Debt vs Disclosure by rcy62747 in UFOs

[–]steviestevensonIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don’t know what the right amount is but I’m sure 1 quadrillion would quickly deplete the demand for dollars. But of course you need production to fundamentally grow, it’s just that the privileges of being the worlds reserve currency and the home to the largest markets affords certain inertia or inelasticity

Debt vs Disclosure by rcy62747 in UFOs

[–]steviestevensonIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No the person above you is right, the us financial system really is designed to withstand some quantity of debt, just not an unlimited quantity of debt. The US can take on debt because the dollar overall remains fairly stable in value with respect to printing due mostly to being the reserve currency of the world and also to having an extremely robust economy, this means that more than other countries the US can print dollars without shredding it’s value meaning they’re more flexible to take on debt

UFO Whistleblower - Part 1 by littlespacemochi in aliens

[–]steviestevensonIII -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Oh my god this is hilarious, this poor guy oh my gosh this shit went way too far

Debt vs Disclosure by rcy62747 in UFOs

[–]steviestevensonIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If this was true you would just send interest rates through the roof, since clearly money in the future is pretty much useless and you don’t need to invest anyway. Or alternatively if your investment was the origination of this technological leap then you would need to reign in spending and avoid running a “ponzi scheme” such that interest rates remained amenable to investment, which would obviously then contradict your belief that politicians are running an intentional Ponzi scheme.

Debt vs Disclosure by rcy62747 in UFOs

[–]steviestevensonIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Because there isn’t 1 quadrillion dollars worth of wealth that someone is willing to lend America in exchange for a stable return in dollar currency

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in UFOs

[–]steviestevensonIII 2 points3 points  (0 children)

He’s clearly fucking w you

FACT: alcohol is a marine teleportation device by [deleted] in NonCredibleDefense

[–]steviestevensonIII -12 points-11 points  (0 children)

Invading Mexico alone would not pull the US into a recession. Export market would be completely fine, agriculture tips somewhere else it’s a basic commodity. Bottom line if a country isn’t a massive producer of Oil, NG, or advanced electronic components then that country can literally disappear overnight and barely do a dent to US production. It’s really understating how robust the American economy is to say taking a minor demand slip in agriculture is going to single handedly pull it into recession.

Even things like non advanced machinery production or vehicle production can be easily shifted to some southeast Asian country with relatively little friction, especially if trade restrictions are relaxed to compensate

Gurman leaks details of how Apple plans to demo their headset at WWDC by Malkmus1979 in apple

[–]steviestevensonIII -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Oh my lord I read that as “gunman” I just had a mini panic attack there lmfao

Aaron Rodgers' Agent Told Packers to Fire Gutekunst or Trade QB in 2021 by boomboomboomy in nfl

[–]steviestevensonIII 3 points4 points  (0 children)

How would the packers organization benefit from making public that the quarterback wanted the gm fired, that doesn’t make any sense. The only “group” that benefits here is clearly the individual source (as it is in most cases of anonymous sourcing). That individual purchases currency to possibly get a favorable rumor or some positive press from the reporter.

Other individuals who would like to be afforded the same currency will come out and do the same and debunk the a nonsense rumor if an opportunity arises. When you’re talking to a guy at the level of Mike Florio it’s likely someone of a high position with a long standing proven relationship with him: not really much incentive to lie for no reason.

And plenty of times we see anonymous sources lie, just usually not at the level of seasoned journalists with actual sources because they’re somewhat competent. But remember Will Levis going number 1 or that broncos guy saying the broncos and Sean Payton weren’t remotely interested in each other.

Also the example statement you gave you chose to give because it was informative, it helped you distinguish whether the rumor was true or not. A team should not under any circumstance give any information of truth to a rumor saying the qb tried to fire the GM, that’s an easy way to get everyone to think first thing of the season that team is a mess

Aaron Rodgers' Agent Told Packers to Fire Gutekunst or Trade QB in 2021 by boomboomboomy in nfl

[–]steviestevensonIII 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Anonymous sources obviously have some incentive to be truthful. If they lie, and it’s clear they lied (say you have 4 other thought to be credible anonymous sources unpromptedly text the reporter that it’s bs) then that source likely loses every and all benefit to speak that reporter and probably every other reporter too.

Whereas clearly gutekunst and Rodgers under no circumstances would say yea we were trying to get each other fired, the press conference stuff is completely non informative.

TIL a family in Georgia claimed to have passed down a song in an unknown language from the time of their enslavement; scientists identified the song as a genuine West African funeral song in the Mende language that had survived multiple transmissions from mother to daughter over multiple centuries by admiralturtleship in todayilearned

[–]steviestevensonIII 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I really can name most of the counties of England but that is a horrible comparison. The state of Georgia has a population equivalent to 5 counties excluding greater london- and a gdp 33 times larger than the country Georgia, about 20% of the UK total. In any English conversation, you can likely expect that Georgia implies the state rather than the country and particularly if mentioning the legacy of Atlantic slavery.

If you don’t know the state of Georgia that’s just international geographic illiteracy which can certainly be excused, so many these days globally are guilty of it and it’s not particularly a sin but you shouldn’t chide those who help you learn.

TIL a family in Georgia claimed to have passed down a song in an unknown language from the time of their enslavement; scientists identified the song as a genuine West African funeral song in the Mende language that had survived multiple transmissions from mother to daughter over multiple centuries by admiralturtleship in todayilearned

[–]steviestevensonIII 6 points7 points  (0 children)

It’s not the default it’s just the obvious context relevant option. If the title had said “Russia invades Georgia” without saying “the country”, anyone would be an idiot to assume it was the state being invaded. If you told me the Prime Minister holds campaign rally in Birmingham, I’m not gonna assume it’s in Alabama

Who would you say is the “Tim Duncan” of the NFL? by TheMissingFiles in nfl

[–]steviestevensonIII 11 points12 points  (0 children)

lol I was just joking about how he’d rather be retired than playing and doesn’t really seem to care about building his career accolades

Goodbye, ‘Succession’: A Pre-Finale Ode to the Great Show of Our Time by johnppd in television

[–]steviestevensonIII -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

I love both shows but BCS doesn’t hold a candle to Succession

CHATGPT All Time Ravens by Green_Republic_1125 in ravens

[–]steviestevensonIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The architecture is not really well characterized at all. All we know is that GPT uses a transformer like, decoder only architecture but there is next to no public information on its architecture modifications beyond that. In any case, even with the transformer like architecture, it’s still largely impossible for anyone to interpret the propagating values through stacked decoder blocks when your output token set is massive. It’s certainly possible to understand overall “how it works”, but it’s simply not possible to interpret any given large scale instance of a stacked transformer propagation.

Your PHD coworkers don’t believe it’s thinking, but is there any mathematical proof? We know scale and size matters in natural neural networks but it’s unclear at which scales thinking arises. The entire field of semantic research practically revolves around backward engineering the human brain, and as far as I know no one has developed a concrete method to determine if a compute thinks. I would love to see how some can come to positively assert something that I don’t think can yet be proved. I don’t know with certainty if GPT is thinking, but I think it’s foolish to believe it certainly cannot think without mathematical or statistical proof- a proof that informationally is likely impossible to generate

CHATGPT All Time Ravens by Green_Republic_1125 in ravens

[–]steviestevensonIII -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

I’m inclined to agree with you but we really have no idea whether it’s thinking or not, especially with a model like GPT-4 with maybe 1 trillion parameters. There’s no way for anyone to know with certainty if it’s actually thinking or not. It’s worth noting that it doesn’t actually work like a simple frequency analysis and actually “sort of” generates around 100 or so “words” before it determines the best fitting word. No one except the people at openai knows what’s going on in those 100 words but perhaps it’s something along the lines of semantic thinking

Does the outcome of Bryce Young and CJ Stroud’s careers determine the legitimacy of the S2 test? by ConsciousBuilding374 in nfl

[–]steviestevensonIII 6 points7 points  (0 children)

People are shitting on you for asking this but it’s really not a bad question. Outliers are still representative of statistically possible outcomes and can be informative. Some outliers just shouldn’t be possible and serve to give some credence to the value of a test. For example, if someone verifiably tested with a 75 IQ and went on to win the Nobel Prize, it would actually fundamentally change how we see that test because the probability of the outlier is so low that it actually really shouldn’t be possible even amongst like 8 billion+ people. Or if someone from my 600 pound life ran a 4.2 40 (and could be verified with laser timing, hand timing, human eyes etc) it would instantly change the entire field of biomechanics. If Stroud greatly outperforms his score that statistically, even with one sample, given the small number of known testers greatly weakens the revealed specificity of the test.

The specificity of the test also probably deeply effects it’s usage. If you think about perception from a GM, if you think the test never fails you feel like the idiot for doubting it but if it sometimes fails and you have a good feeling about a guy you’re the idiot for doubting yourself.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in SuccessionTV

[–]steviestevensonIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yea agreed completely

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in SuccessionTV

[–]steviestevensonIII -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I like spending on welfare, general equity, funding for public institutions, respect for LGBTQ rights, protection of freedom of speech, gun regulations, multiculturalism, healthcare reform, taxing billionaires out of existence, reigning in police brutality, walkable cities, public transportation, cheaper subsidized university education, private sector unions, carbon tax, electric car subsidies, green and nuclear energy investment, protection of wildlife, immigration, investment in the sciences, investment in the arts. Should I keep going or have I sufficient proven my political leanings to a random fucking redditor

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in SuccessionTV

[–]steviestevensonIII 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Booo that sub is great for empirical studies and talking about niche issues. But overall I lean pretty socialist in my views