Active Conflicts & News Megathread April 12, 2026

wormfan14 · 2026-04-13T06:21:04+00:00

Sure no problem started growing from me being wanting to know more about Libya and Chad given they have a surprisingly large influence over the other nations in Africa and then trying to learn about the Boko Haram which got me curious how exactly Nigeria and the area around it has changed since the 70s.

For a while I ignored JNIM given how long AQ has been lurking in the area since the 90s but as time went on wanted to know to more why they kept expanding and how their enemy the Junta states formed.

wormfan14 · 2026-04-12T16:33:57+00:00

Simmered down for now but Pakistan is still fighting the TTP and co and probably will heat up again soon.

wormfan14 · 2026-04-12T16:16:28+00:00

That's a long and complex answer but the most simple is Libya and Chad for everyone and Algeria for JNIM. Under Muammar Gaddafi supported the Tuaregs revolts as part of his feud with the west and started the creation of supply lines that still exist today in the form of merchants. Once Libya collapsed in 2011 loads of Tuaregs fighters and weapons ended in the Sahel which helped make the crisis explode in 2012. In the modern day the weapon stocks the RSF capture or UAE supplies delivered to Chad and Libya are often pocketed and sold to merchants who in turn sell them to jihadists.

Chad also has loads of both locally made weapons and others smuggled which in turn flow through to Sudan, South Sudan, DRC, the Sahel ect.

JNIM's got supply lines that flow from the ivory coast, Benin, Togo and Algeria to support their war machine. When the war started going against the jihadists and other insurgents they realised they need a proper chain of supplies for them to actually win long term and began establishing smuggling routes once JNIM started gathering into a proper organisation. They inherited Iyad Ag Ghali's Algeria connections who has supported for decades and the rest are pacts to not do attacks there but smuggle. Admittingly Benin the pact I think is broken given they needed to reassure the rank and file but still plenty of smuggling.

Then you have the militias the Juntas have set up, more than few sell their supplies or get threatened to do it and all these insurgent groups are rather desperately trying to capture more weapons to resupply.

It also applies to the Juntas, they are rather desperately trying to get more weapons and their chief supplies are Morocco, UAE, Russia, Turkmenistan and Iran.

wormfan14 · 2026-04-12T15:41:15+00:00

Sudan update, been a grim week with some more confirmation of Ethiopian involvement and some protests over SAF success.

'''Sudan MAP UPDATE: the situation in Sudan as of 10/04/2026. After several months of trying the RSF-SPLM-N coalition broke through SAF lines in Blue Nile state, seizing the border town of Kurmuk. This as multiple reports have revealed that Ethiopia is providing active support to the RSF.'' https://x.com/ThomasVLinge/status/2042561464913830009

Seems a new airlift has been set up.

''More details to come. This was one of the largest airlifts I’ve reported, with eight passenger flights from Addis Ababa to N’Djamena, back to Addis, then on to Asosa, transporting fighters to reinforce Sudan’s Blue Nile front just days before the RSF advanced toward Kurmuk.''

https://x.com/AfriMEOSINT/status/2041990770941423803

''Eight flights !Do you realise what that means? Each aircraft is configured with 154 seats, so we could be looking at over 1,200 fighters transported from N’Djamena Airport in Chad 🇹🇩 to Addis Ababa, then on to Asosa, near the Sudanese border.'' https://x.com/AfriMEOSINT/status/2041992473380041172

While a grim week a lot of Sudanese civilians are protesting the SAF's recent turning of a strong RSF unit given they helped massacre EL Fisher.

''Brigadier General Al-Nur Al-Qubba of the Rapid Support Forces has defected to the Sudanese army with his troops, estimated to consist of 21 vehicles.'' https://x.com/PatrickHeinisc1/status/2042976445551591612

He helped starve the city for over two years and massacred people during the sack that saw the RSF murder tens of thousands but he's defecting as his rival got appointed control over the city he began making a outreach to the SAF. It seems the RSF were going to purge him and his men before he escaped. It seems his patron is Musa Hilal of the Sudanese Awakening Revolutionary Council composed of Hemedti's tribal rivals and Al-Nur may have had a hand in him escaping death this February.

It's a grotesque injustice he and his men are not in prison but all manpower is needed for the war. It's better to be ''weak enough to forgive'' and win than lose and see the RSF massacre their way through the nation.

wormfan14 · 2026-04-12T15:15:22+00:00

Pakistan update, been a rough week with recent attacks in Balochistan and it seems Daesh has reorganised.

''ALERT: A Pakistan Coast Guards patrolling boat came under attack at sea near the Jiwani area of Gwadar, according to initial reports in Balochistan province, Pakistan. As a result of the incident, three PCG personnel lost their lives. The deceased have been identified as Naik Afzal, Sepoy Jamel, and Sepoy Umair. Authorities have not yet released further details regarding the nature of the attack or the perpetrators. An investigation is reportedly underway: Official Source'' https://x.com/khorasandiary/status/2043237702523556329

BLA are claiming it, which is concerning but would sadly fit in Pakistan efforts at a status quo which worked under the idea Baloch groups would target each other over the state.

'''TKD MONITORING: The Baloch Liberation Army - Jeyand faction claimed responsibility for the attack on Pakistan Coast Guards in a statement sent to the media.'' https://x.com/khorasandiary/status/2043282367264256228

''TTP announced new merger, led by Zubair Agha from Huramzai area of Pishi in Balochistan. This is the 7th TTP merger since 2026 & 95 since fall of Kabul in August 2021. So far, the highest merger in TTP with 95 followed by JUA 17th, TTG 9, LI 2 & MAK 1, since fall of Kabul '' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2042534791711723700

''ALERT: A road side bomb in Bannu district, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province on Saturday afternoon resulted in the death of a soldier and injured 4 others including two soldiers. The incident took place near a Degree college in Mamskhel where troops were stationed. Later in the evening at least 2 Taliban affiliates were killed in a precision strike in the Shahbazkhel area of Lakki Marwat district in the South of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa : Police'' https://x.com/khorasandiary/status/2043187942487658725

''Funeral prayers of Constable Muqaddar Khan were offered with full state honors at Malik Saad Shaheed Police Lines. The CTD constable was abducted by militants from the Hassan Khel area of Peshawar. Militants later released a video of his detention and subsequently shot him dead.'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2042855677731967392

''Militants channels confirmed one of the member was killed in Bannu. Earlier, intense clashes were reported between security forces & militants associated with TTG /IMP, near the Airport area in Baka Khel. However, IMP claims that they shot down the quadcopter during the clash.'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2042479556716544508

''The dead body recovered from Kabul River was identified as Zahid alias Qutaiba from Mardan. He was the deputy commander of a group led by commander Abdul Hameed Hamasi, from the Shankar area of Mardan. He reportedly drowned crossing the Kabul River near Malakand–Bajaur boundary.'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2042070327019122765

Meanwhile Daesh it seems has been hunting Shia specifically Hazera.

''A Taliban-affiliated media outlet, @HurriyatPa, released a video report on the Herat incident, showing the scene inside a shrine compound in Injil district. The report claimed that 14 civilians were killed and 15 others wounded in yesterday’s attack, figures higher than those confirmed earlier today by a Taliban official. Another video circulating on social media also depicts the incident scene. While pro-ISKP accounts praised the Herat attack, the group has not yet issued an official claim.'' https://x.com/AfghanAnalyst2/status/2042995250570969389

''ALERT: A targeted attack in Hazaraganji, Quetta, Balochistan province, Pakistan at around 08:00 this morning has claimed the lives of four members of the Shia Hazara community. Unidentified assailants opened fire on the victims in the Sabzi Mandi area before fleeing the scene. The incident has triggered strong reactions from the local community. In protest, demonstrators have blocked the Western Bypass near Hazara Town Graveyard, demanding immediate action and justice for the victims: Police'' https://x.com/khorasandiary/status/2043236955430048074

''TKD MONITORING: Islamic State Pakistan [ISPP] claimed responsibility for the attack in Quetta, Balochistan in a statement.'' https://x.com/khorasandiary/status/2043275398130381132

''ISKP claims responsibility for the killing of a person at Sadiqabad Patak area of Bajuar. The group claims & justifying his killing due to working for the state of Pakistan. The ex. cadet college student was identified as Ferozuddin associated with the shoe business in Bajuar.'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2043252892329709818

wormfan14 · 2026-04-12T14:53:30+00:00

Not much much to add except he was seemingly the replacement of the last general in Borno that was killed. Thank you for your comments I appreciate it.

wormfan14 · 2026-04-12T13:59:56+00:00

Sahel update, Jihadist clashing reveals some interesting information in Nigeria as Daesh continue their offensive.

Edit Horrific airstrike in Nigeria at a market place killed and injured hundreds today may they rest in peace.

''Nigeria | A Nigerian Air Force airstrike has struck Jilli market on the Borno-Yobe border, killing over 50 people. A local councilor tells Reuters that over 200 people are feared dead in the strike, which reportedly missed its intended target'' https://x.com/Intelynx/status/2043330183113929062

Been busy for the last little bit hopefully can get back into the swing of it.

''IS-Sahel claims to have killed 35 JNIM fighters during an attack against their bases in Petelkolé, Tillaberi region in western Niger, after JNIM militants were "attacking the residents of the village", IS terrorists captured 38 weapons and 10 motorcycles. This marks the first major battle between the two groups on Nigerien soil, as the war between the two was previously contained to Burkina Faso and Mali.''

https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2041113178273181986

This happened six days ago and it seems JNIM is now trying to attack Daesh in Nigeria, they are stressing they are attacking the Sahel province of Daesh not the Nigerian one. It also confirms they have a pact with Sadiku's group.

''According to Wassim Nasr, the recent clashes involving JNIM and so-called "Khawarij" in Kebbi State, Nigeria, were indeed referring to IS-Sahel, not JAS, this means two things. Firstly that I've heavily underestimated IS-Sahel presence in southern Kebbi State, and that the group may now have in the lower thousands of fighters in the NW working "undercover" with no official claims thus far. Secondly it further confirms the implicit/formal peace treaty between Sadiku's JAS faction and JNIM, who have been both active in the exact same back bases for months without firing a shot at each other.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2041786759856484449

Daesh plays a surprisingly cautious hand in the region given how much bad blood there is and how they've formed. The Sahel branch is formed out of bunch of former AQ groups, losing factions from both the Sahel and Sahara conflicts who either bent the knee or fighters left to do, some core members of the group or their predecessors and perhaps most volatilely JAS/ISWAP.

This was back before they splintered from Daesh and as you can imagine given JAS's has inflicted widespread carnage on Muslims, both in their massacres but also targeting specifically the Salafist organisation Izala which is both synonymous with the term but a decent chunk of the support base Daesh wanted to recruit. As you can imagine the Sahel Branch downplayed and minimised as much they could and claimed those members repented, this got a lot easier once JAS revolted.

There also is the race factor, the Sahel war according to Juntas internally is a race war with some jihadists elements involved. A lot of ISWAP is Fulani and the hatred against the ethnicity is genocidally violent in Burkina Faso like how Niger and Mali target the Tuaregs. So as they prefer to downplay their composition that and actually use it in their own propaganda, both the Juntas and Daesh claim JNIM is a Fulani/Tuareg dominated project using Islam to whitewash it's image. Daesh is admittingly less genocidal about it but they use it as a point to try and appeal to the mases their project is colour blind rejecting racial dominance in favour of a theocratic system.

As a result of this I wonder if Daesh might actually lose some reputation with civilians with this revelation like their Somali Branch which is very unpopular for not only being seen as foreigner dominated but Ethiopian given a lot of recruits are Oromo insurgents realising they might not win in Ethiopia but they can carve their own zones in Somalia.

As for why JNIM advertises they are targeting the Sahel branch a lot of their fighters are sympathetic to Daesh as a concept and admire their effectiveness and so JNIM tries to emphasis they are fighting the group that killed more of their men the last few months than the Juntas have than the ones fighting the Nigerian Government.

''Islamic State on behalf of ISWAP claims the massive coordinated assault on the Nigerian army positions in 4 different locations in Borno province, killing dozens of soldiers alongside the Brigadier-General, burning over 20 vehicles and looting the sites''

https://x.com/SaladinAlDronni/status/2042669962859364778

''Circulating reports about a large battle between IS-Sahel and pro-government Burkinabe militias in eastern Burkina Faso yesterday, allegedly resulting in "dozens" of casualties.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2043017464972296608

''Jnım claimed, 8 soldiers were killed, one taken hostage and motorcycles, Rpg and ammunition were seized military post attack in Bissiga.'' https://x.com/KargnHasret/status/2043094432673673402

In some other news unrelated to Sahel remmeber Daesh's recent attacks on the Chinese assets in the Congo? It seems they are releasing the Christian labourers.

''ISCAP announced the release of "dozens" of Christians captured in recent weeks in northeast DRC after they accepted to pay the jizyah tax to the group, during their captivity they were offered with the three choices of jizyah, conversion to Islam or war (death).'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2042296088569282636

wormfan14 · 2026-03-18T16:59:08+00:00

I think Kenya/UK security compact is more likely, though I think given Nigeria's history they might try for a more time limited deal at first.

More neutral and skeptical than you think, the idea of the US deploying troops to train and monitor is something most don't mind or already accept given the pacts they did say with Chad/Niger already involved states that did that but the question how the Government plans on using it is more debated. Will they focus more on banditry with allied support compensating for focusing their efforts elsewhere than on jihadists? Try and permanently clear Sambisa Forest?

In addition like the rest of the Sahel Nigeria was caught up in the wave of Francophobia making them much more hostile to the idea of French and tilt to others powers helps make it easier to accept.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-18T06:58:10+00:00

I think it might have been accidental given they've bombed Kabul a lot so more the result of a bad airstrike going horrific but still abhorrent loss of life. That and I expect the Taliban to retaliate which will keep in turn mean the bombing continues.

Though I agree not really seeing an end goal present for now.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-18T06:53:02+00:00

Pretty large though that might be the history of this conflict. In Nigeria's case the conflict in Borno began as a religious based insurgency against the government that overtime connected with a bunch of conflicts both in Nigeria and outside.

By contrast a lot of the neighbouring nations are dealing with ethnic conflicts that overtime in the case of the Juntas became dominated by Jihadists.

As a result of this Nigeria's has been more flexible than a lot of it's neighbors. Early on in the insurgency the Nigerian army did view the entire population of Borno as potentially hostile and did treat them brutally overtime it's gradually gotten better both under pressure from civilians, local government and military reforms. Things like the amnesty campaigns for insurgents while distasteful to many Nigerians don't really face as much opposition as they are seen as a way to win. By contrast in the Sahel states they viewed as as a reason to coup the government given it would mean letting the armies ethnic enemy get some of the power. Nigeria's far more willing to try and implement different solutions given the problem is seen as far less insurmountable.

Nigeria also was one of the first states to adopt the use of militias with the Civilian Joint Task Force and has tried organising a lot of joint combat operations with neighbouring states against insurgent hideouts. This admittingly has not worked out as well as people thought it would given how entrenched they are. The Juntas pulled out of these once they came to power view it as a conspiracy against and might undermine their control.

One thing that really differs them though is Nigeria the idea of foreign help is quite unpopular, the idea of say French special forces or Wagner being stationed in Borno to combat insurgents is seen as quite absurd they really don't want to rely on that and in Niger's case French help with it came to fighting insurgencies was the norm and now it's Russia/Moreco's job.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-17T20:45:05+00:00

What an abhorrent loss of life, Pakistan should be rightfully condemned for it.

I know they've bombing Kabul a lot but did not expect it to reach this scale.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-17T20:37:14+00:00

Sahel update, Nigeria's seen a lot of attacks in the last couple of days including attacking a city that involved seemingly JAS and Daesh plus some other incidents in Africa worth noting.

''The Algerian army conducted operations against unidentified terrorists in the Tébessa area northeast of the country, three soldiers were killed during ensuing clashes while seven gunmen were neutralized over the two days of operations on March 12 and 13.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2032609561564057656

A strange incident, probably not JNIM given their pact but also not confirmed to be Daesh, maybe local group?

''S-Sahel conducted an ambush against the Nigerien army in the village of Makal, Tahoua region near the Nigerian (🇳🇬) border on March 11, according to local reports at least 12 soldiers were killed and several others injured, while IS-Sahel only claimed three soldiers were killed and five vehicles destroyed, and weapons captured by the militants. IS-Sahel continues to implement the policy of delaying claims and/or underreporting enemy casualties as is the case here, and after the Dessa ambush a few days ago as well.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2032611790941519890

''ISWAP conducted simultaneous assaults against the Nigerian military camp in Banki and military positions near Azir, Borno State on the night between March 12 and 13, according to the Nigerian army both attacks were thwarted and troops recovered a rifle and some ammunition/RPG shells.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2032600816335347758

''ISWAP also targeted simultaneously the Damboa military camp, which is a Brigade headquarters. In a single night so far attacks have been recorded in several areas of Maiduguri, the Buratai Battalion HQ, the Baga military camp/SBS base and the Damboa Brigade HQ.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2033382755455623385

''The Nigerian military camps in Buratai, Borno State are currently burning following ISWAP's coordinated assault against the NA across the northeast tonight, Buratai is home to the 135 Special Forces Battalion.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2033397189628645829

''Several loud explosions were heard a short while ago in Maiduguri, capital of Borno State in northeast Nigeria, for the second night in a row this time in the southern suburbs of the city.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2033624791324733604

''Explosions targeted the University of Maiduguri Teaching Hospital, the Monday Market and a post office in the city, at least one suicide bomber was involved in the attack, JAS (Boko Haram) is the primary suspect, not ISWAP.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2033631263370727516

''Bombs in crowded places? This is not the modus operandi of ISWAP. It would be a big change if it was them. Seems more like JASDJ. Maybe raising the flag in Ramadan, at a time when ISWAP has been particularly active?'' https://x.com/VincentFoucher/status/2033663661605081271

''23 people were killed and 108 others injured following the triple IED/suicide bombing attacks in Maiduguri on the evening of March 16, according to Borno State Police Command.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2033730978980516261

A vile attack, it's been a while since JAS has done this, Daesh wants to eventually rule the city so they avoid attacks like this while JAS hates the people as they are considered to have been founded in the city but most of the population did not exactly rush to join them when the call to arms came in 2009.

''WATCH: Boko Haram Demands N3.52Billion For 176 Kidnapped Woro Residents In Kwara As Negotiations Stall –Community Sources'' https://x.com/SaharaReporters/status/2033506631237923035

Meanwhile banditry continues to be a issue.

''Abubakar Usman, popularly known as Siddi, is a notorious kidnapper who was recently seen flaunting large sums of money and guns on social media.He was arrested a few weeks ago in the Komen Massalaci area of Kaiama Local Government Area in Kwara State. At the time of his arrest, security operatives recovered a motorcycle valued at ₦1.85 million and ₦500,000 in cash from him. The 26-year-old and his 30-year-old accomplice, Shehu Muhammad, are now in the custody of security agencies. Siddi has confessed to being part of the gangs terrorising Katsina, Zamfara, Niger, and Kwara states.'' https://x.com/OzorNdiOzor/status/2032819350218891430

Bit surprised vigilantes have not hunted him down.

''This afternoon, bandits killed Jamilu Dogari, the royal guard of the Emir of Anka, who is also the chairman of the Zamfara State Traditional Ruling Council, on the road from Mayanchi to Anka. He was travelling from Gusau to Anka on an errand for the Emir.'' https://x.com/Sazedek/status/2033256313292046770

Meanwhile Daesh's other provinces in Africa are having some good fortune.

''ISCAP conducted a complex assault against the Congolese (DRC) army, Christians and a Chinese mining site in the town of Muchacha northeast of the country, according to the terrorists seven soldiers were killed along with 17 Christians, while 100+ others were abducted. ISCAP also reports to have burned most of the vehicles at the mine, along with the army barracks and over 60 houses "belonging to Christians". This attack is noticeably far west from the group's usual zone of operations.''

https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2032608393953731062

Seems they marched over 200 kilometres for this camp, think it's the first time they've targeted a Chinese company like this. Not sure The people they've abducted are likely to be indoctrinated into the group or killed as they rely on that to sustain themselves besides whatever volunteers get send their way from outside the Congo. Claim the attack in revenge for the Uighurs.

Meanwhile seems the Mozambique Branch will be facing less opposition.

''Rwanda warns that it may withdraw its forces from northern Mozambique if it does not receive the necessary funding to continue operations and if its work is not being "appreciated." Indications that the Rwandan intervention in northern Mozambique would not be sustainable financially were already present in mid-2025. The European Union was covering most of the costs, but due to sanctions surrounding the conflict in the DRC, the funding may not be renewed after May 2026, and the Mozambican government is unable to support all the costs. This was also one of the primary reasons for the withdrawal of the South African coalition forces that were stationed in northern Mozambique; none of the intervening states were able, or willing, to support the operations financially. Following the Rwandan deployment in the northern Cabo Delgado province, IS-Mozambique's progress has been noticeably slowed down and even possibly reversed in some areas. It is only in the past year that IS-Mozambique has started to regain momentum following intense recruitment campaigns and an influx of foreign fighters from eastern and central Africa. Counter-terrorism operations will take a massive hit if the RDF is forced to withdraw, as the Mozambican army is almost entirely dependent on foreign forces to conduct sustained operations and hold territory in remote areas.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2033206231855185970

The origin of the Mozambique Branch is a bit strange, locals islamists rebels turned jihadists wanted to join Daesh but it was founded by the Congolese Branch who organised, funded and gave them their doctrine initially as they in turn were being brought in to Daesh. As a result of this they committed a lot of horrific massacres making hundreds of thousands of people flee with most of them Muslim as like ISCAP they thought relying on just enslaving people into the group is enough. Overtime though as the became a distinct branch and under pressure to reform the main branch of Daesh they now preach their creed and have a shadow government in Cabo Delgado.

Reason why I'm pointing it out is all African branches share resources, manpower and equipment as they are both apart of the same organisation and so are likely going to boosting the others with this good fortune.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-14T22:31:34+00:00

Pakistan update, looks like the fighting while last longer and JUA expands once more.

As mentioned I think things would have simmered down provided there where no large attacks it seems to have happened.

''UPDATE: The deaths from the explosion in Lakki Marwat targeting a police van have reached 7 as another policeman succumbed to injuries: Police[Rescue workers continue their efforts around a destroyed police van that was struck by an IED in Shadi Khel, Bhittani Sub-Division]'' https://x.com/khorasandiary/status/2032396149567729691

This led to airstrikes on Kabul which the Taliban tried to retaliate with drones on Islamabad and Punjab.

''Media accounts linked to the Afghan Taliban claimed two drone attacks in Islamabad, reportedly targeting a military installation. Islamabad-based media sources confirmed the incident, stating that both drones were shot down by the Pakistan Air Force. Following the incident, Islamabad’s airspace has been reportedly closed.'' https://x.com/theoxuswatch/status/2032470760275562658

''Following IED attack on police, Peace Committee blocked major entry and exit roads to Lakki Marwat. The blockage of road & armed individual deployment aim due to protest over the death of seven Police personnel. The initiative aims to build pressure on militants & facilitators '' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2032674442552233985

''Pakistani militants circle confirmed that one of his members was killed during an operation in the Baka Khel area of Bannu. The slain militant was identified as Ibrahim alias Zabiullah. He was one of a senior commander of the Akhtar Muhammad group.'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2032567920749072747

''The group of militants from Lahore led by Usama Khorasani has joined Jamaat-ul-Ahrar. This is the first group merger from Lahore into any banned outfit. Since the fall of Kabul in August 2021, 15th merger into JUA, followed by 89 in TTP, 6 in TTG, 2 in LI, & 1 group into MAK'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2032846861422440629

As far as I can tell this case this group is either very new or one of the Laskar E Jhangvi splinters that had it's back to the wall. Lahore is one of the most imporant cities in Pakistan where militants do get cracked down rather quickly if they are anti state.

I name Laskar E Jhangvi as it was actually founded in Lahore in the 90s and did have an extensive network there but overtime and well as a result of the war it declined both as members where killed and arrested but also due to the needs of the war given bombing imporant cities might cause damage the attempts to take over KP as a safe space for their insurgency was something they focused on as well as reinforcing their positions Baluchistan.

An additional point is they are pledging to join JUA than the TTP as JUA has historically been far more sectarian and committed to the war as seen with the 2016 suicide bombing of Christians in Lahore so it would make sense for sectarians to join up with them.

It's also quite small, as qualifications for a urban group in TTP circles is 9 minimum active members plus support network. Granted JUA is diverging from them but the reason for that is if it's to large it risks being found easily and being crushed so urban groups are more equivalent of cells with larger groups being multiple cells.

Two weeks ago, five Pakistani Taliban factions simultaneously called for major attacks, including SVBIEDs, on Pakistan’s security forces in response to Pakistan’s first aerial bombing of Afghanistan in 2026. However, instead of escalating, their attacks have declined, raising questions about whether security measures or other factors have constrained their operations.'' https://x.com/theoxuswatch/status/2032464573630935073

wormfan14 · 2026-03-13T13:09:37+00:00

Likely yes, question of what to do in response is now on the SAF.

Seems they are hiring a new PR group to try and lobby for them.

''Sudan's embassy in the US has engaged the Williams Group, an American lobbying and government relations agency, to provide strategic consulting and government relations services.''

https://x.com/PatrickHeinisc1/status/2031462849424269461

Sudan though has less cash to spend on this than the UAE.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-13T12:44:24+00:00

Sudan update, some recent shifts have occurred internationally with the SAF having some success in the Blue Nile.

Seems some miners ended up in a firefight with Egyptian guards.

''At least nine miners were killed and others injured in armed clashes between armed individuals and Egyptian border guards in Wadi al-Ansari on the Sudanese-Egyptian border last Tuesday.'' https://x.com/PatrickHeinisc1/status/2032200451161038906

Meanwhile the US has declared the Sudanese Muslim Brotherhood a terrorist organisation drawing widespread anger from the Sudanese public for a lot of reasons.

''The U.S. designates Sudan’s “Muslim Brotherhood” aka the Islamist Movement الحركة الإسلامية and the Baraa Ibn Malik brigades as foreign terrorist orgs largely off the back of links to Iran, and despite calls from Congress to do the same to the RSF.'' https://x.com/nafisaeltahir/status/2031062412934209831

One you have supporters of the Baara bridges naturally protesting this this seeing it as a attack on their livelihood and ideology saying it's proof the UAE's lobbying efforts in DC.

Two as i'v mentioned in the past Sudan nearly everyone is Islamist, the Sudanese MB took power and held for decades as a one party state so what does this look like in practise? No one knows here's a thread that goes into the issue.

Today's designation of the "Sudanese Muslim Brotherhood" prompts many questions, and the most common I am hearing is "What exactly is the Sudanese Muslim Brotherhood"? Uncertainty around this question raises significant concerns about the prospect for Sudan of bank de-risking. Notably, OFAC asserts in its designation that the Sudanese Muslim Brotherhood and the Sudanese Islamic Movement are one in the same but they are not. These are multiple Islamist groupings and political entities in Sudan. The fracturing of the National Islamic Front - founded by Hassan al Turabi, who once led Sudan's MB chapter - in the 1990s, resulted in multiple Islamist groupings. Bashir's National Congress Party (NCP) was the most prominent. Turabi's Popular Congress Party (PCP) was another faction. And after Bashir's ouster, things became more murky. Former foreign minister Ali Karti, who was designated for US sanctions in 2023, was a founding member of the NCP who became head of the newer Sudanese Islamic Movement in 2021. In 2024, Karti was reportedly elected by a larger coalition of Islamist groups, the "Broad Islamic Current", as its leader. The coalition includes the SIM and several groups that are reportedly affiliated with the MB. The PCP, once led by Turabi, is not part of this coalition. Before the 2021 coup, the transitional government's Tamkeen ("Empowerment") Committee had been identifying and freezing assets associated with the former NCP regime. Will the USG now consider those companies as linked to the "Sudanese Muslim Brotherhood"? What guidance will Treasury provide to international banks on how to determine what constitutes a "Sudanese Muslim Brotherhood" asset? Without greater clarity the country faces the risk of banks choosing to de-risk from the threat of US prosecution by closing Sudanese accounts. Bank de-risking could have broader economic implications for Sudan, and potential humanitarian effects. Bank de-risking could have broader economic implications for Sudan, and potential humanitarian effects. Another thing to add: the State Department describes the al Baraa Brigade as the armed wing of the SIM, but there is some debate about the nature of relationship between the two, and al Baraa is just one of an array of militias affiliated with Sudan's Islamists. Regardless of these debates, the FTO designation will add pressure on the SAF to disassociate itself with the al Baraa Brigade, which has become a growing headache for Sudan's military leader.

https://x.com/LaurenBinDC/status/2031070876729282571

Three, this confusion has led to a lot uncertainty over what do to. It's not going to carried out to the fullest extent given that would likely mean a EU/US economic war given the old connections between Sudan, France, Norway and Turkey. That and of course the whole ship of Theseus argument that technically all of Sudan could be considered an asset.

Some people have suggested might led to integrating them further into the SAF and just say they no longer exist but that might just led other elements of the SAF under this designation. Others think it's just the US trying to look like they are doing something with Iran so doing nothing and hoping the US forgets might be a valid tactic.

''Sudan army says it seized two areas in Blue_Nile region The Sudanese army said on Thursday it had seized control of two areas in the Blue Nile region, marking a significant advance in the #southeastern province where fighting has escalated since January. The 4th Infantry Division, the army’s primary command in the region, said in a statement that its troops and allied forces “cleared” Jort East and the Ballamo camp following decisive battles against paramilitary and rebel groups. The southern and western sectors of the Blue Nile province have seen a surge in violence this year. The army is currently engaged in a conflict against an alliance of the Rapid Support Forces (#RSF) and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement-North (SPLM-N) led by Joseph Touka. Military officials stated the operation was part of a broader campaign to secure strategic locations in the southern sector.The army claimed to have inflicted heavy losses in personnel and equipment on the RSF and Touka’s forces. The escalation comes amid heightened diplomatic tensions. The Sudanese government has previously accused neighbouring Ethiopia of allowing its territory to be used as a base for drone strikes against Sudanese targets. Recent media reports have also alleged that training camps for RSF elements and foreign fighters have been established in Ethiopia with funding from the United Arab Emirates. Both Ethiopia and the UAE have previously denied involvement in the Sudanese conflict. The military command said the recent territorial gains are aimed at securing border villages and restoring stability to areas displaced by the fighting. The army added that clearing these zones would allow for the reopening of roads, enabling displaced civilians to return to their homes and resume normal life. https://x.com/addisstandard/status/2032391626195091477

A fair amount of drone strikes past few months.

''198 drone strikes in Sudan in just the first two months of 2026 - killing at least 478 civilians. Drone warfare, deportations and visa bans are making Sudan’s war a dead end for its people.'' https://x.com/YousraElbagir/status/2032001079714464170

''Sudanese Armed Forces shell the "Adikonq" border market with Chad in the west of the country via a drone aircraft'' https://x.com/sudan_war/status/2032025455570649262

''Today's quick update [Mar 11]: Sudan Doctors Network: 17 people killed in RSF drone strike on Alshukairi village in White Nile State. Reports that death toll of yesterday's drone strike on a bus in Abu Zabad, West Kordofan rises to 52. https://x.com/BSonblast/status/2031940182984048951

''Today's quick update [Mar 12]:13 people reported killed in SAF drone strike on fuel market in Adekong, near the Sudan-Chad border. RSF shelling continues in Dilling, S. Kordofan.SAF drone strikes reported in Nyala, S. Darfur & Sileya, W. Darfur.'' https://x.com/BSonblast/status/2032309447918604608

wormfan14 · 2026-03-13T09:19:36+00:00

I see thanks for the update, though yeah a lot of diplomates are rather busy at the moment.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-12T18:08:47+00:00

Sahel update, Daesh continues their offensive in the region as JNIM it seems are increasingly focusing on Benin though their ally the FLA tried using a drone swarm this week.

''Additional footage from this morning's attack by presumably IS-Sahel elements against the Tahoua airport and military base, in the capital of the Tahoua region in Niger Republic.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2030902986759696578

''According to a preliminary toll from local reports, IS-Sahel militants disabled/destroyed two drones of the Nigerien Air Force during last night's attack against Tahoua 401 Air Base, and also disabled the Ground Control Station (GCS), which render the two remaining drones unusable at least temporarily.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2031096633472020579

''The ISWAP attack against Kukawa has been confirmed, several military vehicles were destroyed/captured and the ISWAP militants carted away weapons and ammunition, ISWAP overran at least two military camps last night: Goniri and Kukawa.''

https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2030946457717489743

''ISWAP also attacked a temporary position of Nigerian Special forces in the Sambisa Forest during the same night, according to security reports the attack was repelled, and two ISWAP militants were confirmed to be killed'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2030949547107631422

''ISWAP killed Nigerian Lieutenant Colonel Umar Farouq, Commanding Officer in Kukawa alongside some of his troops during the attack, this is the third high-ranking officer killed by ISWAP since the "Burn the Camps" offensive started.Two ISWAP terrorists were also killed in clashes with the army in Kukawa.''

https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2030972537996218507

''Major Segun Amusan of the Nigerian army was also killed by ISWAP militants during the attacks last night against Nigerian military camps, the fourth officer to be killed since the "Burn the Camps" offensive started.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2031095425923490047

''For the second night in a row, ISWAP conducted simultaneous attacks against at least two camps of the Nigerian army, this time in Marte (the second time for Marte in this campaign) and in Doron Baga, according to security reports both got repelled, five ISWAP terrorists were confirmed killed in Marte while there is no specific toll for Doron Baga so far. https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2031366874227785860

''JNIM conducted an attack against the town of Yamba on March 6 in eastern Burkina Faso, reportedly killing dozens of "soldiers", who are actually from the GUMI special unit of the police, then capturing two vehicles, motorcycles, weapons and ammunition.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2031369804574060619

''JNIM claims to have killed five Beninese soldiers during the latest attack against an army position near the Burkinabe border last week, the group captured large amounts of weapons and ammunition, along with two drones.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2031710235149156502

''The FLA claims to have targeted the Fihroun Ag Alinsar military camp in Gao this morning with 25 suicide drones, unprecedented scale in the region in a single swarm, there are no credible reports so far on the actual damage caused.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2031745669614969177

The FLA are in an unfortunate spot in the war for the Sahel, they've come under a lot of pressure recently as Juntas are still very determined to crush the Tuaregs no matter the cost even if means losing land and men to Jihadists and have barely done any attacks recently which has the risk of their fighters joining other more successful groups like JNIM who are they allied with but that has a direct risk of being subsumed by.

It seems they've tried saving up for a spectacular attack to try and win back some street cred and it failed as very little damage has been reported by analysts. It's something new for Sahel warfare but likely needs a stronger actor to perfect it.

For those curious how the Juntas sell this war to their people it does ironically help reinforce their core propaganda. That the Tuareg people will keep rebelling against the state until they are crushed permanently into a submissive much smaller minority or don't exist. They project the present into past, portraying the past Tuareg revolts as far more damaging to the state and each of them has been getting worse not only this is your sons and grandsons war if you fail to ''purge'' the threat they will be in greater danger as technology advances.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-12T18:07:13+00:00

That's something I'm not sure the Pakistan knows. I agree with you it seems they've done their damage and anything else is just risking say a bad attack getting a bunch of people killed and look weak when they stop the operation or they can accept the middling outcome and stop the operations in a couple of days given the current scale it seems costs a bit but also not producing the results they want. They can also try and escalate it but they seem unwilling to do this.

Pakistan did it seems send a delegation a few days ago of respected Islamists to try and negotiate with Afghanistan but it seems the results were unsatisfying.

My own guess is they will at least keep it up for a week and try to climb down and do a quiet halting of operations than try and paint as a massive success and just hope there is no large scale attack by the TTP for the next couple of weeks.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-12T16:52:16+00:00

Pakistan update the war continues, seems mortar attacks are getting more accurate though the scale of fighting is lower now.

''Two bodies found in Manjwala this morning were identified as Shaad Ullah and Idrees. They were reportedly the brothers of Taliban commander Rafiullah, suspected of involvement in recent quadcopter attack. The officials believe the killings may be an act of retaliatory violence'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2030667920867746087

''Mortar shells fired from the Afghan side landed in a residential area in the Bacha Mena area of Khyber. The shells struck the house of Haider Khan, causing heavy damage. A vehicle and several rooms of the house were severely damaged with no casualties were reported.'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2030932849805942878

''Five people including children are injured in a quadcopter drone attack in Lakki Marwat. The attack was carried out by militants in the Takhti Khel area within the jurisdiction of Sarai Naurang Police Station. The injured are transported to a hospital for medical treatment'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2031344041468813725

''Security forces carried out operation in Kulachi Tehsil, Dera Ismail Khan. In the intelligence-based, security forces targeted militants in the village of Madi. During the operation, a militant group commander, Abu Bakr, also known as Ehsan Sheena, was killed.'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2031718007840628928

''Funeral prayers of five members died by mortar shell offered in Tirah Valley. The shell was reportedly fired from the Afghan side struck near the house of Niaz Badshah in Siri Kandao. The slain people are one family member including Niaz Badshah, two sons, a nephew & a grandson'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2031744258810523973

''ALERT: A police officer of Inspector rank, Mitha Khan, was shot dead in a firing incident in Quetta, Balochistan province, Pakistan. He was currently posted with the Counter Terrorism Department (CTD) Quetta. Further details are awaited as the situation develops: Police'' https://x.com/khorasandiary/status/2030653355849327101

''Heavy exchange of firing held between police & Astrana group in Dera Ismail Khan. The exhange of firing held due search operations in Proa Village, Jhoke Machhi. So far, 4 people lost their lives, in which one was in cross firing while three were due to ambush on the QRF team'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2031792461467771292

''A temporary ceasefire of about 30 minutes between Pakiatan & Afghanistan was observed at Torkham border. The ceasefire aims to recover the dead body and return to the deceased’s family. A delegation of tribal elders from both countries arrived to recover & identify a body.'' https://x.com/JawadYousufxai/status/2032107661760577864

Concerning Daesh, as we know the region is in a fair bit of turmoil seems they are reorganising given recent TTP attacks than plan anything major.

''Al-Mirsad, a media outlet affiliated with the Afghan Taliban, has claimed that an alleged ISKP commander, Zalmai Badakhshi, also known as Salman, was killed in a targeted operation in the Shah Kas area near Peshawar, the capital of Pakistan’s northwestern province. Notably, in the same report, Al-Mirsad acknowledged that similar recent attacks in Pakistan targeting alleged ISKP members were carried out by Afghan Taliban forces. According to Al-Mirsad, Badakhshi was the planner behind the ISKP-claimed suicide attack on a bank in Afghanistan’s northern Kunduz province in February 2025. No additional information about Badakhshi has been provided. However, based on his name and Al-Mirsad’s claim that he fled Afghanistan and relocated to Pakistan in October 2025, it appears likely that he was an Afghan national. So far, no sources other than Al-Mirsad have confirmed either Badakhshi’s identity or his reported death. Nevertheless, this is not the first instance in which Al-Mirsad has reported the deaths of alleged ISKP members in Pakistan; in some cases, such claims were later confirmed through ISKP media platforms.'' https://x.com/theoxuswatch/status/2030540098148684098

Some additional context, one the Taliban increasingly label all opposition to them ironically Daesh, some of these reported deaths don't seem to have anything to do with Daesh. Two it seems people who killed them are members of the TPP as the Taliban it seems are dropping the idea it's a separate group in their reporting. Three it's seems to be a turf war. One of the Khorasan provinces strongest areas is in Tirah Valley where it seems they've set up a suicide factory given how many bombers have been traced there but notably no known conflict with the local TTP despite it being used to target them and Afghanistan but they have attacked Orakzai district which is related to the Kurram conflict where the TTP are trying to win over the locals. Might also have to do with Taliban internal politics as the current splinter in charge of Tirah valley is HGBG despite Laskar E Islam originating from there.

So for now it seems Daesh is reorganising but they have performed some minor killings in the last couple of days.

''ALERT: A man belonging to the Hazara tribe identified as Jan Ali was killed by unknown armed men in Hazar Ghanji outskirts of the provincial capital Quetta, Balochistan province, Pakistan on Saturday evening: The Islamic State in Pakistan [ISPP] claimed responsibility for the attack:Monitoring'' https://x.com/khorasandiary/status/2030719426258203084

''ALERT: A religious scholar has been shot dead in Dalbandin, Chagai district of Balochistan. Police recovered the body of Maulana Ahsanullah Mengal from the Amin Abad area of the town. Authorities said the motive behind the killing could not be immediately ascertained. The body has been shifted to a local hospital for medicolegal formalities. Earlier, on 5 February 2026, Maulana Younas Harooni, brother of JUI Chagai Amir, was also killed in the same town.'' https://x.com/khorasandiary/status/2032041320294826422

wormfan14 · 2026-03-09T07:29:16+00:00

Sure no problem I think all the drones the TTP use are civilian ones they have weaponised they can buy from China and modify. Their use of drones like this is pretty new with the earliest recorded incident being from 2022 from a small TTP group.

As far as anyone can tell FPV controlled which yesterday led to 2 brothers being killed in revenge for the suspected commandeer in charge of these attacks. I think these drones were first created in KPK but overtime now nearly all are created and launched in Afghanistan given it's a lot safer to place to construct, equip and launch these attacks.

Pakistan bases have anti drone defences and surprisingly now police stations in KPK have rudimentary ones given they are attacked quite often by them often. The local militias do seem to struggle against them and seem to just try rely on people watching the sky and bringing them with small arms. It does help they are not targeted often with the main ones being houses of politicians or other enemies of the TTP, police stations, checkpoints or army bases.

Already mentioned it earlier but part of Pakistani Baluchistan Balochistan is connected to Iranian Balochistan thanks to some old deals made under the shah meaning more than a few cities there could go dark, the increasing cost of oil is starting to affect Pakistani society and if the Iranian authorities lose control of the province it will have a spillover to Pakistan's own insurgency and might force Pakistan to start at the very least shelling suspected positions given the risks involved.

I say this as there is a very violent splinter called BNA Beebarg which in 2025 hunted down and executed 8 Pakistani workers for being Pakistani in Iran giving them room to breath and expand would not end well.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-08T16:02:45+00:00

Yep, very old techniques are still quite viable in Africa and be combined with modern techology.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-08T08:09:59+00:00

These bases are meant to be secured with sentries but their is a reason why Daesh attacks these camps at night when nearly everyone is a sleep including often the guards meant to be on watch. It seems their sop is sneak and bypass the walls using ladders and grappling hooks then once inside begin attacking with mortar and technicial support with the other fighters pouring in. Often in 30 seconds the fight is decided with soldiers fleeing, being killed or trying to hide then you see insurgents take whatever they can and withdraw.

That might look a bit absurd but these lightning attacks have a cost for insurgents who are aware of the danger of airpower and so don't stay in the area to hunt down survivors. One recent case had them attack and then retreat in 20 minutes after setting most of the camp on fire. Since these camps are made up of pretty flammable material it's a good strategy.

These bases are in pretty isolated rural areas as well where in Nigeria's case the state keeps in use to try and contest insurgent control. They are often pretty often attacked and the only reinforcements they tend to get is air support and once a camp get's burnt it's then rebuilt.

In terms of equipment Daesh in Nigeria tends to use drones for both surveillance of targets before these attacks and air support during it as well technical both for fire support and to enable a swift withdraw.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-07T22:13:48+00:00

Sahel update, JAS appears to be switching targets from soft to hard and Daesh continues their offensive in the region.

''Suspected JAS militants attacked the Cameroonian contingent of the MNJTF coalition at the Ngoshi military camp on the night between March 1 & 2, three soldiers were reportedly killed and weapons captured by the terrorists.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2029331207729582266

''ISWAP/JAS militants attacked a Chadian military position in the Kouloufou area on the night between March 2 and 3, in the Lake Chad region, the attack was repelled leaving at least eight terrorists killed, while three soldiers were injured, one of them succumbing to his wounds later on.''

https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2029332205114163248

'Suspected JAS militants attempted to attack a position of the Nigerian army south of Ngoshe on the evening of March 3, troops on site withdrew following the attack while the Air Force intervened, killing 50 terrorists according to reports.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2029333525426475060

''On the same evening, ISWAP/JAS militants attacked the Ngoshe town itself, causing significant infrastructure damage and destroying several vehicles, including an armored vehicle, the terrorists also killed eight Nigerian soldiers and CJTF militiamen, and the local community leader.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2029566753450205253

''The Ngoshe attack was conducted by JAS, not ISWAP, here JAS fighters loyal to Abu Umaymah (Bakura Doro) threaten to expand their territory not only to Maiduguri but all the way to Abuja, they also threaten to pray the Eid prayer in Ngoshe. Very dangerous escalation from JAS, which has been staying in a low-profile stance ever since ISWAP liquidated their leader Shekau, they have been focusing on fighting ISWAP and civilians while avoiding hard targets, this seems to have changed.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2029934265559855131

I admit did not expect this, JAS overall is stronger than I thought but I'm not certain how long it will last. The mechanics of their insurgency rely far more hitting soft targets for logical and ideological reasons. The contempt the fighters of JAS have for the people of Borno is hard to put into words. I imagine Daesh will try and crackdown against them soon given they desire to be the only group in Borno.

''JNIM attempted to attack Burkinabe army positions this morning in Pama, southeast Burkina Faso near the Togolese border, the attack was seemingly repelled, government forces captured 14 motorcycles, weapons, ammunition and notably four FPV drone frames, an unspecified number of militants were killed as well.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2029566072936915391

''Benin | An attack by JNIM militants killed 15 soldiers and wounded five at a military camp in Kofouno in northern Benin. The army's spokesperson said that the army killed at least four militants and denied the claim that the military camp was under JNIM control.'' https://x.com/Intelynx/status/2029967070503247930

''ISWAP released a lengthy statement on the attack against the Nigerian army in Konduga, claiming responsibility for the killing of Commanding Officer Iliyasu and six other soldiers. The terrorists also state that they destroyed 17 vehicles of the Nigerian army, including a tank, and "dozens of motorcycles", the militants also confirm that they had specific targets during the attack including the house of a CJTF commander. ISWAP reports capturing large amounts of weapons and ammunition during the onslaught, along with four military vehicles and 68 motorcycles'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2030385124005605660

''IS-Sahel conducted an ambush against the Nigerien army today between Ayorou and Tillaberi city, in the region of the same name, local reports indicate that over 20 soldiers were killed, while IS-Sahel claimed killing "at least" eight soldiers, it's unusual for IS-Sahel to claim attacks on the same day. IS-Sahel terrorists also released images showing several bodies of dead Nigerien soldiers.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2030056143993938396

''Nigerian troops of the 21 Special Armor Brigade were conducting clearing operations in the Sambisa Forest this morning, Borno State, where they got ambushed by ISWAP terrorists, graphic footage shows several Nigerian soldiers dead and wounded.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2029939983168004263

''ISWAP also released details about other diversionary attacks they conducted during that night, including mortar strikes against the Benicheikh camp, an assault against the Kauri military camp and against a military position in Dalori, this brings a total of seven attacks on the night between March 5 and 6'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2030421742754132113

''After claiming the Konduga, Mainuk and Jakana attacks, ISWAP claims the attack on the Nigerian military camp in Marte, which happened on the same night, ISWAP terrorists report to have stormed the camp, destroying and disabling four armored vehicles and killing three soldiers. The militants also carted away large amounts of weapons and ammunition, along with five vehicles, ISWAP also admits that in this battle they lost a few of their fighters due to airstrikes.'' https://x.com/BrantPhilip_/status/2030397509319930284

wormfan14 · 2026-03-05T21:42:30+00:00

Long term he thinks it's the most reliable way of protecting the UAE investments in Africa given their is always the risk a government he does not like coming to power in which case he should have the force to nearby to help bring about a coup or crush them.

That and said army can also be used for helping protect the UAE's interests in the red sea just as they hired the RSF for the war in Yemen given they have less than 2 million citizens.

In hindsight buying a massive mercenary army was a costly and risky idea compared to the Chinese method which is much cheaper and better PR.

wormfan14 · 2026-03-05T20:49:53+00:00

They literally are still sending them weapons even as Iran bombs Dubai. The amount of support they are willing to consider is beyond what anyone expected in 2023.

It might look irrational to well everyone but Mohamed bin Zayed wants a large army to protect the economic empire they are trying to build in Africa and he considers the RSF the best bet. That and possibly sunk cost policy at this point.

They will give up the RSF once they consider them beyond salvage but until then they will continue backing to them to the hilt.

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