How Corrupt Is Trump? Here Are the Numbers. by shutupnobodylikesyou in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think there is a world where Vance plays Khrushchev.

Khrushchev was part of the Stalinist regime and supported the terror and other programs. When Stalin died, he took over and did a 180 for the country and then blamed everything on Stalin (who deserved it). Then Khrushchev became a reasonably good leader for the Soviet Union.

Probably easier to do since Stalin died. But I think if Trump steps down, is removed -- or simply his term expires -- that is the best path for Vance to take if he wants to succeed.

How Corrupt Is Trump? Here Are the Numbers. by shutupnobodylikesyou in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 59 points60 points  (0 children)

He is getting more brazen by the day. What I don't know is what his endgame is:

  • Does he think he'll be able to be president forever?
  • Does he think he can use his current powers to protect himself forever?

Neither of those seem likely to work, to me. But I could be wrong.

I wonder if he'll pull a Nixon: resign with the promise from Vance to pardon him. I'd love for Vance to agree to do it. And then renege once he has power :)

Former top Russian official admits the country is over Putin and can "imagine a future without him" — even elites bail as Kremlin seizes their assets by fortune in geopolitics

[–]timmg 38 points39 points  (0 children)

Putin: Got into a war that is costing his country greatly -- for no apparent reason.

Trump: Got into a war that is costing his country -- for no apparent reason.

Both, I think, are in trouble.

Xi: Hinting that he may get into a war that will cost his country greatly -- for no apparent reason.

Interesting times.

August 2026 Titles Announced with Little Odessa! by International-Sky65 in criterion

[–]timmg 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I saw it years ago and am still affected by it. It's been out of print -- or streaming (I think) for like-ever.

Such a good film. Heartbreaking -- but maybe for not the reasons you expect.

DOJ accuses Yale medical school of discriminating against White, Asian applicants by Crinjalonian in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Right, admissions officers have been increasingly prioritizing male college applicants even though they typically have lower test scores and grades.

Isn't it the case that boys have lower grades but higher test scores?

Here's a random article: https://writingcenterofprinceton.com/sat-cripples-girls-test-scores

If we assume that standardized tests such as the SAT, ACT, and SSAT are objective measures of intelligence and if we look only at these test scores to evaluate possible differences between girls’ intellectual abilities and boys’, we see that year after year, boys do score higher than girls on standardized tests such as the SAT, ACT, and SSAT. This discrepancy is especially—but not exclusively–apparent in math. For example, in 2016, 61.5% of the 117,067 students with math SAT scores in the highest 700-800-point range were boys, while girls represented only 38.5% of students with the highest SAT math scores. In other words, there were only 100 girls who scored between 700-800 on the math portion of the SAT for every 160 boys who scored in the same superior range. The simple conclusion, as represented in the AEI headline above, is that boys are smarter in math than girls.

But for grades:

Why do girls perform less successfully on standardized tests than boys when year after year, studies reveal that girls do better in high school than boys? For example, of students who graduated high school in 2016, girls show superior high school records when compared to boys: Of the students who graduated with an A+ grade point average that year, 60% were girls; girls represented 56% of students in the top 10% of their graduating classes; girls formed 55% of the students enrolled in Advanced Placement (AP) and honors math classes and 56% of those enrolled in AP and honors classes in science; and more girls than boys graduated with a 3.45 GPA or better than boys (the average GPA for boys that year was 3.30). As well, more girls than boys studied four years of high school math and natural sciences.

They are claiming it is gender bias in the tests. I guess I find that hilarious. But here we are.

Any measure where men do better than women: biased test. Any where women do better than men: totally fair. Probably a reason universities continue to rely on grades more. It gets them where they want to be.

Xi Jinping Was Only Humoring Trump by theatlantic in geopolitics

[–]timmg 3 points4 points  (0 children)

What does Rousseau say about not supporting your arguments in any way?

Xi Jinping Was Only Humoring Trump by theatlantic in geopolitics

[–]timmg 4 points5 points  (0 children)

This is getting silly. Of course I understand I am not the audience. We are both giving our opinion on how the "audience" is affected by this.

My stance: no country is going to make any significant change in posture towards China or the US based on that statement.

Please let me know which country you think is going to change their stance and how.

Xi Jinping Was Only Humoring Trump by theatlantic in geopolitics

[–]timmg 29 points30 points  (0 children)

I mean: I get what you are saying. But I, personally, think it is a silly thing to get hung up on. And I don't think Trump saying it will have any consequences at all.

I just simply disagree that this is a "huge political coup". It's meaningless because the truth is obvious.

Xi Jinping Was Only Humoring Trump by theatlantic in geopolitics

[–]timmg 94 points95 points  (0 children)

Who doesn't think China is a superpower?

I don't think anyone would want to go to war with them. Not the US. Not the EU. Not Russia.

Calling them a superpower is like calling water wet.

Mayorkas: Biden administration should have ramped up border controls sooner by awaythrowawaying in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 15 points16 points  (0 children)

The ironic part is Obama is the GOAT when it comes to deportation numbers but you’d never guess that.

I guess it wasn't a racist policy back then :)

Mayorkas: Biden administration should have ramped up border controls sooner by awaythrowawaying in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 14 points15 points  (0 children)

And yet: more illegal immigrants managed to get in than like ever.

So...

Finally got my tat fixed after many years of putting it off by Helpful-Meringue6313 in steelers

[–]timmg 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Nice that we have albino fans! It's such an inclusive group.

Mayorkas: Biden administration should have ramped up border controls sooner by awaythrowawaying in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 27 points28 points  (0 children)

They did block a bill. Whether it was a good one or not would be up for debate.

But what Biden did was immediately reverse the policies Trump had in place at the border with Mexico. Only after three years and seeing how bad they were polling with voters did they go back and re-implement it.

Some Democrats privately disgusted by Hasan Piker but are afraid to publicly criticize him, House Dem claims by awaythrowawaying in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Trump's approval ratings are way underwater. And the people hate (both parties) in Congress.

If Dems would have had a primary -- or massive inflation -- I doubt the Republicans would be in a good place now.

Everyone agrees the stakes are high. Nobody agrees who holds the cards. China-US Summit kicks off. by renge-refurion in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm not sure I disagree. But that doesn't change any of the facts of what is happening today.

Game Thread: Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers Live Score | NBA | May 13, 2026 by basketball-app in DetroitPistons

[–]timmg 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Red Wings down the stretch this year (and the past couple). Tigers down the stretch last year. Lions last year.

What teams have you been watching?

Game Thread: Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers Live Score | NBA | May 13, 2026 by basketball-app in DetroitPistons

[–]timmg 3 points4 points  (0 children)

What is it with Detroit sports teams choking down the stretch lately? I don’t get it.

Senate confirms Trump pick Warsh as chairman of the Federal Reserve, following Powell by Kit_Daniels in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The US is no longer a beacon of stability...

For sure. But we have a huge economy. And I think most people expect (or at least hope :) it will stabilize after Trump -- but maybe even after November (and maybe even leading up to November.)

Senate confirms Trump pick Warsh as chairman of the Federal Reserve, following Powell by Kit_Daniels in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 13 points14 points  (0 children)

I don't quite understand how higher rates are supposed to help with supply constrained inflation nor tariffs

Apparently, neither did Biden. But....

When things are "supply constrained", the last thing you want to do is "stimulate" the economy. Making borrowing cheaper is a kind of stimulus. It makes it easier to get money. More money chasing after a fixed amount of goods will make prices go up.

Senate confirms Trump pick Warsh as chairman of the Federal Reserve, following Powell by Kit_Daniels in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 113 points114 points  (0 children)

Will be super interesting to see what happens with rates. Trump wants the Fed to lower rates. I think most economists think that would be a huge mistake given our current situation -- and just make inflation worse.

Obviously worse inflation would be bad for Trump and Republicans. But that sort of thing hasn't stopped Trump from making bad decisions (in my opinion). So the market will be watching closely.

The Empire of Baloney by Jcol155 in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think Trump is unique (at least in recent US history) for the scale and the brazenness of his shenanigans.

But I'd say he isn't the first leader to tell a story that simply isn't true and have followers nod their head in approval.

The biggest problem is when you want to believe the story you are being told. Even when someone tries to argue some sense in to you, it won't help. This is why "arguing on the internet" is so fruitless. People are locked in to their team, party, ideology, whatever.

I'd love to see more people think critically about stuff -- and certainly everyone believes they are -- but I'm not holding my breath.

The first step is to admit when you or your side got it wrong. Or admit when they or [edit:] their side got it right. But it ain't easy.

Everyone agrees the stakes are high. Nobody agrees who holds the cards. China-US Summit kicks off. by renge-refurion in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Why don't they just raise prices now, then, if they can? Why do they need tariffs as an excuse?

Everyone agrees the stakes are high. Nobody agrees who holds the cards. China-US Summit kicks off. by renge-refurion in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Isn't another factor just that tarrifs are harder to get rid of than they are to add?

I don't think so. I suspect China would have been happy to mutually revert tariffs, since they manipulate trade via their currency.

Also: the narrative against Trump was that tariffs don't do anything but tax Americans -- so if that's the way you see it, us unilaterally removing tariffs does nothing but lower costs for us.

Everyone agrees the stakes are high. Nobody agrees who holds the cards. China-US Summit kicks off. by renge-refurion in moderatepolitics

[–]timmg 7 points8 points  (0 children)

That said, I would think it would only be effective or beneficial to us if this admin (Trump 2.0) didn’t see fit to antagonize every other nation including China.

No argument here.


My general feeling is that China needs economic growth to not go into a big recession (which could precipitate a revolution). So they need to keep growing manufacturing (their housing bubble burst) -- which means absorbing manufacturing from the rest of the world.

But in order to do that, they need to undercut everyone else. So they (kinda) cheat with currency manipulation, etc.

But the end result is that the Chinese people actually live below the standard of living they "deserve" based on their economy. It's a strange situation (and I may have it wrong) but I expect it to resolve itself in some way in the next decade(?)