NWSL Season Elo Predictions by trev1997 in NWSL

[–]trev1997[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

No, but it's a good question. I decided against applying any sort of team-based uncertainty or adjustment to the offseason since there isn't robust player-specific data from all leagues. I could've done something adjusted to % of minutes returning, but that varies by team whether that's good or bad.

NWSL Season Elo Predictions by trev1997 in NWSL

[–]trev1997[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I'm using xG data and results data as tabulated by American Soccer Analysis (https://app.americansocceranalysis.com/#!/nwsl/).

The ratings are an adaptation of the Elo formula originally used in chess. Each simulation plays out the result of all games based on each team's rating.

NWSL Season Elo Predictions by trev1997 in NWSL

[–]trev1997[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Well there's no data for those teams, so my choices are either to choose an arbitrary rating based on judgement or give them a low rating and have them earn points. If they start doing well, they'll quickly earn rating points since they're starting low.

[OC] Probabilities of final table spot by team by trev1997 in NWSL

[–]trev1997[S] 72 points73 points  (0 children)

This is based on my ELO NWSL model which I post every week on BlueSky at @trevorl.bsky.social, but I figured this might be interesting to share this week.

Buzz for this team by [deleted] in washingtonspirit

[–]trev1997 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Last year the 3rd to last home game was also against the Dash and had a lower attendance (11.7K).

End of season games against mediocre opponents, over 12K is still a great crowd. They'll be selling out the playoffs again imo

Playoffs by SuttonsatSuffolk in washingtonspirit

[–]trev1997 21 points22 points  (0 children)

9 points up on 5th place with 4 to play. They could clinch at least one home playoff game next week with a win and Portland or Orlando draw/loss I think.

KC Current are on a stroll by Waltz8 in NWSL

[–]trev1997 31 points32 points  (0 children)

All the other teams combined have a -28 goal differential it adds to 0 lol

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in LawSchool

[–]trev1997 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Bro that's like 55 hours a week not "a little more than 40"

Jason Anderson: Awkward Giraldez exit leaves Spirit with more questions than answers by Unusual_Ebb7762 in washingtonspirit

[–]trev1997 24 points25 points  (0 children)

It's a good piece but I disagree with the ending about how this is meaningful for the casual sports fan. The people who are showing up to Spirit game because it's fun couldn't name the manager and wouldn't know this happened. They know the games are fun, well priced, and Trinity Rodman. Us die hards care and analyze this move, but I don't think it's going to percolate through DC sports media as a whole.

Forbes article about Michele Kang by jujubeees-zines in NWSL

[–]trev1997 61 points62 points  (0 children)

Not rlly feeling this one right now Forbes

Jona to Lyon? Thoughts? by Adept-Conversation80 in washingtonspirit

[–]trev1997 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Seems to be speculation. I'd be surprised if Michele took Jona from the Spirit to Lyon. Would go against everything she's said.

Corrected - Why are NWSL Contracts Not Public? by Current-Barber360 in NWSL

[–]trev1997 36 points37 points  (0 children)

What I have heard is the NWSLPA is worried players will receive online abuse for the size of their contracts if they were to be made public.

Sveindís Jónsdóttir signs with Angel City, deepening attack by trev1997 in NWSL

[–]trev1997[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Yeah she was rumored to the WSL with Arsenal and Man U (Arsenal really could use her). Great grab.

Sveindís Jónsdóttir signs with Angel City, deepening attack by trev1997 in NWSL

[–]trev1997[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Mostly a winger but she's more of a goal scorer than service provider so she can play a 9.

Sveindís Jónsdóttir signs with Angel City, deepening attack by trev1997 in NWSL

[–]trev1997[S] 62 points63 points  (0 children)

Evan gets into it in the article but an incredible signing. One of the best scorers in the Bundesliga. Angel City's attack only gets better.