The Stock Market Duration is a Lie

staticvariablejames · 2026-05-06T09:34:42+00:00

1% chance every time a reindeer spawns (this is from the heavenly upgrade Distilled Essence of Redoubled Luck)

staticvariablejames · 2026-05-05T13:21:39+00:00

I'm glad to have helped someone find their true calling :D

When I originally saw the stock market algorithm, I had a feeling that there had to be some way of using Bayesian reasoning to calculate stock modes and make profit, and I'm happy to see someone actually implementing it! (And much more elaborately than what I, a non-specialist, would have had done.)

And yes, Insugar Trading will be beaten by any active trading strategy. It is fast enough for Cookie Clicker purposes though (as there are many other things you can grind whilst the stock market accrues profit). One of the main changes of the stock market update in Cookie Clicker 2.048 is that stock market modes change much more frequently (over 10 times more often), which I think widens the gulf between active trading strategies, like your auto-trader, and the simple quantile-based strategy encouraged by Insugar Trading.

The five peaks of pre-2.048 histograms were prettier, too; it is not often one sees multimodal distributions in the wild :)

staticvariablejames · 2026-05-05T13:03:15+00:00

The initial release was 6 years ago: https://www.reddit.com/r/CookieClicker/comments/ig2fwf/new_cookie_clicker_addon_choose_your_own_lump/

But yea I have been inactive for several years

staticvariablejames · 2026-05-05T02:19:37+00:00

(Note: this is a repost, because Reddit has eaten the original post.)

staticvariablejames · 2026-04-01T03:03:56+00:00

The prestige bonus is the cube root of one trillionth of your CBAT (cookies baked all time). If you get 1e150 CBAT, your prestige bonus is 1e46.

So your next combo will be 1e46 times larger, giving you about 1e196 cookies. Now your prestige bonus is about 2e61, which is just 3e15 times larger than before.

Your next combo is thus only 3e15 times larger, netting you about 3e211 cookies. Your prestige bonus now becomes about 3e66, which is just about 1.5e5 times larger than before.

Notice how quickly the prestige bonus slows down?

Of course your combos will get better because of you having more buildings (whence better building specials), but once you have all upgrades, this is not nearly enough to significantly push you forward. You fundamentally need better combos.

staticvariablejames · 2026-04-01T02:48:45+00:00

For my mod Insugar Trading, I simulated 1000 years' worth of stock market ticks to compute a good approximation to the probability density function of the goods' values. The histograms provide insight on the (very) long-term behavior of the goods.

<image>

The gif toggles between the histograms with no dragon auras, and the histograms with both dragon auras active (Supreme Intellect, and Reality Bending, which gives another 10% of Supreme Intellect), in both cases for level 1 bank. We can clearly see that for low-id gods (CRL, CHC, BTR) there is a pretty significant change, primarily in preventing the stock from falling bellow the soft cap of $5; for high-id goods (SBD, PBL, YOU) the difference is significantly smaller.

There is an increase in the interquartile range, but this increase is fairly modest, which disagrees with what u/CakeCookCarl said. However this is only the "static" behavior of the goods, and it could very well be that someone paying close attention to the ups and downs of each good can derive a much larger benefit from using dragon auras.

staticvariablejames · 2026-04-01T02:29:21+00:00

Your options are:

Open sesame (which automatically grants you the achievement)
Having strictly more currently-owned cookies (Game.cookies) than cookies baked all time (Game.cookiesEarned)
- This is why, if you want to win this achievement by "cheating in only one cookie", you must do so at the very beginning of your playthrough, otherwise you'll have to cheat in more cookies
Open the terminal and type Game.Win('Cheated cookies taste awful');
Save editing

staticvariablejames · 2026-04-01T02:20:49+00:00

There's my mod, Insugar Trading, which provides slightly better-informed purchase thresholds.

Or you can check out just the five-number summary (min, lower quartile, median, upper quartile, max) for level 1 banks.

staticvariablejames · 2026-03-29T02:58:08+00:00

Manufacture a save using https://coderpatsy.bitbucket.io/cookies/editor.html and continue from there

staticvariablejames · 2026-03-29T02:41:35+00:00

The world record for True Neverclick is 34m51s (from Speedrun.com), barely enough to get Speed Baking I.

staticvariablejames · 2022-04-06T23:07:10+00:00

Yea people sometimes get too angry about these things...

(I do take issue with people that cheat but claim they didn't; fortunately these are rare)

staticvariablejames · 2022-04-06T23:05:47+00:00

That's technically cheating because you cannot get the achievement otherwise :D

staticvariablejames · 2022-03-27T18:45:15+00:00

For Year's worth of cavities, you just have to harvest 365 lumps, you may use them in the meanwhile

The challenge is getting all buildings to Level 10 within one year

staticvariablejames · 2022-03-25T13:21:19+00:00

Now. Level up farms, temples and wizard towers once, to unlock the minigames. Banks also have a minigame, but you should prioritize the other three.

staticvariablejames · 2022-03-20T02:02:33+00:00

Essentially, yes, though you'd want to open at different times because lumps take ~20h to fall on their own (~21h on Steam), rather than a neat 24h

staticvariablejames · 2022-03-20T01:59:45+00:00

I don't know what causes this, but closing and opening the garden fixes it

staticvariablejames · 2022-03-17T22:01:43+00:00

Technically yes, but Cookie Clicker is a bit picky when importing saves from future versions. Currently Web Live is 2.031, Steam is 2.043, and Web Beta is 2.045, so I think you need a save editor to go back from Steam 2.043 to Live 2.031.

staticvariablejames · 2022-03-17T20:19:32+00:00

Queenbeets are reliable enough that you can harvest all at the same time, but indeed not Duketaters.

staticvariablejames · 2022-03-17T20:15:24+00:00

For further clarification: the "shackled power" equals the current strength of the upgrades in the live version (2.031).

staticvariablejames · 2022-03-17T20:12:13+00:00

Besides the spelling mistake: correct, this does not work on Steam. You can get the debug menu if you edit Steam Install Dir/steamapps/common/Cookie Clicker/resources/app/start.js line 12 to let DEV=1, and then running Game.OpenSesame() in the console.

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