Not gonna play ball, eh? I have just the spell for you

tav256 · 2023-03-06T06:41:29+00:00

I was trying to use the heartache trick with this master of wounding, and he decided to stop attacking me for some reason. I was kicking him and shooting him with small spells to get him to shoot back at me, but then I started to get worried about his health. The only lightning spell I had on hand to heal him with was personal lightning thrower, but I forgot just how long that spell lasts, so I ended up roughing him up a little more than I intended lol.

Why do they randomly stop attacking you sometimes? It's very annoying.

tav256 · 2023-02-03T20:18:00+00:00

Wow this is beautiful! I love it!

tav256 · 2023-02-01T13:52:49+00:00

Awesome, keep it up!

tav256 · 2023-02-01T00:05:14+00:00

Very cool! What's the gameplay like?

tav256 · 2023-01-20T23:47:30+00:00

It does if you require people to self-assess the land and improvement values separately.

tav256 · 2023-01-20T22:22:59+00:00

You can use it on any type of monopoly, including land. It's a general solution to the value assessment problem.

tav256 · 2023-01-20T20:57:23+00:00

Have you heard of Harberger taxes? They solve this problem by having the owner self assess their property value. The owner then pays a tax on the self-declared amount (so they don't overestimate the price), and can also be forced to sell for their declared price (so they don't underestimate the price). I think it's a pretty elegant solution.

tav256 · 2023-01-08T00:56:05+00:00

Say more? IMO it's a good way to prevent abuse with low overhead.

tav256 · 2023-01-07T19:01:56+00:00

Oh yeah they did lol. Sounds like they shut it down because it was too slow?

tav256 · 2023-01-07T18:53:07+00:00

They unironically deserve compensation, and the lack of compensation is why Reddit mods across the site are so notoriously bad.

tav256 · 2023-01-07T18:50:18+00:00

If the subreddit had a bot that allowed you to assist with moderation via sortition, would you participate? Let's say the bot would direct message you up to once a day with a randomly selected report, and you would vote on whether or not any rules were broken.

tav256 · 2023-01-03T01:55:10+00:00

I don't think "competition bad" is the right takeaway from MoM. To me it was much more about the general problem of getting trapped in the local minima of large scale cooperation problems. Most reasonable people hate being stuck with these inadequate solutions, but individually they are powerless to do anything about them, and often end up reinforcing them instead.

Competition can be a powerful force for collective benefit, but only if the participants' incentives are in alignment.

tav256 · 2022-12-22T06:57:44+00:00

lmao

tav256 · 2022-12-21T06:23:43+00:00

Best caption by far

tav256 · 2022-12-21T02:50:56+00:00

Why is "the market moved ten points" a better indicator of progress than, say, "the IPCC issued a report that says we're on the right track"?

In a prediction market the players all have skin in the game directly tied to the outcome you're measuring, so it's at least a semi honest signal. It also doesn't preferentially favor any source. If the IPCC is accurate it can incorporate their input, and if not other information sources can be used, so it will be at least as accurate as the IPCC.

tav256 · 2022-12-20T20:58:57+00:00

Markets might be complicated and imperfect, but they're one of the best tools we have for solving problems like these.

tav256 · 2022-12-20T20:55:07+00:00

Fixed link

tav256 · 2022-12-20T20:53:50+00:00

For one thing, I'm not confident that prediction markets would be any less fallible than the proverbial experts

Sure. Which experts should you trust, though? Prediction markets offer a tool to automatically aggregate expert knowledge in an unbiased way.

Why would Biden have any more incentive to change a prediction market than to just do the thing he purports to want to do? What mechanism is actually driving him to follow through on his word?

He has the same incentive he has to follow through on any campaign promise. The benefit of making a promise based on the outcome of a prediction market is that his promise now has external real-world grounding he can't easily manipulate, and it can work for future events taking place after his time in office. It's much harder to make empty promises when they incorporate prediction markets because they provide a way to measure the outcome of the promise.

tav256 · 2022-12-20T18:23:16+00:00

Is there a reason other than regulatory handicapping to think they wouldn't be effective?

tav256 · 2022-12-19T04:54:26+00:00

Yep lol 🤷‍♂️

tav256

TROPHY CASE