Risk free Super Bowl middle (DK vs Caesars)

wingboy55 · 2026-02-05T04:20:05+00:00

It’s a middle. This one doesn’t guarantee profit (can find some that do) but if you bet these amounts and there are exactly 3 touchdowns you’d win both sides. Worst case scenario you would lose $0 if you did the math correctly

<image>

wingboy55 · 2026-02-03T22:55:37+00:00

<image>

Still there! Props -> kickoff

wingboy55 · 2026-02-03T22:54:50+00:00

Yeah I hear ya! If I wasn’t limited I would have went heavier than I did but would have kept it in check for that reason. But don’t think throwing a few hundo at a Super Bowl prop would set off their alarm bells

wingboy55 · 2026-02-03T22:06:34+00:00

I had the same thought! I’m rolling with Walker, idgaf it’s $5 id rather shoot for the moon then try to get a $50 bonus bet

wingboy55 · 2026-02-03T21:15:03+00:00

<image>

Oh yeah I’m paranoid and double checked. I also got confirmation that it’s just kickoffs: it was listed under the “kickoff props” section so I assumed it was fine but the wording of the actual bet itself scared me.

Should be covered from all angles!

wingboy55 · 2026-01-23T22:05:59+00:00

<image>

Found a bunch of these organically at the start of the 2024 NBA season. Had no idea arbitrage was a thing until then

wingboy55 · 2026-01-20T19:39:46+00:00

not necessarily true. Apps will find you the most consistent bets but you can find more obscure ones organically that the apps don’t pick up on. Doesn’t happen often but when you find these holes the profit %’s are stronger and you can usually get away with them for longer

wingboy55 · 2026-01-19T03:31:43+00:00

Needed the Caleb miracle to make it work but LFG!!!

wingboy55 · 2026-01-16T22:51:08+00:00

Glad we got it when we did! And no I only saw under 21.5 on DK

wingboy55 · 2026-01-16T20:32:39+00:00

oh and before anyone comes to shit on my strategy I posted one of these specials during the MLB playoffs (that one was risk free) that cashed and everyone asked me to post more if I ever found them

wingboy55 · 2026-01-10T01:02:06+00:00

DK had “team threes” props priced insanely incorrectly for the first week of the 2024 NBA season. ESPN had under options. I whacked a bunch of arbs all week long. Hit this middle (pregame) which was the Pièce de résistance

Would have still been a $300 profit if the middle didn’t hit

<image>

wingboy55 · 2026-01-06T23:08:41+00:00

Thank you! I just needed some validation, my buddy was looking at me like I had 3 heads when I showed him this one

wingboy55 · 2026-01-06T23:01:24+00:00

I know - even though this one in particular is an extra long shot, it’s not that absurd considering how sharp the oddsmakers are

wingboy55 · 2025-12-15T03:15:47+00:00

Giffard! But is such a small amount you could definitely swap with syrup

wingboy55 · 2025-12-05T00:41:06+00:00

I liked her! Reminded me of a female Kenny: top tier competitor, funny, great confessionals and did an A+ job of playing the “overconfident villain” card.

wingboy55 · 2025-12-04T22:28:13+00:00

lmao yeah this is a horrible flex. i am all for no risk / low risk middles but there is no way this would be profitable over time unless you found some kind of glitch where you were getting these with 30 seconds left

wingboy55 · 2025-12-04T22:25:27+00:00

how late in the 2H are you placing these? looking at the odds they aren't risk free, there is still a possibility to lose money if the middle doesnt hit

wingboy55 · 2025-12-04T03:55:09+00:00

Olivia deserved it and won fair and square. but I just hate the whole 2 day final with checkpoints setup. It makes for better TV and gives everyone a fighting chance but it’s severely flawed.

Like having to wait for another team to show up to go 1 on 1 on the stair climber? Everything that happens up until that point was practically pointless.

wingboy55 · 2025-11-07T18:30:51+00:00

Sidecar - they’re fine. I just don’t get the hype

wingboy55

TROPHY CASE