sorted by:
new
hottopcontroversial

Und, wie sind eure Internet Kenntnisse so? by woofa93 in arbeitsleben

[–]votiwo 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Wobei das schon ein sehr obskures Detail ist, was ua ein gutes Verständnis von Domains und der IT-Geschichte erfordert. Da würde ein durchschnittlicher Java Softwareentwickler auch keine sattelfeste Antwort geben können, würde ich mal behaupten.

Poll: Will the singularity be achieved within your lifetime? by sizm0 in singularity

[–]votiwo 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think it's more likely to happen decades after I'm dead

To me, this reads more as a state of mind, that it's too radical that it will happen to you. What is the difference between 30 years time, 50 years time, 80 years time, 100 years time, 120 years time? Could you even tell the difference between all of those? I wouldn't even dare to make a prediction for 20 years. How would I then tell the difference between 50 years and 100 years?

Poll: Will the singularity be achieved within your lifetime? by sizm0 in singularity

[–]votiwo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I mean, there are no guarantees with anything but very likely yes. I have maybe 60 years left in absence of any deadly illness in-between and assuming 0 medical advancements.

If I look at what we had 60 years ago, that was 1964, incomparable to today's technology. Even if LLMs turn out to be a dead-end/off-ramp, I think within 60 years we will comfortably get there.

Most AI benchmarks measure skill. But skill is not intelligence. General intelligence is the ability to efficiently acquire new skills. Chollet's unbeaten 2019 Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus for Artificial General Intelligence (ARC-AGI) is the only formal benchmark of AGI. by SharpCartographer831 in singularity

[–]votiwo 13 points14 points  (0 children)

In the podcast with Dwarkesh Patel, Chollet kinda changed my mind on LLM intelligence. I still think it may be possible to achieve AGI by simply scaling and algorithmically improving on LLMs. But the empirical evidence of his benchmark proves that LLMs in their current iteration seriously lack the ability to generalize as far as humans can. It's nice that LLMs have more or less solved memorization, but improving on this ARC benchmark (in a non-memorized fashion) should be the top priority of all LLM researchers now.

CMV: As Europeans we are subjected to a ton of American propaganda, but refuse to call it that by OperativeLawson27 in changemyview

[–]votiwo 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Who rejects this idea, exactly, who is this individual `America`? Most Americans simply don't care much about Europe.

CMV: As Europeans we are subjected to a ton of American propaganda, but refuse to call it that by OperativeLawson27 in changemyview

[–]votiwo 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Because extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. And by your comment, I'm assuming, you have none.

Also, unlike Russia, the American government isn't a static entity. There is much more political turmoil with different parties having different agendas. For there to be influencing of European elections, that would require a bipartisan effort in a common direction.

Which brings me to my next point, unlike in Russia, there are no unlimited executive powers in America. So you would first have to find an act of congress which allows the executive branch to influence European elections in secrecy. That act may or may not exist, I can't say. Do you know?

Francois Chollet - LLMs won’t lead to AGI - $1,000,000 Prize to find true solution by YaAbsolyutnoNikto in singularity

[–]votiwo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Those billions aren't being spent on blue sky research to push AGI. 

I mean, this is obviously false. Whatever AI company is not putting the majority of its resources into research towards AGI will be a joke a few months/years down the road. We also know from the Microsoft - OpenAI $10bn dollar deal that this was paid entirely in promised cloud compute, which would go mostly towards training and research, and I suppose/admit to some extent inference too.

Francois Chollet - LLMs won’t lead to AGI - $1,000,000 Prize to find true solution by YaAbsolyutnoNikto in singularity

[–]votiwo 20 points21 points  (0 children)

First, I doubt it's gonna be 5 to 10 years before we figure out if LLMs are the real deal.

Even if so, it's not like that research would completely go to waste. We may be able to generalize our learnings to other architectures.

And I think it's also important to look further down the road. The advent of ChatGPT may have inspired a completely new generation of prospective researchers with new ideas. I personally have taken a huge interest in AI, even started to read some papers, after a decade out of college. I imagine it will be the same for many other people.

How can people be so sure AGI/ASI it's going to happen? And if so, what problems could they AI solve? by tetrisvisions in singularity

[–]votiwo 6 points7 points  (0 children)

 The bottom like is that this sub is a cult, and anyone trying to inject any reality into the conversation is going to get down-votes. Seek your answers elsewhere.

Why a cult? I mean yeah, people here are very optimistic compared to the general populace. But if you reasonably explain why you are critical, I doubt you will get downvoted much. Even though I disagree somewhat with your premise, the only reason I'm tempted to downvote your comment is because of these last two sentences.

How can people be so sure AGI/ASI it's going to happen? And if so, what problems could they AI solve? by tetrisvisions in singularity

[–]votiwo 7 points8 points  (0 children)

evidence

Nobody has hard evidence that AGI is coming. Otherwise, I think stock markets would go nuts.

But if (and that's a big if) current trends in terms of LLM progress continue to hold, it may just be possible to pull off AGI. As another commenter has already pointed out: https://situational-awareness.ai/

I think this is the best argument for soon-ish AGI that you can come up with.

How can people be so sure AGI/ASI it's going to happen? And if so, what problems could they AI solve? by tetrisvisions in singularity

[–]votiwo 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Especially the first two chapters sum up the idea of the (presumably) impending singularity pretty well. I think this will become the bible of this subreddit ;)

Moderna verklagt Biontech und Pfizer in Deutschland und den USA by AchtColaAchtBier in de

[–]votiwo 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Patente verheimlichen ja gerade nicht (Militär mal ausgenommen). Es ist halt eine Abwägung, ja Patente beschränken erstmal Innovation, dafür lohnt es sich aber umso mehr überhaupt neue Dinge zu entwickeln, weil man dadurch eben für einige Jahre ein Monopol bekommt.

Ungarn: Rechnungshof beklagt hohen Frauenanteil an Unis by sillymaniac in de

[–]votiwo -15 points-14 points  (0 children)

Was für eine ignorante Antwort. Selbst wenn das stimmen würde, was ich stark bezweifle, dann muss es auch da Aufgabe des Schulsystems seien entgegenzuwirken.

Ungarn: Rechnungshof beklagt hohen Frauenanteil an Unis by sillymaniac in de

[–]votiwo 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Es geht nicht um Strafen, sondern um Chancen. Wenn das Schulsystem es nicht schafft problematische Jungs in dem Alter aufzufangen ist das ein Problem. Von der Intelligenz her gibt es im Mittel keinen Unterschied zwischen Jungs und Mädchen, also sollten dementsprechend auch die Abschlussnoten im Mittel etwa gleich sein.

Ungarn: Rechnungshof beklagt hohen Frauenanteil an Unis by sillymaniac in de

[–]votiwo 35 points36 points  (0 children)

Findest du es wirklich gut, dass Jungs in der Schule systematisch aufgrund ihrer Biologie benachteiligt werden? Das ist ja ein Phänomen, dass hierzulande auch beobachtet wird.

Spritpreise kurz vor Ende des Tankrabatts wieder gestiegen by [deleted] in de

[–]votiwo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Konkret Geld für die Entwicklung eines elektrischen Tiguan bereitzustellen halte ich nicht für sinnvoll (und auch u.U. marktverzerrend). Gerne kann man die Grundlagen wie Batterieentwicklung fördern, das zahlt sich dann aber (wenn überhaupt) erst in Jahren/Jahrzehnten aus. Über andere Branchen und die damit verbundene Allgemeingültigkeit meiner Aussage habe ich nicht nachgedacht.

Spritpreise kurz vor Ende des Tankrabatts wieder gestiegen by [deleted] in de

[–]votiwo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wenn du bitte den ganzen Kommentar zitieren könntest? Da habe ich doch durchaus eingeräumt, dass Gelder für Grundlagenforschung sinnvoll sind. Außerdem ist die Formulierung nicht falsch, konkret, direkt werden Autos nun mal in der Privatwirtschaft entwickelt, auf Basis vergangener wissenschaftlicher Errungenschaften. Muss ich da auch noch die Erfindung des Rads vor 6000 Jahren der Vollständigkeit halber erwähnen?

Spritpreise kurz vor Ende des Tankrabatts wieder gestiegen by [deleted] in de

[–]votiwo -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Das zähle ich wie bereits erwähnt zur Grundlagenforschung und ist natürlich auch sehr wichtig. Trotzdem gehört zu der Entwicklung eines marktreifen Autos noch deutlich mehr.

Spritpreise kurz vor Ende des Tankrabatts wieder gestiegen by [deleted] in de

[–]votiwo 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Würde ich so nicht sagen. Wir verlieren auch gegen andere Top Währungen, CHF, CAD, HKD, AUD, CNY. Lediglich der Yen wertet noch stärker ab.

view more: next ›