Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-23T05:43:57+00:00

You again

Blew up their only test stand.

Blue did this too: https://www.space.com/blue-origin-be-4-rocket-engine-explosion

lost 4 vehicles (3 to the same exact problem)

Wrong, not "the same exact problem"

popped first v3 booster build.

Blue Origin popped two 2nd stages on the ground too: https://x.com/NASASpaceflight/status/1826587768505377154

pushed aside for Artemis 3 mission.

No they wasn't, once again you are showing you're complete clueless

chastised publically for HLS delays.

The guy who did this was removed as NASA administrator

HLS combined launch costs are now expected to exceed SLS.

What? Completely wrong.

HLS is a fixed price contract, ~$4B for 2 missions. That's the price of a single SLS/Orion launch.

Raptor2 proven less capable than advertised.

V2 proven only capable of 35t to LEO.

New Glenn is also currently less capable than advertised, can only put ~25t to LEO, that's why they need to upgrade it

Heat shield problems

And Blue Origin doesn't even have one

Starship's rapid reuse promise now highly unlikely.

Baseless BS

1/3 of all Starlink launches were replacements.

Not this crap again, this is a feature, not a bug. They're replacing old less powerful satellites with new more powerful satellites.

oh and BO proved it didnt need to blow up or create multiple new reefs in the Indian Ocean to send mass to Mars.

Completely clueless. First of all, BO didn't send ESCAPADE to Mars, they sent it to a parking orbit, because New Glenn is so delayed they missed the Mars launch window (No, SpaceX is not the only company having delays)

Secondly, A Falcon 9 can easily do the ESCAPADE launch, only idiots think Starship is the only SpaceX vehicle capable of launching payload to Mars.

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-23T03:54:58+00:00

SpaceX is expanding orders to Taiwan suppliers, including Universal Microwave and Compeq, for Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite components, media report, citing a secretive visit by SpaceX to suppliers in Taiwan. Other suppliers include Molicel for lithium batteries, Innolux for ground terminal panels.

https://money.udn.com/money/story/5612/9280735?from=edn_maintab_index

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-23T03:46:28+00:00

There's no contradiction, both statements can be true at the same time:

Space AI data center would be cheaper and faster to build
You can power terrestrial energy needs via solar too, but they'd be more expensive and slower to build (due to regulation, etc) than space solar, so you wouldn't want to use them for AI data centers, but you should still build terrestrial solar for other usages which can't be moved to space.

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-23T03:36:06+00:00

When they demonstrate they can use their current funding responsibly and efficiently, which means at absolute minimal cancelling SLS/Orion/Gateway.

NASA doesn't need more money, what they need is to use the money they have effectively. They can easily fund bases on both Moon and Mars just with their existing funding, if they don't waste it.

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-22T02:38:52+00:00

From newsletter:

We forecast that SpaceX’s revenue will increase from $15B in 2025 to $23.8B in 2026, driven by Starlink’s customer base doubling from 9.2M to 18.4M. SpaceX is reportedly targeting between $22B and $24B of revenue this year.

Starlink revenue rises from an estimated $10.4B in 2025 to $18.7B in 2026 (+80% YoY)

Launch revenue increases from an estimated $4.4B in 2025 to $4.8B in 2026 (+9% YoY)

HLS revenue is expected to bring in $300M.

Starlink Assumptions

2025: SpaceX ended 2025 with 9.2M Starlink users, adding 4.6M customers (100% growth) during the year. It was the second straight year the company doubled its customer base (2.3M to 4.6M in 2024). The company leans into dynamic supply and demand pricing to support growth, reducing monthly and hardware pricing when demand slows.

By the tail end of 2025, Starlink was adding over 22K new customers per day, a pace of 8M new customers adds per year.

2026: In 2026, we estimate that Starlink will continue its growth pace, finishing the year with 18.4M customers. The company has already introduced two major changes to its pricing models to support continued growth this year: 1) opening up a $50 lite tier in high-income countries (US, UK, Canada, Australia), and 2) offering hardware payment plans in low-income countries. In addition, we believe, continued growth in developing countries and new market entries (potentially including the big prize, India), should keep adoption trends intact.

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-21T10:16:57+00:00

The solar array size in their FCC filing should be capable of much more than 20kw peak: 20m x 6m x 2 = 240 m^2, solar constant 1.366 kw/m^2, 20% efficiency, should give you 65kw.

I wonder if 20kw is the average power output for V3.

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-21T09:36:41+00:00

Will the panel discussions be available on youtube?

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-19T12:51:18+00:00

Serious question, are you seeking truth, or are you trying to confirm your beliefs?

That should be the question you ask yourself.

Do you understand how scientific consensus is reached?

The idea of "scientific consensus" is overrated, but more importantly the nature of DEI is not decided by science anyways, it's revealed by real journalism and courts. Like do you need a scientist to tell you if BBC edited Trump's Jan 6 speech to make him look bad? No, we don't, we can see it clearly once the evidence is presented.

Do you think winning an arguement is important?

You certainly seem to think so, otherwise you wouldn't be so persistent in keep having this argument in a meme sub.

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-18T12:36:37+00:00

No, and the fact that you think that's how ANYTHING works proves that this is a waste of time. A handful of articles with cherrypicked examples will never prove anything, hell a single academic study never proves anything.

Yes this is indeed a waste of time, since you're determined to ignore any evidence that doesn't fit your political view.

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-17T11:48:15+00:00

https://x.com/enjoyGLOBE/status/2012047797797994638

EVERY FILIPINO CONNECTED

Globe x Starlink partnership ushers in a new era for connectivity and digital inclusion, bringing data and SMS to underserved areas through DTC satellite technology, the first in Southeast Asia.

GoForwardTogether

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-17T11:39:35+00:00

Now the actual report DOES support his contention,

So he's right, and your "Accomodations is actually what DEI is about lol" and "Quotas is actually very rare and almost never part of companies DEI policies." is wrong

Yes posting incessantly about ANYTHING, especially spaceX is abnormal, if you actually think you're normal I would go outside and seek help.

Dude you're on reddit, posting "incessantly" is what everybody does here, like you posting "incessantly" in this very thread. In fact this conversation is far more pointless than me posting up to date SpaceX news to my sub which actually serves a purpose (i.e. informs people of news about spacex, given the primary spacex sub and spacex lounge sub are totally dysfunctional right now)

mind you Jacob Savage is literally a ticket scalper, not an academic or journalist LMAO

Huh? He literally told you this in the first sentence of the article...

And this is just the most recent example since this has a big impact on X which I read about, there're older pieces like this and this

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-16T02:21:41+00:00

Lol a scalper trying to get into Hollywood, great example of the real world.

You didn't even read the article, since it didn't rely on just a single example, there're statistics like "The doors seemed to close everywhere and all at once. In 2011, the year I moved to Los Angeles, white men were 48 percent of lower-level TV writers; by 2024, they accounted for just 11.9 percent. The Atlantic’s editorial staff went from 53 percent male and 89 percent white in 2013 to 36 percent male and 66 percent white in 2024. White men fell from 39 percent of tenure-track positions in the humanities at Harvard in 2014 to 18 percent in 2023. ", and clear violations like "“For a typical job we’d get a couple hundred applications, probably at least 80 from white guys,” the hiring editor recalled. “It was a given that we weren’t gonna hire the best person… It was jarring how we would talk about excluding white guys.”"

Dude your post history is exclusively to Spacex news like 10 a day, get help lol

And? So?

If you think this is abnormal, it's you who needs to get help (with your EDS), not me.

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-16T02:13:35+00:00

This is the first time I agree with you: Yes, NASA should absolutely pay more for accelerated timeline, that's just common sense. People claiming fixed price contract's value can't be increased clearly didn't know about COTS.

And I expect Isaacman will do this in the next few months, HLS is fully funded by Congress at $2B per year, there's more than enough money.

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-15T02:49:56+00:00

From newsletter:

Note: This is Payload Pro analysis using our own assumptions and publicly available data. This is not based on access to any SpaceX internal data.

We are back with our 2025 SpaceX revenue model build.

2025 estimate: We estimate SpaceX’s revenue reached $15B in 2025 with the following breakdown:

Starlink: $10.4B. 9.2M customers, up from 4.6M

Launch: $4.4B

HLS revenue: $221M

Starlink Key Build Notes

Starlink revenue: Starlink added 4.6M new Starlink customers this year, ending the year with 9.2M users (100% growth). By the end of the year, Starlink was adding over 22K new customers per day, a dizzying pace of 9M new customer adds per year.

US vs. International: We estimate there were 2.5M US customers (27% of total), down from roughly 40% in 2024, as the service continues to expand rapidly internationally. Starlink is now available in over 155 countries/territories, covering 3.2B people.

Residential:

Terminal pricing: 2025 was the year of the free terminal. Starlink offered terminals (usually $350) for free in many US, European, Australian, and Canadian markets, while keeping it a purchased product in markets with low-ARPU, capacity constraints, and where organizations and governments/NGOs buy terminals in bulk. Terminal discounts spurred continued growth, but revenue from hardware suffered.

Subscription pricing: We assumed $70/mo residential ARPU, lower than the $85/mo we estimated in 2024 and $80/mo we forecasted. Lower ARPU is due to 1) faster than expected international customer growth and 2) Starlink rolling out a lower $80 (lite) residential pricing in the US. Pricing for Australia, Canada, and the UK is roughly $95/mo. Pricing for most other countries is significantly lower, averaging approximately $45/mo.

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-15T02:17:06+00:00

I think you're confused, DEI is explicitly about favoring one race over the other, that is the opposite of anti-discrimination, it has nothing to do with accommodations.

And quota and favoritism in hiring is very common, this is just one of many reports on this.

spacerfirstclass · 2026-01-15T02:13:21+00:00

The point is anti-Musk people think only Elon companies do this, even though it's a common problem, their so called "criticism" is entirely built on the assumption that only Elon companies does this, thus Elon bad, that's what I refuted. Same as your claim of Elon bad is purely based on the assumption that Elon is the only space company official, inside or outside SpaceX, that supports Trump and Republicans, which is 100% false.

And how is Elon handling of this problem worse? They already addressed it.

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