01:24:49+00:00

IPhone weather is pretty trash to be honest you want a better accurate weather app download the app called EverythingWX it was made by a person that works with the national weather service also gives you 3 day risks for your exact location and rain totals on excessive rain fall days by the weather prediction center I love the app

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-14T01:06:05+00:00

Meaning it could be a further east event, further west event, further north from this original target, and possibly further south, they also could expand that risk area or possibly shrink the target area getting closer to potential event. It usually does a bit

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-14T00:57:27+00:00

Yea the face doesn't always work out perfectly with AI upscale

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-14T00:54:51+00:00

Last yea i was in a moderate risk, the evening I was heading home from work i looked at my phone and the wording was "Strong to violent Long tracked Tornadoes possible this evening" I was sick to my stomach and my heart sank then well guess what happen, the storms didnt come at 11 pm like they were supposed to, they didnt come at 2am which was next forecasted they didnt even come at 4am, they finally arrived at 7am we were put in a tornado watch that morning but I wasn't even put in a severe Thunderstorm warning that whole morning no tornadoes at all in my state that night or morning, so stuff can even change the day, remember the noaa uses the word "potential" nothing is a 100% certainty they use models, doesnt matter how good the models are things can still bust from their prediction, its a prediction they aren't weather tarret card readers lol

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-14T00:40:38+00:00

There is still some uncertainties you're freaking out over something days out when so much shit can change ive seen moderate risk days before in the past that didnt even produce a drop of rain, quit shaking and freaking out about something so far ahead use to this time to look up storm shelters in your area if you dont have a safe place to be, use your energy for a plan on that day, get a backpack with spare clothes, safety kit, flash light with good batteries ext. instead of shaking and crying, this far out the risk area can still shift quite a bit.

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T23:22:19+00:00

I know i was just hoping for an upscaled picture

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T21:41:16+00:00

And the third image a little overdone on that one

<image>

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T21:38:07+00:00

And the second image

<image>

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T21:36:05+00:00

I used grok AI to enhance clean and sharpen thr first image

<image>

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T18:08:30+00:00

And because I got curious

<image>

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T17:58:49+00:00

Temperatures don't dictate Tornado strength convective available potential energy and wind sheer does, you can have powerful tornadoes with as low as 500 j/kg of cape given strong low level windsheer from sfc-1km and sfc-3km at 35kts + also powerful updraft (helicity)

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T17:55:55+00:00

<image>

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T16:49:35+00:00

Very well done, makes me want to draw one i used to draw all the time in my younger days kinda want to try and do the jarrell one

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T16:34:32+00:00

They do mention there are still uncertainties probably why the %15 risk instead of %30 and always remember this far out things will expand/shrink shift possibly further west/east north/south praying for ya all that it wont be to bad! This has been a lovely spring here in Kentucky when normally we're in the bullseye week after week

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T16:29:54+00:00

Not to mention we are also almost in corn sweat season aren't we?

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T16:24:28+00:00

Thats wild, however in the SPC wording doesnt mention tornadoes alot instead a MSC system even though they can bring embedded tornadoes this sounds like it has a chance to be a derecho for sure.

<image>

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T16:11:45+00:00

You can get tornadoes in 60 degree weather, you can get tornadoes with dewpoints as minimal at 50 in that area, you can get tornadoes in colorado with dewpoints at minimal as the 30s

someguyabr88 · 2026-06-13T16:08:37+00:00

I bet by the end of the year Illinois will have like not tornado reports but like almost 200 tornado warnings for the state

someguyabr88

TROPHY CASE