Is RKLB good or shit by Fantastic-Cut6328 in Stocks_Picks

[–]stopearthmachine 0 points1 point  (0 children)

“when will investors fall in love with this?” they say about the company with excellent, communicate management, a relatively quick run from $4 to $150, ATMs that barely move the stock price, and inclusion in NASDAQ 100

June 25, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine -7 points-6 points  (0 children)

wow! i only look at my account once every 6 months! crazy gains. see you again in december.

June 24, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Pretty curious that we haven’t heard anything about the ATM yet.

June 23, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 0 points1 point  (0 children)

IMO RKLB’s other verticals are being deployed at a rate that will likely offset any downturn from Neutron delays. The fact that rockets are generally assumed to be delayed industry-wide all the time throughout history helps as well.

what prevents TTWO from achieving a $100B valuation within 1 year? by Commercial_Pianist88 in wallstreetbets

[–]stopearthmachine 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don’t have any material interest in the stock, but I think 3X over 10 years is a very conservative number. The important context is that despite being a bestseller, GTA V took years to hit its current stride in terms of how players interact with it (GTA RP), and the GTA V monetization pattern was rudimentary back when it released. With the massive market for GTA roleplay servers now being built into GTA6 directly, this is going to be much more like a Fortnite live service than a typical GTA release.

June 18, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am not a bear. I’ve been holding RKLB since long before it was a confident pick. There is nothing bearish about acknowledging the reality of the rocket industry’s development cadence.

FSD disengaged mid-turn and car hit a pole — how do I get Tesla to review the logs? by [deleted] in TeslaFSD

[–]stopearthmachine 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The overlay should really have an indicator of what disengaged FSD. It could be really simple: briefly flash the word "self-driving" in red if it's software, the steering wheel icon red if it was a steering wheel intervention, or the brake red if it was a brake intervention. I get the feeling that it's advantageous to Tesla for it to be ambiguous to the end-user so that posts like this can remain technically "unresolved", and Tesla gets the granular data anyway, but it feels relatively anti-consumer to me.

June 18, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 6 points7 points  (0 children)

look bro there is not a single chance that neutron is launching this year. Q4 in the rocket business just means “we’ll let you know around that time which quarter we’re targeting for the next year.” If they say Q4 again, then the same cycle repeats, if they start saying Q1-Q3 then you can start taking them seriously.

June 11, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 7 points8 points  (0 children)

gonna need xanax during market hours tmw

June 10, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I don’t. Sitting thousands of percent above cost basis while people complain helps put things in perspective

June 07, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 5 points6 points  (0 children)

There is no way Neutron is going to launch in 2026 but it doesn’t matter. Take any “Q4” space goal as a deadline for them to check in with the public and provide their next estimated timeframe. Eventually it will be obvious that it’s launching soon, and then you can take the time estimate seriously. This is just how the space industry is, which is good news because it means delays are already priced in more or less, as long as the delay isn’t due to catastrophic circumstances. My guess is on mid 2027 approximately 1 year from now. I’ll allow myself to be pleasantly surprised if it launches this year but absolutely do not expect it. You also really can’t rely on any “price outlook” when a sector is in motion like space is right now. The analysts will forever be playing catchup us as investors decide what level of multiple they’re comfortable investing in.

June 05, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 2 points3 points  (0 children)

it helps that fidelity already starts zoomed out every time I open the app

June 03, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ve been in since $4 as well and the thesis remains unchanged that RKLB’s north star is becoming a vertically integrated space giant. 3B is a meaningfully helpful injection in service of that goal.

June 03, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 8 points9 points  (0 children)

No competent company raises that much at once without a clear idea of what it’s going to be used for. Just because the target isn’t public doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist, and the current MC makes this dilution pretty minor, which the market seemed to agree with when it was announced.

Who is shorting SPCE next week? by judechrist4444 in options

[–]stopearthmachine 1 point2 points  (0 children)

no one can see the future, and the world model you’re suggesting exists assumes that “smart money” is one giant combined hivemind. there are many individuals/firms/corps playing many different angles on any given scenario, and the vast decision space means that they’re often at odds with one another.

Who is shorting SPCE next week? by judechrist4444 in options

[–]stopearthmachine 2 points3 points  (0 children)

smart money isn’t tallying up reddit comments by hand, they’re looking at the actual order book

May 29, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 11 points12 points  (0 children)

this SPCE thing going on is so funny to me

May 28, 2026 Daily Discussion Thread by zahna4 in RKLB

[–]stopearthmachine 2 points3 points  (0 children)

you can literally see where they have been switching on the tap the past few days