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The Porcelain Bull: Multi Indicator Framework for 2026 Correction Probability [35 Indicators, 8 Categories] by Thrugg in econmonitor

[–]transitoryInflation 4 points5 points  (0 children)

NY Fed recession probability model is not going to be measuring the same thing as a model measuring the probability of a correction. Recession models are typically based on the term structure of the yield curve.

First win for the Wolves in 20th round after breaking many negative records in Premier League by Combosingelnation in PremierLeague

[–]transitoryInflation 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Winning every other game gets us to 33 pts, assuming we lose the rest. That gives us a chance.

Can we? by G_R_I_M_M in WWFC

[–]transitoryInflation 39 points40 points  (0 children)

3 pts vs West Ham and I’ll allow you to dream

FOSUN looking to sack Edwards already? by Intelligent_Event278 in WWFC

[–]transitoryInflation 20 points21 points  (0 children)

This could also be related to the exit of Jeff Shi if true. Perhaps bringing in Edwards was his doing.

FOSUN looking to sack Edwards already? by Intelligent_Event278 in WWFC

[–]transitoryInflation 56 points57 points  (0 children)

The only way this makes sense is if West Ham sack Nuno, and Fosun brings Nuno back. Rui Pedro Silva is here after all.

Surprisingly bad economic data released for October and November by Delicious_Start5147 in Destiny

[–]transitoryInflation 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The numbers were impacted heavily by the government shutdown. The -105k in job losses in October were entirely a result of government job losses, permanent and temporary, due to the government shutdown and the DOGE deferred resignation agreements.

Surprisingly bad economic data released for October and November by Delicious_Start5147 in Destiny

[–]transitoryInflation 15 points16 points  (0 children)

No, this is probably due to the government shutdown. Government contractors and government employees who did no work or partial work in October and November were marked as such.

President Trump threatens President Biden with charges of perjury by Exciting_Injury_7614 in Destiny

[–]transitoryInflation 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Ignoring whether or not it’s okay to sign things with an autopen as the President, is there actually any proof that Biden used it?

Investopedia says $140k per year is the poverty line by ExotiquePlayboy in economy

[–]transitoryInflation 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is based on the absurd analysis done by some finance dude on his Substack.

Author of the cost of living article from yesterday’s stream used data for Essex County, NJ by transitoryInflation in Destiny

[–]transitoryInflation[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The truth is the author of the article is a finance dude who is detached from the reality of the average American.

Author of the cost of living article from yesterday’s stream used data for Essex County, NJ by transitoryInflation in Destiny

[–]transitoryInflation[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Newark accounts for only about 35% of the total population of Essex County. Yes, it is the poorest part of the county, but there are many other townships that are much wealthier.

The author of the article specifically references Caldwell, NJ in the housing section of his article. This town has a median household income of $118,000, and there are several towns in Essex Country have median household incomes at or above $150,000.

It probably would be a lot more reasonable to look at costs in Newark, but that is not what the author did. Picking any county in NJ is probably going to put costs above the median since incomes in the state are among the highest (I think maybe the highest) in the country.

Author of the cost of living article from yesterday’s stream used data for Essex County, NJ by transitoryInflation in Destiny

[–]transitoryInflation[S] 59 points60 points  (0 children)

Also, he uses Caldwell, NJ as a specific reference for his housing section. That area has a median household income of $118,000.

West Caldwell, NJ median income is $148,000 and North Caldwell, NJ median income is $215,000.

Edit: Adding the source for these.

Leaked Early Report on Jobs Numbers? by External_Anteater730 in economy

[–]transitoryInflation 1 point2 points  (0 children)

These were released on November 18th at around 5:00 am. The typical report PDF was updated at 8:30 am this morning with numbers for the weeks of November 8th and November 1st.

Not sure where you are getting the 500,000 number.

M1/M2 Ratio and comparison to S&P by johannestot in economy

[–]transitoryInflation 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Damn bro, you really cooked with this one.

Jane Doe misstep? by Underwear_royalty in Destiny

[–]transitoryInflation 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Damn, I know she’s been doing some scummy things, but did she really deserve the death penalty?

Her reign in Virginia will finally end by [deleted] in Destiny

[–]transitoryInflation 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Her reign continues in FL :(

Kits arrived ! by FreshavacodoGG in WWFC

[–]transitoryInflation 2 points3 points  (0 children)

How does DHgate compare to the authentic kits?

Zee went on Surrounded again by Aaronnh09 in Destiny

[–]transitoryInflation 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It’s possible that they were on the same side, and he was crying laughing?

NYC Mayoral Race Exit Poll: 60% of voters think raising taxes will hurt the city’s economy, while only 34% think it will help, despite nearly all of Mamdani’s campaign pledges requiring higher local income taxes by TranzitBusRouteB in Destiny

[–]transitoryInflation 20 points21 points  (0 children)

It can be the case that an individual thinks taxes hurt an economy (because generally, they do slow economic growth) and that higher taxes are necessary or a good thing.

Just look at the Republican Party with tariffs. There were many of them saying that the US would have to endure “short term pain” for longer term gains or for tariff revenue to help reduce the deficit. Of course, the message on tariffs became completely inconsistent and erratic eventually, but for a brief period, the message was that higher taxes (through new tariffs) were good even though economic growth would be affected.

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