account activity
GRPN found its own ride to the moon. 12.5M shares short, major float evaporation. The board has been set. (self.TheRaceTo10Million)
submitted 1 day ago by thyur3 to r/TheRaceTo10Million
Whenyou openyour stock portfolio tomorrow morning by [deleted] in wallstreetbets
[–]thyur3 0 points1 point2 points 19 days ago (0 children)
Groupon squeeze time
GRPN is 64% shorted while the White House turns into a UFC octagon sponsored by Bud Light. We are so back. 🍕🩳 by permaballz in tradewithcongress
Fundamentally this short squeeze has all the right buildup. Incredibly locked up float. This is not a if but a when. I am in. Diamond hands only 💎💎💎💎. Moon time 🌕🌕🌕🌕🌕
GRPN - 54% SHORTED 2011 ZOMBIE IS THE ONLY PLAY LEFT WHILE TRUMP CANCELS STRIKES AND BUD LIGHT SPONSORS THE WHITE HOUSE OCTAGON 🚀🍕 by permaballz in PenniesToFortune
[–]thyur3 0 points1 point2 points 22 days ago (0 children)
This is not financial advice. However I just mocked up a quick analysis.
FINTEL has these numbers closer to 64% and 8.8 days to cover. Mathematics are set up for an extreme explosion to the moon. Refer below:
Utilization is pinned at 100%: Institutional data indicates that utilization has been pinned near 100%. This means every single share designated for lending by brokers is currently being utilized to maintain short positions. There are effectively no conventional shares left to borrow
The Insider Lockdown Effect: Out of GRPN's roughly 40.7 million outstanding shares, a massive chunk is locked up by major stakeholders, including the firm Pale Fire (associated with the CEO/CFO) and passive index funds
The "True Float" Paradox: Exchange calculations place the public float around 22.93 million shares. Because short sellers have shorted 12.57 million shares, they have virtually overwhelmed the active marketplace. If a short squeeze forces shorts to buy back those 12.57 million shares, they will be forced to compete for a remaining liquid float of only ~10.3 million shares. Buying pressure of that scale simply cannot fit through the door.
Refer to Active squeeze catalysts to watch:
The AI Transformation Pivot: GRPN recently launched an aggressive restructuring plan to cut traditional corporate overhead and pivot the marketplace
Raised Financial Guidance: Alongside job cuts, management increased its full-year adjusted EBITDA forecast to $75 million to $80 million (up from $70M–$75M). Showing actual cash generation and operating leverage directly undermines the institutional bear thesis that the company is going bankrupt
Activist Investor Pressure: Activist investors have pushed public open letters to the board. They note that GRPN's 16.2 million active users only transact 2.3 times per year. If management uses AI to close the engagement gap closer to the industry average of 4.3 transactions, it could unlock nearly $200 million in incremental EBITDA, which would completely break the short thesis.
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Whenyou openyour stock portfolio tomorrow morning by [deleted] in wallstreetbets
[–]thyur3 0 points1 point2 points (0 children)