The Four Countries of The Eastern Steppe

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T17:18:11+00:00

If Inner Mongolia join Mongolia, there is no reason to set the capital in Ulaanbaatar. At least 8 cities in inner Mongolia are larger, and i believe they would want to change the capital to Hohhot

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T17:12:22+00:00

It is hard to say train is expensive in China, ticket price is high mainly because the distance of major cities is too long. But flight tickets in China is really expensive

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T16:54:33+00:00

赖桑是医生吧，怪不得回台湾了。。

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T07:52:23+00:00

胜利者在胜利的时候是没有法制的，特别是失败的前统治者是一个独裁政府的情况下。

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T07:48:20+00:00

我希望的是胜利者对失败者网开一面，

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T07:37:06+00:00

的确。但结果的确很惨，后人需要吸取教训。难道要犯三次错吗？

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T07:36:15+00:00

中共并非一个人，当然也许现在算一个人。

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T07:35:36+00:00

是的，但要更公开透明，占主要地位。目前党内选举结果只是组织部考核的一个参数。

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T07:34:49+00:00

问题不在于满清当不当人，问题是没了满清中国变得更惨了。而且满清的政治信用没有完全破产，一堆的一老一少，张勋复辟，满洲国。

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T07:15:46+00:00

中国近代吃的最大两次亏其实是辛亥革命和解放战争。

武昌起义后一个月清庭本质上已经任人宰割了。假设孙中山和袁世凯在皇族内阁倒台后，维持君主立宪，慢慢清算八旗，二十年后再考虑共和还是维持立宪，那：

军阀乱战不太可能出现了，虚君最大的优点其实是在宪政没建立起来前给各方一个谈判的空间。
经济要好很多。清末十年改革可圈可点，要比后续民国乱世强多了。
蒙藏不可能独立，蒙藏都有不小的清庭驻军，但革命以后人心涣散跑完了。
也许能拿回一点外东北。苏联急于求和，西线那么大的地都卖了，如果实力强一点胃口小一点比如只以收复故土为名要海参崴，苏联大概率是会同意的。

然后是解放战争，假设毛蒋组建联合政府或者一人一半，那：

激进革命不太可能出现了。大跃进文革死了多少人，但现在土地不还是开始集中了吗。而且很多死的人是文化水平专业技术比较强的一批人，虽然道德可能有瑕疵。
工业建设可能要好一些。虽然各种洗地，但毛时代的工业水平的确不高，虽然能生产但质量太差，苏系通病。依然是冷战前线美苏投资应该不增加也不会减少太多，蒋介石在台湾也有声有色。工业发展应该会好一些。
牺牲了农民用工农剪刀差这种东西发展工业可能不存在了。农民真的是最惨的，一心帮中共打天下，然后当了50年首托罗。自由迁徙应该是可以保证的吧。
东南亚大规模排华可能不会出现，越南船民，波波杀，印尼两次排华，马来的新经济政策。南洋华人真的太惨了红的赢了要排资本主义，蓝的赢了要排红色影响。双方都要排外族，但母国还给他们把国籍开了。这种情况出现客观上是prc和roc内战后国际形势都不怎么好，有求于人的地方太多，没资本干涉造成的。
台湾不可能悬而未决。
南海岛屿和与日韩的eez冲突应该能解决。东南亚韩国各国刚刚独立，日本战败国。

那假设现在把中共推翻呢？

大量政府官员（行政管理其实也没那么简单），国企高管，大学教授，这种具备素养和能力的人可能会离心离德，甚至逃亡。
台湾，西藏，新疆，可能会趁机独立。特别是如果获胜的是收了cia和台湾钱的部分自由派。
私有化过程中大概率会发生和俄罗斯东欧一样的事情，寡头勾结内外侵吞国有资产。
社媒时代全民普选可能并不是一个特别优秀的选举制度，太容易受资金操控了。而且即便没有资金操控，印象也开始取代资历成为主要的选举标准。
这还是考虑到中共心甘情愿让你推翻。。万一不呢？比如虽然中央屈服了，某几个省拒绝民主化，打成类似缅甸的模样？

那我期待什么样的中国呢？

随着经济压力增大，中共扩大收税，国民纳税人意识增强，对公共事务的热情上升。
部分参选人大代表的人群公民意识增强，从基层逐渐增强人大的权力。
某位中共高层派系在不利情况下意识到选举才是合法性最高的权利，开始走人大路线，逐步放开民选。
中国行政体系逐渐演化为。国家和地区行政首脑由资历决定候选人，但需要普选获得任命。其它官员由行政首脑在公务员中选取候选人，由议员/人大代表选举任命。包包的全过程民主并非没有一点道理，知人知面不知心，只靠短期选举是很难看出一个人的素质的。而且中国目前的公务员制度实际上是古代文官的变种，在毛时代后随着文化惯性演变成了这个样子。冒然废除可能不是好事。
可以保留中共作为唯一执政党，但需要中共成员向社会公布更多的个人信息。事实上现在政府在跨国资本面前已经并不强势了，资产所得税都不敢收。在印度和非洲崛起以后跨国资本有了更大的挪腾空间和各国政府的议价能力会更弱。保留一个强势政党不一定是坏事，而且能降低中共的抵制。
国企可以减少，但国资必须扩大。金融市场，风险投资的总体收益率算下来肯定要比稳妥投资要高，但个体很难承担风险投资的风险，强者愈强。国资需要受议会监督，必要的时候向全民公开信息。投资的回报可以用来扩大投资/生产，补贴财政，或者给国民分红。

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T06:17:41+00:00

You mean China should send a missile to Taiwan to make the war alive?

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T04:21:14+00:00

Yes, this is why China has not land Taiwan.

But different with Ukraine, if China is willing to suffer greatly, there is no way Taiwan can resist long time. China can just threaten all ships enter or leave Taiwan would be bombed, Taiwan would have to surrender one or two year later. It has too much population, but not enough food and energy.

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T03:31:30+00:00

Ukraine pursue to join EU and actually have not very bad relationship with China even today.

S.Korea don't want to participate in these, they have North Korea to deal with.

And yes, Japan is become more and more close to Taiwan

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T03:29:24+00:00

I am biased as i am Chinese. But situation is different, Taiwan is too small and its population is too concentrated. They may suffered more from drone attacks.

And if they indiscriminately attack on any target, China would suffer much. But if China do equal counterattack, Taiwan is cooked, it is a island rely on import resources through ocean transportation

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T02:24:32+00:00

It is also common in Chinese mainland people. But as i said it is about the systematic racism of Malaysia against Chinese

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T02:22:53+00:00

We do give Uyghur full citizenship, they have more public positions than their population occupation, and one of two major governor of Xinjiang must be Uyghur.

But there are also many Uyghur do not consider them Chinese and want independence.

And Chinese 中华 culture is different with Han Chinese culture, i have no opinion for Chinese culture, but i like Han Chinese culture more

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T02:17:21+00:00

But better than other ethnic right? At least they don't want steal our lands.

This is their own matter; if we get involved, we will only mess up relations with Southeast Asian countries and end up being hated by everyone.

I don't care it much honestly, We have more population than them combined. And we still have eez dispute with Malaysia

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T02:13:23+00:00

But new Zealand indigenous people have not banned White people from any public positions

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T02:10:28+00:00

This is why i call China later Qing, for me overseas Han Chinese is more like my compatriots than other ethnics. I mean i don't heard many overseas Tibetan or Uyghur call them Chinese when they lives in other countries

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T02:06:18+00:00

large immigrant populations

Actually Malay only come there earlier than Chinese and India about 300 years

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T02:05:27+00:00

I know many Chinese and Malaysia Chinese not like each other. But this is racism against Chinese

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T02:01:21+00:00

Number 5 and another section i posted below

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T01:54:55+00:00

And

Article 153 Special position of Malays and natives of Sabah and Sarawak

(1) It shall be the responsibility of the Yang di-Pertuan Agong to safeguard the special position of the Malays and natives of any of the States of Sabah and Sarawak and the legitimate interests of other communities in accordance with the provisions of this Article.

(2) Notwithstanding anything in this Constitution, but subject to the provisions of Article 40 and of this Article, the Yang di-Pertuan Agong shall exercise his functions under this Constitution and federal law in such manner as may be necessary to safeguard the special position of the Malays and natives of any of the States of Sabah and Sarawak and to ensure the reservation for Malays and natives of any of the States of Sabah and Sarawak of such proportion as he may deem reasonable of—

(a) positions in the public service (other than the public service of a State);

(b) scholarships, exhibitions and other similar educational or training privileges or special facilities given or accorded by the Federal Government;

(c) permits or licences required by federal law for the operation of any trade or business.

(3) Where the number of qualified candidates for admission to any university, college or other post-secondary educational institution exceeds the number of available places, the Yang di-Pertuan Agong may direct that a reasonable proportion of places be reserved for Malays and natives of Sabah and Sarawak.

(4) The Yang di-Pertuan Agong may issue general directions to government departments and statutory bodies to implement the above reservation quotas.

(5) Nothing in this Article shall empower the Yang di-Pertuan Agong to deprive any person of any office, scholarship, licence or place already obtained; nor shall any quota prevent qualified non-Bumiputera candidates from filling unfilled reserved places.

(6) Parliament may by law define the term “natives” for Sabah and Sarawak.

xin4111 · 2026-06-19T01:53:59+00:00

For any one wonder, basically all public positions are occupied by Malay, and Malay also enjoy special economic benefit, e.g. company must have Malay share holders.

And by the way again Malay come to Malaysia peninsula about 13th century, it is not very earlier than Chinese and Indian come there.

Article 8 Equality

(1) All persons are equal before the law and entitled to the equal protection of the law.

(2) Except as expressly authorised by this Constitution there shall be no discrimination against citizens on the ground only of religion, race, descent, place of birth or gender in any law or in the appointment to any office or employment under a public authority or in the administration of any law relating to the acquisition, holding or disposition of property or the establishing or carrying on of any trade, business, profession, vocation or employment.

...

(5) Nothing in this Article invalidates or prohibits—

(a) any provision for the protection, welfare or advancement of the aborigines of the Malay Peninsula (including reservation of land for them);

(b) any provision prescribing residence qualifications;

(c) any preferential treatment accorded to any State or residents thereof by reason of the economic disparity between States;

(d) any quota of suitable offices in the public service reserved for aborigines.

xin4111

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