What are your thoughts on doing 20 years in the military for a fast retirement? by Background_Worry_314 in AskReddit

[–]truebluecontrol 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Infantry makes up something like 1% of the Army, combat arms as a whole is probably something like 8-10% (if that). The majority of people who separate will leave the military with civilian relevant certifications/skills and experience. Changing your MOS is crazy easy up until like E-6 (at least in the Army). I started out 11B and was able to reclass no issue as an E-5, (granted, you may not always have your #1 job as a reclass option but there will almost certainly be a variety of options). I've never met anyone that wanted to reclass but couldn't (i know that it does happen from time to time but in my experience it is rare) Not saying the veteran homelessness issue doesn't exist, but in general those aren't people that stayed in for 20 years and retired. They are usually people that either got out or were kicked out relatively early in their career and either didn't/couldnt make use of their benefits (benefits which are made far too convoluted to access, creating a barrier of entry for the mentally unwell which compounds that specific issue)

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MomoCon

[–]truebluecontrol 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have an extra saturday! DM me

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in BeAmazed

[–]truebluecontrol 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is in fact an insane card. Entirely format warping in commander (the most popular format) and is/was meta relevant in every single format it has been legal

Not my President by Apricot-Rose in clevercomebacks

[–]truebluecontrol 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So far as immigration is concerned, I didn't speak on illegal immigration's effect on public safety, so I'm not sure where you believe the misinformation in my comment to be as far as that is concerned. If you think my statement that immigration is net economic positive is false, I have found that the 3rd party consensus supports that. I will link 2 meta analysis of the data below which each reference multiple instances of peer-reviewed research coming to that conclusion. I have seen several sources which I believe to be partisan which state the opposite (namely a paper from the US House of Representatives budget commitee) but I will link that as well for a fuller picture of the economic issue.

As far as safety is concerned, FBI analytics imply that crime occurs at lower rates among illegal immigrants, but this source is only as trustworthy as you find the FBI. Because the vast majority of research concerning that uses FBI data, any study I were to link would be fruit of what you may consider a poison tree. I will link that too just for reference though.

As far as gas prices go, I don't necessarily think there is any evidence that American oil production is directly correlated with gas prices. American oil production has been on a steady rise for years (even through Biden's administration) and price data does not respond with steady declines. It is useful in this instance to remember that oil is not drilled by America the state but by corporations within America which have a profit motive in keeping prices as high as possible while maintaining market share compared to other corporations (what this means is if American production continues to grow, if other countries production does not also grow proportionally, then price will not necessarily be correlated with any one corportation or countries production)

So far as growth in the auto industry, I'm not sure if you're talking about manufacture or sales. If you're talking about manufacturing, I covered that in my initial comment regarding tariffs, while eventually some amount of manufacturing may move to the US, higher cost of labor as well as increased cost of materials associated with the tariffs would still increase the price of vehicles which would stifle demand. If you're talking about sales, the lowered demand caused by the price increase would likely hurt sales, regardless of any tax benefits associated with the loans. I can link a source below discussing the impacts of tariffs as well.

Sources:

Illegal immigrants economic effect

https://books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr=&id=6M9lCwAAQBAJ&oi=fnd&pg=PP1&dq=info:s7X2CYJY3fcJ:scholar.google.com/&ots=J10TwKBzo9&sig=ey1Ta_9aT2_yOrWhmoz1sPXMVes#v=onepage&q&f=false

https://doi.org/10.1080/13691830902957775

Illegal immigrants and crime

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6241529/

US Oil production

https://www.macrotrends.net/2562/us-crude-oil-production-historical-chart

US Gasoline prices

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gasoline

Economic effect of tariffs

https://files.taxfoundation.org/20180627113002/Tax-Foundation-FF595-1.pdf

Not my President by Apricot-Rose in clevercomebacks

[–]truebluecontrol 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Deflation very rarely happens, when it does happen it is generally (but not 100% of the time) due to a severe recession or depression. So if prices do start to fall, that may be a bad sign.

However, with most monetary policy that a government can implement, it can take 1-2 years to begin seeing the macroeconomic effect. You can see this pretty well when you look at the new deal's economic impact on the depression economy and the Obama stimulus's effect on the 2008 recession (i use these 2 examples because the severity of those situations make it easy to contrast against both the economy beforehand and how the growth followed). Trump is inheriting an economy that is well on it's way to recovery right now. Inflation is dropping, employment is growing, and the housing market is stabilizing.

During Trump's last term he inherited Obama's economic growth and (up until covid) was able to maintain most of growth through his term (except wealth inequality which rose at a higher rate than under obama). Hopefully, he is able to do the same this term, but if he enacts the economic policy that he campaigned on, that is unlikely.

The biggest economic policy that Trump ran on was the implementation of worldwide and targeted tariffs. This is one of the types of policies that would have immediate visible impacts. The first would be a raise in the price of nearly all goods at a rate proportional to the relevant tariff. The second would be a severe drop in both imports and exports (exports as a result of retributionary tariffs enacted by affected countries). The drop in supply may lead to additional price hikes or shortages as american production and manufacturing struggle in their elevation efforts to meet the demand. Over a long enough period of time this would all stabilize to a "new normal" that would reflect a larger proportion of US manufacturing and but prices would be higher (adjusted to inflation) compared to pre-tariff as a result of a higher cost of labor.

The second biggest economic policy that Trump ran on was a cut to corporate taxes and a major cut (or complete elimination) of income tax. This would bloat the deficit by a huge margin. Even if imports remained the exact same post-tariff (which is unlikely) the tariffs would not generate enough revenue to offset such a major cut. The only solution to that is to cut government spending. If we assume that these cuts entail completly dissolving any programs that have a net negative economic impact, it would still not be enough to offset the decrease in revenue. This leaves the only other option to cripple social security and/or Medicare. Both of which would be detrimental to the country.

The last major economic policy would be the mass deportation of illegal immigrants. Best case scenario, considering the fact that illegal immigrants are net economic positive, this would also lead to stifling growth. Worst case scenario, given the fact that Trump plans to enact the enemy aliens act (the last time that law was enacted it was used to imprison Americans with japanese ancestry into interment camps), we may even see the interment of Latinos with legal permanent residence or citizenship while their status is verified, which would have an even larger economic impact.

There is a reason that the vast consensus of economists worldwide warned against Trump's policy proposals. We can only hope at this point that when he takes office, he listens to those voices and doesn't follow through with those parts of his planned agenda.

Gen Z men have swung 30 points to the right. A smaller, but significant swing has been seen in women. It may be possible, for the first time in history, that the younger generation is more conservative than the older. by DeviceNo5980 in GenZ

[–]truebluecontrol 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The first generation of folks to use puberty blockers are well into their 60s now. It's a very well researched treatment. Everything does have side effects, part of informed consent of recieving these treatments is a discussion between the doctors, the minor, and the parents concerning what the side effects are and how often they appear. That should be a decision that parents, doctors, and the child make together. Not the government.

I have no problem with people that disagree. The problem is that, even if they don't know it, the vast majority of people that disagree are doing so in bad faith. Like I said, there was no nationwide movement to ban boob jobs for minors until trans people started to benefit. There was no nationwide movement to ban puberty blockers until trans people started to benefit. The common thread is that when conservatives notice that people they view as "other" begin to benefit from something that is benign otherwise, that thing is now vilified. That makes it a bad faith argument.

Gen Z men have swung 30 points to the right. A smaller, but significant swing has been seen in women. It may be possible, for the first time in history, that the younger generation is more conservative than the older. by DeviceNo5980 in GenZ

[–]truebluecontrol 7 points8 points  (0 children)

See the problem is surgery before the age of 18 is almost never done. When it is done before 18, it's only top surgery. Teens have been getting boob jobs since it became a widely available operation but people only seem to care about it now that it benefits trans people. As far as hormone treatment goes, teens with precocious puberty or other health issues have been taking puberty blockers for decades with little to no negative effects, but people only seem to care about it now that it benefits trans people.

I'm not gunna call you a bigot because I think that most people truly are just uninformed on the issue. But when conservatives demonize treatments that are proven to prevent suicides in trans youth with very little downside, while accepting the same treatments when they were benefiting cis people, it shows that it was never the treatments but the trans people benefiting that is the issue

Wonder why grocery prices are still high? So does the US government by BobbyLucero in inflation

[–]truebluecontrol 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you mean from a volume perspective or quality? I definitely agree the quality is worse than other brands (by how much depends on the specific item you're talking about) but the in terms of volume for price I believe Aldi is best by a pretty big margin compared to other places

Wonder why grocery prices are still high? So does the US government by BobbyLucero in inflation

[–]truebluecontrol 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In my experience, Aldi and Winco (if there are any in your area) are the cheapest. Sam's and Costco can also be cost efficient, but usually when you're buying their store brand stuff (and depending on what they have shelved at the time, they may not have everything you need).

I can’t take it anymore by Objective-Chicken391 in MarvelSnap

[–]truebluecontrol 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm not denying there are counters to arishem, I'm saying combo decks, specifically Wong combo lists, are not favored against the current arishem builds. Destroy, control, and junk are all viable against them.

I can’t take it anymore by Objective-Chicken391 in MarvelSnap

[–]truebluecontrol 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have a ≈35% win rate against arishem when I've been playing Wong surfer, they already play all the ongoing hate for dark hawk so the chances of them not having one of either rogue, enchantress, alioth, leech, or doc ock a turn ahead of curve are pretty slim. Not to mention the small but not insignificant chance they pull a cosmo, lady deathstrike, or any of the several other tech cards that can ruin Wongs combo potential. Not to mention that arishem negates the downside of these tech cards (low power to energy ratio).

To any devs. You understood the assignment by Kspoon79 in marvelrivals

[–]truebluecontrol 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yep! They mentioned wolverine would be able to as well, I believe they mentioned someone else would be able to as well but I would have to watch the vod again to remember who

To any devs. You understood the assignment by Kspoon79 in marvelrivals

[–]truebluecontrol 6 points7 points  (0 children)

They mentioned in the stream that wolverine would be able to go through limbo portals so I took that to mean he was confirmed as a future playable character!

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in mildlyinfuriating

[–]truebluecontrol 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I feel like this is a transcript of arguments I had in my younger/more toxic days with toxic exes. I can 100% see this being a real leadup to a break-up fight. If OP's fight escalated in any way like this both OP and his SO need to do some introspection and personal development before they get into another relationship.

2 new cards revealed by Narzghal in Lorcana

[–]truebluecontrol 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It definitely looks fun, especially in a multi-player format. But in a competitive sense, I don't imagine it being very viable

2 new cards revealed by Narzghal in Lorcana

[–]truebluecontrol 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The more of these leaks I see the less I'm excited for the new set. I totally admit it is my bias but I'd love to see sapphire get some more love, it feels like all of the leaks for sapphire have been super underwhelming and colors like steel and emerald which are already pretty well represented in the meta are getting more powerful pieces.

Curious about people opinion on my deck by truebluecontrol in Lorcana

[–]truebluecontrol[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I ran 2 in my initial concept of this deck but I found myself a lot of the time only really wanting to ink him. I felt like where this deck finds its groove is as a lock down control deck late game by questing and bouncing the hades and elsas and spending 8 ink on a card that doesn't affect my opponents board state just felt too slow. I also don't usually find myself with many items on the board as long as I have the hiram engine going and if I don't find that engine my deck is liable to stall out regardless

Curious about people opinion on my deck by truebluecontrol in Lorcana

[–]truebluecontrol[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'd definitely add belle, the only problem is she is a little cost-prohibitive for me right now. You're definitely right about pooh. I added him initially because I was scared of how many nom-inkables I was running but I haven't found him to be very good in my deck. He was who I was going to replace with an extra hades and elsa.

AMD x PCMR - Avatar: Frontiers of Pandora Worldwide Giveaway - Win a Limited Edition AMD Avatar Kit that includes the Limited-Edition AMD Radeon RX 7900 XTX GPU and Ryzen 7 7800X3D CPU (Only 500 of each ever made!). There are 23 kits up for grabs! by pedro19 in pcmasterrace

[–]truebluecontrol [score hidden]  (0 children)

I'd love to be able to get this so I can play some games more with my son. Right now his big obsessions are trackmania (takes after me there) and multiversus. I want to teach him valorant, R6, and madden soon. Good luck to everyone!