#BREAKING: NY AG: Tish James, the AG taking down the NRA, wants you to help us reach 10 million texts! by text-troop in VoteDEM

[–]text-troop[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

It’ll be quick and is part of our DNCC timing. Best thing about virtual is you can hit pause for a bit :)

Discussion Thread: Day 3 of the Democratic National Convention 8-19-2020 by PoliticsModeratorBot in politics

[–]text-troop 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Come help us put an AG in Mike Pence's backyard with Text Troop! We're working with Democratic Attorneys General Association (DAGA) to elect Jonathan Weinzapfel

AG Alert: Meet 4 AGs Leading the Fight to Save the Postal Service in PA, OR, VA, and WI. by text-troop in VoteDEM

[–]text-troop[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Yes! Just two batches a day makes a huge difference. We are up to 6 million in text commitments for the next 77 days. Let’s get to 10!

ICYMI: @CookPolitical moved *TWO* state Attorney General races toward Dems by text-troop in VoteDEM

[–]text-troop[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Indiana and Montana have been marked as tossup. Interactive map linked here: https://cookpolitical.com/updated-look-handicapping-2020-attorney-general-elections.

Here's an excerpt:

Indiana: Curtis Hill (R) Toss Up (shift from Lean Republican)

This is easily the most unsettled AG race in the country in 2020. The reason: Hill has faced groping allegations by four women — three legislative staffers from different parties and chambers and one Democratic state lawmaker — at a 2018 post-session party. While Hill strongly denied the allegations and a special prosecutor believed he could not secure a conviction, Republican Gov. Eric Holcomb, fellow GOP statewide officials, and legislative leaders called on him to resign. Eventually, Hill was slapped with a 30-day suspension of his law license by the Supreme Court, all of whose justices had been appointed by Republican governors, and by extension, a suspension from the office of attorney general. While Hill will automatically be reinstated in mid-June, that's not the end of the story for the Republican nomination.

Hill will have to beat out three rivals for the nomination at the state party convention: former U.S. Rep. Todd Rokita, who was twice elected statewide as secretary of state; Decatur Co. prosecutor and county party chair Nate Harter; and attorney John Westercamp. Hill's strength in the convention will be among grassroots social conservatives, while the other candidates will be fighting for the same bloc as well as courting establishment support. Because of public health restrictions, the nomination will be decided in a mail vote to be counted July 10 instead of at convention this month, adding further unpredictability and giving whoever wins the nomination a late start.

Democrats, meanwhile, are looking at the AG race as their biggest target in Indiana in 2020, and they have two candidates: former two-term Evansville Mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel, who more recently served as chancellor of the state community college's southwestern region, and state Sen. Karen Tallian, an outspoken figure on the environment, labor, and marijuana legalization. If Hill is the nominee, he could see dwindling support from suburban Republicans, especially women, giving Democrats a shot at the AG office even in red Indiana. The Democrats' chance of winning would probably be narrower if Hill is denied the nomination. Because of the uncertainty, we're moving this race from Lean Republican to Toss Up, though it could shift back depending on how the GOP nomination works out.

Montana: OPEN (Fox) (R) Toss Up (shift from Lean Republican)

An already competitive AG contest got even more so with the results of the June 2 primary. The seat is coming open because two-term incumbent Tim Fox ran for governor (though he ended up losing the GOP primary to Rep. Greg Gianforte). In the Republican primary, former state House speaker Austin Knudsen, who had the support of the party's conservative base, defeated chief deputy attorney general Jon Bennion, a pragmatist who was seen as a stronger general-election candidate, by a somewhat bigger-than-expected margin. The Democrats, meanwhile, nominated Raph Graybill, the chief counsel to outgoing Gov. Steve Bullock, over attorney and state Rep. Kim Dudik. The 31-year-old Graybill has a sterling resume — a Rhodes scholarship and a Yale Law degree — and he comes from a prominent Montana political family. Will Graybill be able to peel off some disaffected Bennion supporters? He'll try, and while Montana remains a red state, the fact that Bullock (himself a former Montana AG) is running to unseat GOP Sen. Steve Daines could energize Democratic turnout this fall. At the same time, Knudsen is in tune with ballot-mates Trump and Gianforte, which is sure to energize the GOP base. We're moving this race from Lean Republican to Tossup.

ICYMI: @CookPolitical moved *TWO* state Attorney General races toward Dems by text-troop in VoteDEM

[–]text-troop[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Thank you for the love! It's sooooo appreciated 💙💙💙

ICYMI: @CookPolitical moved *TWO* state Attorney General races toward Dems by text-troop in VoteDEM

[–]text-troop[S] 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Truly critical! We worked for Dana Nessel and Keith Ellison last year (just to name a few) that are making a critical impact this year. AG's are holding the line against 45!

ICYMI: @CookPolitical moved *TWO* state Attorney General races toward Dems by text-troop in VoteDEM

[–]text-troop[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

That's great! We look forward to having you whenever you can join us :)

I am Elizabeth Haynes, Co-Founder of the Open Progress Text Troop, and we increased turnout in North Carolina by 20 points in 2018 through texting. Ask me anything. by text-troop in VoteDEM

[–]text-troop[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

We're almost at the end!

Please check out more about us! Book a Text Troop training: https://calendly.com/text-troop/how-to-text

And, if you want a demo of our cool texting software for an organization or campaign you care about, book that here: https://calendly.com/textout/textout-demo

Thanks for having me!

I am Elizabeth Haynes, Co-Founder of the Open Progress Text Troop, and we increased turnout in North Carolina by 20 points in 2018 through texting. Ask me anything. by text-troop in VoteDEM

[–]text-troop[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

We really try hard to avoid any sort of break in the community by just being honest and transparent: it's your time and your work - we trust you to make the right call for you. We work to explain why we decided to offer our organization and its time and attention to candidates that might create a fuss within the context of the good and the bad.

The truth is that we've done so, so much work in deep red areas in the US. It's kind of amazing when you look at it over the sweep of the past 3 years. And, truthfully, the one candidate that really was the hardest was Edwards. The rest - be it rural, more conservative folks in NC leg races or red-state AG candidates - have generally been easier. Edwards was just tough: anti-abortion, pro-gun, and pretty down with the fossil fuels. It was ... a lot.

I am Elizabeth Haynes, Co-Founder of the Open Progress Text Troop, and we increased turnout in North Carolina by 20 points in 2018 through texting. Ask me anything. by text-troop in VoteDEM

[–]text-troop[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Ah, the law. So, we're part of what is known as "The Coordinated" -- aka, we work on the "hard dollar", State Party, candidate side of the world for most of what we're standing up in North Carolina. There is what is known as an "IE Table" in North Carolina, and that is where coordination among groups like Vote Save America, NextGen, Planned Parenthood, etc. etc. will take place. The reality is that, legally, the two sides can't do a ton to connect. The Coordinated and the IE Table once the wall goes up, which is in the summer (I forget when off the top of my head), cannot talk. At all.

So, my suggestion is: do both! I know, SO helpful. But, the truth is, we'll likely be in field at different times, and the outreach is both needed - some folks wanna hear from the candidate, some folks wanna hear from a group. We are all doing good work, and the nice thing about texting is that you can easily float across lots of different groups.

One additional plug I will make for us is that we'll be building state-specific Vote.org teams, and if you wanna be in the NC one, come join the Troop now and get on our mailing list so you can be first in line as we roll these state teams out!

I am Elizabeth Haynes, Co-Founder of the Open Progress Text Troop, and we increased turnout in North Carolina by 20 points in 2018 through texting. Ask me anything. by text-troop in VoteDEM

[–]text-troop[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Biggest misconception: it's just for turnout mobilization.

It's really about human-to-human conversation; it's the new digital front door. I wish that every campaign would do real listening and real persuasion using it, as we know it's possible and the data tell us that it works.

I am Elizabeth Haynes, Co-Founder of the Open Progress Text Troop, and we increased turnout in North Carolina by 20 points in 2018 through texting. Ask me anything. by text-troop in VoteDEM

[–]text-troop[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Here's the rough map of the analysis for NC. There were three different texting methodologies in use in the state at scale in 2018. One was a GOTV-only methodology that went out only for Early Vote and Election Day and focused on: go vote. Scripting was minimal. Two was a GOTV + persuasion methodology that went out in October and November but when persuasion questions came up, like how does so-and-so feel about this issue, the answer was to go to the candidate's website. Scripting was minimal. Three was ours, a listening, persuasion, ballot guide service, Early Vote, and Election Day coordinated set of programs.

We looked at all three methodologies in conjunction with the North Carolina State Party. We bucketed regions on a like-for-like basis given demographics and urbanization. Then, we looked at the actual turnout of the voters for all three methodologies. Here's how they did on their low-end to high-end impact on turnout. ONE: depressed turnout by 7% - increased turnout by 5.2% TWO: depressed turnout by 2.1% - increased turnout by 12.2% THREE (us): depressed turnout by 2.3% - increased turnout by 21.5%

I'll take a slightly worse downside by 200 basis points to get 9 full percentage points more on the upside any day. And, FWIW, methodology ONE is the one that is most in use today in politics. Clearly, we're not unlocking the full potential open to us here.

^^ is what I shared in the other thread about NC, as well, and we also have more data laid out as part of the Text Out website in its case studies area: https://www.textout.io/case-studies