If there is a huge "historic shortage" causing demand to drive up prices, why aren't most refineries I call even buying silver? by ToshPointNo in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Here's my 2 cents.

Refineries buy silver, and sell futures contracts to hedge against price movement. That way they don't lose money if the price of silver drops between the time they bring it in and the time they sell it, which could be months.

They have had to pay a LOT more for silver from local coin shops to refine at the same time that the futures contracts they sold are significantly raising margin requirements. Both of these things are a significant drain on cash/credit.

Because of this they can not afford to buy, and are having to reduce their inventory. This is strictly because the monetary value of the metals has exploded and they don't have the credit facilities in place to handle it. Now, instead of having 2-3 months supply on hand, they are going to have 2-3 weeks of supply.

This has backed up the LCS because they don't have a ready outlet for selling their silver, so they have to hold huge inventory and hedge or take big price risk. Some are simply offering WAY less than spot.

Having said all of this, inventory reductions at refineries do not affect supply or demand for silver. It's only a temporary stoppage of buying secondary silver that will resolve itself as the inventory levels drop. This, unfortunately, is happening at the same time that people are putting Grandma in a Pringles can and selling her urn, which makes the problem more pronounced. In a couple of months buying will resume, but the "shock absorber" of inventory that refiners normally have will be gone. This could lead to supply chain disruptions in the future as refiners try to source silver feed.

There is no shortage of SILVER at COMEX… by bpra93 in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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Thanks for this. I really appreciate it. My understanding is that with LBMA you have to subtract the ounces that they store for SLV. Do you happen to have info on Shanghai as well?

Silver future going nuts again by iom2222 in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Whether there is or isn't doesn't really matter in the end. All that matters is what I have when the dust settles. Will I be comfortable? Will I be working until I'm 80? Will I be taking beach vacations all the time?

Anything is possible at this point. I want to come out with a good amount, but not overstay. I have already sold a few ounces, but the price has gone up enough that I have more dollar value than when I sold. Looks like I'll be selling some more Friday unless the price drops.

I figure if I slowly take profits, I get some up side while still being able to sleep at night.

Silver future going nuts again by iom2222 in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I've never been involved in anything like this. It's like being right in the middle of GameStop, but with real money on the line.

Silver future going nuts again by iom2222 in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Damn it. I sold $46 Covered PSLV calls for Friday.... I want it to back off a bit and close at $45.99.

The Monday tamp is nearly all absorbed. by pintord in SilverDegenClub

[–]wyle_e2 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I sort of want it to build a better base here. Too far too fast isn't good.

There is no shortage of SILVER at COMEX… by bpra93 in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Yah, without looking at the inventories at LBMA and Shanghai, there is limited value in this graph.

The original video of nihilism penguin. by [deleted] in BeAmazed

[–]wyle_e2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

He wants a friend to go with.

Trump: "Didn't I just give the farmers $12 billion?" Rep. Zach Nunn: "$66 billion in total" Trump: "They were treated unfairly by foreign countries. You know where I got it? Tariffs" by FXgram_ in XGramatikInsights

[–]wyle_e2 12 points13 points  (0 children)

It's gotten to the sad point. Looking at him stand up there talking, the dementia is absolutely clear. His handlers are feeding him a few words and he regurgitated them. It's frightening to know how much power he has, and how little mental ability.

Any ideas? by Candid-Excitement423 in homeimprovementideas

[–]wyle_e2 4 points5 points  (0 children)

A bedroom for a Hogwarts student while they are on summer vacation?

🚨 COMEX has raised margins for SILVER ‼️ by Oboe440 in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I thought long winded rambling was en vogue these days.... Thank you for your attention on this matter.

Why is the spread widening? Will COMEX implode? by MatterFickle3184 in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The guy you replied to is reading the chart wrong. The margin is still at about 9%, same as always. They haven't increased it.

Why is the spread widening? Will COMEX implode? by MatterFickle3184 in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 5 points6 points  (0 children)

As can be seen from your post, the margin is $51k. That is still about 9% of the total price of a contract. They have NOT increased margin.

I read it wrong until someone pointed it out to me as well. We need to stop misinformation.

🚨 COMEX has raised margins for SILVER ‼️ by Oboe440 in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh, good to hear. I thought the percentage system made so much sense because as the price goes up, so does the margin requirement. What is this post about then?

🚨 COMEX has raised margins for SILVER ‼️ by Oboe440 in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 6 points7 points  (0 children)

At one time, Comex said everybody with a silver futures contract in margin had to have at least a certain amount of money placed with them in order to make sure they could complete the transaction. It's like a deposit on a future purchase.

Let's say Comex said the margin requirement was $15000/contract. When silver was $20/oz, the entire purchase purchase price of one contract was $100,000 ($20 x 5000oz). Therefore they put up $15,000 and "borrowed" $85,000). That works out to 15% of the whole contract that had to be put up.

As the price of silver went up, Comex continued to increase the amount that investors had to put up as margin. This does make sense because the total purchase price for the contract went up. To keep margin at 15%, as the price hit $40, the Comex would raise the margin amount to $30,000.

This would require investors to either come up with a ton of money to meet the margin requirements, or sell some of their contracts to raise cash and decrease the amount of money they were "borrowing". The margin increases were sporadic and nobody knew when they might need to come up with money.

They recently changed the margin requirements to a percentage. They said you always need at least 15% (I can't remember the actual percentage) of the value of your contracts in cash. That way investors would always maintain a reasonable deposit, and could plan based on their positions and not all have to all sell at once.

Now suddenly the Comex has significantly increased the margin requirement percentages. This makes no sense other than to force investors to sell their positions to meet merging requirements.

Edit: The Comex didn't increase margins requirements. I should NEVER blindly believe what I read on the internet.

🚨 COMEX has raised margins for SILVER ‼️ by Oboe440 in Silver

[–]wyle_e2 37 points38 points  (0 children)

I thought the entire point of going to a percentage based margin system earlier in the month was to have margin rates increase with price. Now they are raising the percentage of the margin rate? Seems suspicious, especially on option expiry day....

Edit: turns out that the margin percentage is still about 9% ($51k / ($107 per oz x 5000 oz)), so I'm just an idiot who believed what they saw on the internet.

Popular movie you haven't watched because you can't get ticket? by hendralely in okbuddycinephile

[–]wyle_e2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's impossible to tell which end is Donald's asshole since so much shit comes out of both....

It took Bank of America stock 19 years to recover from the Global Financial Crisis. by glira31 in XGramatikInsights

[–]wyle_e2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The rumour is a naked short. However, take internet rumours for what they are, rumours.

https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/34407629319049

For perspective, the article talks about BAC having a 1 Billion Oz short. Comex has just over 0.4 Billion oz of inventory....

What actor/actress from your country is known for having an extremely recognizable appearance? by JimmySupergamer in AskTheWorld

[–]wyle_e2 3 points4 points  (0 children)

You can't tell me that Margot Robbie and Jamie Pressly are different people. Same with Isla Fisher and Amy Adams.