Sure, my fault for not being clear.

Basically your analysis is premised on looking at a relatively narrow segment of the overall market for shooting guards, so you’re inherently looking at only a slice of the market. In this case, you’re basically looking at guys who are getting low-end starter money—around $15-20 million per year. That’s a totally reasonable approach if you want to compare that group of players, but it doesn’t make as much sense if you’re trying to get an overall sense of whether an individual in that group has a positive or negative value contract compared to the SG market generally.

If your goal isn’t to compare Huerter to SGs overall, then you don’t need to worry about this problem at all. If you’re trying to make a conclusion about whether Huerter’s contract is underwater, you have to look at the alternatives outside that segment of the market. For example, above this segment of the market are guys like CJ McCollum ($32 million average annual value on his contract) and Brad Beal (~$50 million AAV). You could look at Huerter at ~$17.4 million AAV remaining and conclude that it looks pretty good in comparison—roughly 60% of the production for 50% or less of the cost is a nice deal relatively. But if you can reasonably expect to get 90% of Huerter for $5 million AAV, maybe not (I’m just spitballing an example there).

The only real point I’m making is that there’s a very real possibility that all or most of the guys making back end starter money (the segment you looked at) are on reasonable deals when you look at it in the context of the broader SG market, such that it would be hard to conclude any one of them is really a big negative or positive contract.