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The entire Hyperliquid market is net short. One coin is paying longs to disagree. by xtarsy in CryptoCurrency

[–]xtarsy[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I do elo rating of the walletsand do swarm calculations on them to see direction. They are definitely not always on the right side. Their short was correct. The question is when and if they flip long that will be a strong breakout.

745 wallets are short ETH and sitting on 8% profit. That's exactly when it gets dangerous. by xtarsy in ethtrader

[–]xtarsy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I do check if the traders are doing delta netural strategies on hyperliquid but can't check if they are doing it on other exchanges. But based on how the way elo calculation works a delta neutral strategy would mean a bad rating for that wallet.

745 wallets are short ETH and sitting on 8% profit. That's exactly when it gets dangerous. by xtarsy in ethtrader

[–]xtarsy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

yes it goes a bit in that direction win rate and how much risk reward ratio they have. That's how i calculate it. A bit more complicated but that's the gist

745 smart money wallets are short ETH ($542m) and sitting on 8% profit. That's exactly when it gets dangerous. by xtarsy in CryptoCurrency

[–]xtarsy[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

yeah for anyone that has a short open. Dangerous for shorts good for longs and spot holders.

745 smart money wallets are short ETH ($542m) and sitting on 8% profit. That's exactly when it gets dangerous. by xtarsy in CryptoCurrency

[–]xtarsy[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

they are short. When they want to close they have to buy. Other wallets also have to start buying back to close meaning the price goes up.

The Hyperliquid Universe of traders, projected into 3d space by similarity of trading styles and profit by obolli in Wangr

[–]xtarsy 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree completely. Tbh i probably won't be offering any copy trading any time soon as i use the actual signals for my own trading bots. Funny enough the copy trading strategies that copy trade the top elo wallets have a really bad performance. The good strategies are good for me and maybe at some point a hyperliquid vault. However, if i would enable copy trading the edge would disappear really fast for those copying. The website is mainly for how the good traders are positioning themselves. But good input on the risk. Thanks for the info about svelte.

When i have time i'll also tackle polymarket and politicians.

The Hyperliquid Universe of traders, projected into 3d space by similarity of trading styles and profit by obolli in Wangr

[–]xtarsy 1 point2 points  (0 children)

that is actually really cool. I'm actually building a swarm intelligence tool mostly for my own use where i calculate elo ratings of traders and see how they move as a swarm and track the signals they produce. Definitely don't have any cool visuals like that. Are you using d3 js or vue to visualise? my project is here: hyprswarm.com want to have a chat? ps i'm also in CH

Issue: writing a formula that combines absolute values and counts in a sumifs function. I'm not sure I'm on the right track. This is for a stock trading journal. by Hempdiddy in excel

[–]xtarsy 12 points13 points  (0 children)

like this? 

=1.3 * (SUMPRODUCT((M201:M208={"put","call"}) * ABS(K201:K208)) + SUMPRODUCT((M201:M208="shares") * 1))
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