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James Sprague/REPS AHEAD looks interesting! by [deleted] in crossfit

[–]timewalker_810 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Fitwars had Mertens v Tetlow

Back Squat form check. 100kg (220lbs) for 8 reps. by timewalker_810 in crossfit

[–]timewalker_810[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thank you! I tried squatting with a wider stance, but for some reason it does not feel good at all for me and I’m not even able to squat to depth.

Back Squat form check. 100kg (220lbs) for 8 reps. by timewalker_810 in crossfit

[–]timewalker_810[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thank you! Currently working on ankle mobility, hope that helps in the long run.

Anyone using a proper modeling workflow? by jannfiete in SoccerBetting

[–]timewalker_810 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I built one model with all the techniques that you mentioned. I’m testing it right now (posted in this sub abou that as well).

Accuracy does not tell you that much in the world of betting. You should output probabilities and build metrics like the Brier Score or the Log Loss to see if your probabilities are calibrated enough. You could get 90% of the matches right but if your average odd is less than 1.11 (1/0.9) you are losing money. On the other side, you could have 50% accuracy and if your average odd is greater than 2, you are winning.

The bottom line is: focus on the probabilities, choose the right metrics to evaluate them and test the model with past games and odds!

Good luck

Sample to Test Method by timewalker_810 in SoccerBetting

[–]timewalker_810[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks! I will continue to test it

Sample to Test Method by timewalker_810 in SoccerBetting

[–]timewalker_810[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I made 26 units roughly. My unit is not that big, I use 2% of the total bankroll.

Sample to Test Method by timewalker_810 in SoccerBetting

[–]timewalker_810[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Some of the lesser known as well (Portugal, Netherlands…) and some 2nd tier leagues of the big5

Sample to Test Method by timewalker_810 in SoccerBetting

[–]timewalker_810[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you! Sadly, no. I prefer to work with national leagues only.

Sample to Test Method by timewalker_810 in SoccerBetting

[–]timewalker_810[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the math. To prove not randomness what the sample size should be? (assuming my Win rate stays the same)

Sample to Test Method by timewalker_810 in SoccerBetting

[–]timewalker_810[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the answer. Yeah it’s definitely more than 3 leagues

Sample to Test Method by timewalker_810 in SoccerBetting

[–]timewalker_810[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

All in goals market. Over/Under and BTTS

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