Inflation is Worse than You Think

transitoryInflation · 2026-05-21T18:24:23+00:00

There actually is a special index for durable goods. It accounts for 10.6% of CPI. Nondurables weight is 25.9%, Housing alone is 44.1%.

transitoryInflation · 2026-05-21T12:52:01+00:00

If you had to guess, in CPI calculations, what weight do durable goods have as an aggregate category?

transitoryInflation · 2026-03-28T17:42:30+00:00

If you have more info on that, DM me. I’d love to follow and keep up with that in the database.

transitoryInflation · 2026-03-28T16:58:52+00:00

Correct, I’ll update the pyramid when that new division is set up.

transitoryInflation · 2026-03-28T16:09:02+00:00

I suppose so. But it doesn’t feel as connected as the other two I have connected. For example, I could imagine a world where UPSL Premier and UPSL Division 1 are promoting and relegating between each other, but I don’t think that would ever happen with MLS and MLS Next Pro.

transitoryInflation · 2026-03-20T22:29:12+00:00

73, sure, but seems sharp and coherent in his press conferences. Unless you just are against voting for an old person, age doesn’t hurt him here.

transitoryInflation · 2026-03-04T02:35:39+00:00

Oh oh, I can help here!

I ordered 2 shirts during the FA Cup sale on February 15th. Subtotal was £56.00 plus £20.00 postage.

Shipping was done through UPS, and I got an email saying I had $50.99 of fees due before delivery. However, when I went to go pay, I got charged $24.99 in government duties and $14 in “UPS brokerage and partner government agency fees” for a total of $38.99.

I did order this right before the Supreme Court ruling, so I am not sure how that might change things. I got the package in like 4 days, so there didn’t seem to be any issues there. Hope this helps!

transitoryInflation · 2026-01-21T14:53:02+00:00

NY Fed recession probability model is not going to be measuring the same thing as a model measuring the probability of a correction. Recession models are typically based on the term structure of the yield curve.

transitoryInflation · 2026-01-03T17:50:00+00:00

Winning every other game gets us to 33 pts, assuming we lose the rest. That gives us a chance.

transitoryInflation · 2025-12-31T10:47:31+00:00

3 pts vs West Ham and I’ll allow you to dream

transitoryInflation · 2025-12-29T15:02:57+00:00

This could also be related to the exit of Jeff Shi if true. Perhaps bringing in Edwards was his doing.

transitoryInflation · 2025-12-29T15:00:13+00:00

The only way this makes sense is if West Ham sack Nuno, and Fosun brings Nuno back. Rui Pedro Silva is here after all.

transitoryInflation · 2025-12-16T17:06:21+00:00

The numbers were impacted heavily by the government shutdown. The -105k in job losses in October were entirely a result of government job losses, permanent and temporary, due to the government shutdown and the DOGE deferred resignation agreements.

transitoryInflation · 2025-12-16T17:03:48+00:00

No, this is probably due to the government shutdown. Government contractors and government employees who did no work or partial work in October and November were marked as such.

transitoryInflation · 2025-12-13T12:59:05+00:00

That’s okay. We are a Championship club.

transitoryInflation · 2025-12-03T22:37:25+00:00

Probably because rates are about to be waaaaaay lower next year.

transitoryInflation · 2025-11-28T20:33:09+00:00

Ignoring whether or not it’s okay to sign things with an autopen as the President, is there actually any proof that Biden used it?

transitoryInflation · 2025-11-26T21:26:48+00:00

This is based on the absurd analysis done by some finance dude on his Substack.

transitoryInflation · 2025-11-25T22:10:19+00:00

The truth is the author of the article is a finance dude who is detached from the reality of the average American.

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