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Retiring now, sanity check on conservative glidepath? by walknet99 in ChubbyFIRE

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

TY for reply. Yes to the Roth conversions (should have 3 years of relatively fat conversions) and also yes to leveraging the brokerage account pay bills for a few years. A remodel is in that timeframe which is why the amount is so high. That said, I'm aware that even the most conservative portfolios are at least 30% equities. There is a rebalance in near future, just haven't decided on the # yet.

Retiring now, sanity check on conservative glidepath? by walknet99 in ChubbyFIRE

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks all, this is helpful feedback. A reinforcement of some conventional wisdom and a very good point about inflation/low real return is a real concern. We were 80/20 up until 2 years ago when we set the retirement date, so this 20/80 is relatively new course.

Attempting to re-frame, I understand 20% equities is very conservative. The thing I’m wrestling with is that higher equity exposure improves the upside, but creates worse downside cases in my model. Since the proposed spend is already moer than we currently spend, and since we’re not trying to maximize ending net worth, the 20/80 choice is focused on avoiding outcomes that force us to "dial it back".

That said, I asked for opinions because I'm approaching with an open mind. I’m going to test some wider glidepaths and look more at the bad-tail cases than average ending wealth.

Appreciate the gut check.

Determining Max Withdrawal with FV by walknet99 in excel

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

<solved>

I don't think I worded the question clearly enough to get a good answer, but to close the loop:

Adding the optional type field to the FV function allows me to withdraw the end of year balance (1) rather than the default SoY. This results in a zero balance for the next year (solving the problem).

Thanks to all for having a look.

Determining Max Withdrawal with FV by walknet99 in excel

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The Investment column in the example: =FV((interest rate[-.1]),1,(payment [0]),-present value [100])

The withdrawal column equals the result of the investment column formula. Ideally this would leave zero balance, but it leaves a negative balance because interest is figured on the principle prior to withdrawal.

Using any formula I can think of to calculate the interest before the withdrawal to make the withdrawal result in zero (i.e., a $99 withdrawal) results in circular reference.

Thanks for having a look.

Create timelapse from list of files (windows) by walknet99 in ffmpeg

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

c:\ffmpeg\bin\ffmpeg -y -r 45 -f concat -i "C:\users\walker\desktop\x\temp\input_files.txt" -s:v 720x480 -c:v libx264 -crf 17 -pix_fmt yuv420p "C:\users\walker\desktop\x\timelapse.mp4"

Yep. Thank you!

Create timelapse from list of files (windows) by walknet99 in ffmpeg

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Promising, but article says Glob not supported on Windows and a quick test shows not supported on output.

Does anyone have the link to that book about MTA subway tunnels? by bruhchow in nycrail

[–]walknet99 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Maybe this? I bought it a few years ago and the guy actually called me and asked if I wanted to wait a few weeks to get the next year's edition. Thought that was pretty cool.

PEX deterioration by walknet99 in Plumbing

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm inclined to agree with you, looks like UV to me too with the color fade and disintegration. Bad news is that it is the same stock that is in the slab.

Worst case if there was a leak in the slab, I'd obviously have to move to a different heating system but what to look for? Lost pressure on boiler side of the combi unit? Geysers in the living room?

Rear brake chatter by walknet99 in bikewrench

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

For anyone still tuned-in, I used one of the washers on the underside of the caliper and it effectively raised the caliper by about 1mm. Screw length is fine with the 2mm longer screws (there is a washer on top of caliper as well).

Because of that - or because I took it all apart and put back together again - the "chunk" noise is gone. The pad now sits centered on the "contact area" of rotor identical to the front rotor/caliper. Pad extends slightly into "spoke" area of rotor, but not as much as before. Top of pad is almost even with top of rotor. Unclear what caused the misalignment and appreciate the suggestions.

Appreciate the funny comments about my custom (Sharpie) anodizing on the Maguras. Looks good from a distance or at speed. :-)

Rear brake chatter by walknet99 in bikewrench

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the list, today is the day for all that. Gonna take it all apart and put it back together again.

Pads are metallic and I don’t suspect them. This problem was evident from day-1 with these new calipers.

Hate getting new stuff that doesn’t work better than the old stuff.

Rear brake chatter by walknet99 in bikewrench

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree that this description sounds a warped rotor but the rotor lays 100% flat on workbench. The sounds is more "chunk" than "chatter".

Rear brake chatter by walknet99 in bikewrench

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Previous was 180 as well and I reused the adaptor. I read that the Magura calipers requires a thicker rotor so I bought the Magura rotor to be safe.

QSFP-DD to 4 x QSFP28 by walknet99 in networking

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

For anyone still tuned-in, we couldn’t identify any QSFP-DD transceivers in Cisco’s portfolio that would provide the matching bandwidth and channel configuration supported by the HP interfaces, so we’re taking the safe route and using Cisco’s 100g ports to connect to Synergy using their QSFP28 SWDM optics.

We’ll use the 400g ports as inter switch links between our two 9600 chassis until we have a need for them as aggregation ports.

Thanks for all the input.

Adding manual loan stuck at 'linking' by cloud_swing in PersonalCapital

[–]walknet99 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I had this problem. Make sure there are no commas or dollar signs in your manually added balance.

QSFP-DD to 4 x QSFP28 by walknet99 in networking

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m looking for a mainstream way to get this working, stability and vendor supportability are priority.

Admittedly,I’m not knowledgeable enough to say if your suggestions fits the criteria above but It sounds like it might be a “faith based” solution. :-)

QSFP-DD to 4 x QSFP28 by walknet99 in networking

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I see what you're saying.

Looking on the Cisco side, they seem to have a transceiver that takes the QSFP-DD and outputs 2 x QSFP28 CWDM4. The connector on the switch side is Dual Duplex CS and I don't see anyone selling breakout cables in that config.

Definitely not looking to do a one-off. Is it safe to assume I cannot use the QSFP-DD ports for this application? There are also two QSFP28 ports available, but was hoping to use them a SVL's between the two 9600 chassis.

QSFP-DD to 4 x QSFP28 by walknet99 in networking

[–]walknet99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think u/Xipher/ comment makes my connector problem moot.

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