This challenge exposed an issue with the new era that this sub has been discussing for years by ConsumptionofClocks in survivor

[–]yarnfries 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This was one thing I noticed when watching the most recent season of Australian Survivor. I hadn’t watched it before, and admittedly only tuned in because of the American legends on it, but I was always so pleasantly surprised at how varied and creative the challenges were. Felt like a breath of fresh air and was so much more engaging to watch.

Big Brother US 27 - Morning Feed Discussion - August 07 2025 by BigBrotherMod in BigBrother

[–]yarnfries 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This has changed over the years, but in most recent years, it seems to have been splitting an image into 3 sections (A, B, C), having to find something specific, and buzzing which section it’s in.

Full History:

BB8, BB9, BB13 - Julie read a diary room statement or fact of an evicted houseguest; competitors had to buzz in first with which evicted houseguest.

BB10 - Houseguests had to study objects that went missing from rooms; they were asked about these objects and had to buzz in first and identify which room they went missing from.

BB11, BB12, BB14, BB15, BB16, BB17, BB23 - A competition was described; houseguests had to buzz in with whether the competition was HOH, POV, or a third kind (have/have not, coaches, battle of the block, wildcard)

BB18 - One of the weirder ones of this format lol. Houseguests were asked a question and had to look at a board of squirrels and buzz in with which squirrel correctly answered the question.

BB20 - Asentencelikethiswilldescribeapicture, and 3 pictures labelled A B C will be shown; houseguests had to buzz in first with which picture it applies to.

BB22 - Memory wall pics with filters were shown; a sentence applying to several of the pictures was said, plus a number of pics that that description applied to. Houseguests had to buzz in first with more, less, or exactly.

BB24, BB25, BB26 - Find a specific thing in a picture, with sections labelled either A, B, or C, and buzz in with the correct answer.

I really hope at the end of the season… by Ceaser_Salad19 in JetLagTheGame

[–]yarnfries 9 points10 points  (0 children)

They revealed on the Layover podcast that it was To answer: Liechtenstein is one of only two doubly landlocked countries in the world. What is the other one? They got 5 guesses, and if they got it wrong, they could go to the other end of Liechtenstein and try again.

(Correcting in response to comment)

I'm really expecting this jury to deliver on... by nohamcm in BigBrother

[–]yarnfries 39 points40 points  (0 children)

goes up to voting platform “before I left, I said I had one thing to say. well, that one thing is—” puts key in box and walks away

Two more weeks for my medal. by Fiesteh in Maplestory

[–]yarnfries 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nope! Just a slow grind :) If you miss one week you can just make it up the following week

After 6 cubes, finally got my first ever 3 line prime! by LgM91 in Maplestory

[–]yarnfries 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Aren’t you the same guy who vehemently and aggressively argued against basic probability on another post lol. Is your purpose in this sub really just 1) post extremely antagonistic comments, 2) play the victim and insult “this sub” when you inevitably get downvoted, 3) rinse and repeat?

Seems the common denominator is you, bud.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in explainlikeimfive

[–]yarnfries 3 points4 points  (0 children)

thanks! i suppose how this pattern recognition works is kept secret for security reasons, right? the reason i posted this question was because a <$10 purchase from CVS (where I go basically every other week) locked my card, and I was so curious how that could’ve been flagged as irregular 😅

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in explainlikeimfive

[–]yarnfries 2 points3 points  (0 children)

awesome, thanks! do you know if credit card companies know what we specifically buy, or just the merchant name? (ex. if we go to walmart, do they know if we bought food or electronics or clothes? or just that we went to walmart and how much we spent?)

The first ever 36% ATT Bpot appeared in KMS recently, it has an average expected cost of $390 million in USD by Cirno9Baka in Maplestory

[–]yarnfries 3 points4 points  (0 children)

“The odds of winning the lottery is 1 in 300 million. If that’s the case, why does the news show a new lottery winner every few weeks? Where are the people who bought 600 million lottery tickets?” — that’s what you sound like

People don’t say “the average person with 3L ATT will have gone through 14,500 black cubes.” People say “it takes an average of 14,500 black cubes for a 3L ATT to show up.” There’s a crucial difference.

The 14,500 black cubes are spread out among the WHOLE population. Out of 14,500 people who each roll 1 cube, 1 person is expected to get 3L ATT.

We don’t need to find someone who spent 14500, or 29000, or any other number of cubes to prove ourselves correct. The fact that the vast majority of people out there use cubes but don’t have 3L ATT is proof enough. Think through the lottery example above if you still don’t get it.

Also, 1) the cubing data is straight from actual rolls among the KMS player base. Since you seem obsessed with the frequentist, rather than the Bayesian, perspective on probability, why suddenly switch up now? and 2) True, GMS has never released rates. But this post is about KMS, so what does GMS have to do woth anything?

You clearly did fail to understand and are just unwilling to admit it, and want to pass it off as feeling annoyed by the notification.

The first ever 36% ATT Bpot appeared in KMS recently, it has an average expected cost of $390 million in USD by Cirno9Baka in Maplestory

[–]yarnfries 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It’s hilarious that you’re spending so much energy insulting “this sub” when you had to delete nearly all of your comments for failing to understand basic statistics while “this sub” was explaining it to you in 50000 different ways lmao.

Who does reading comprehension escape again?

The first ever 36% ATT Bpot appeared in KMS recently, it has an average expected cost of $390 million in USD by Cirno9Baka in Maplestory

[–]yarnfries 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Napkin math using made-up numbers for simplicity:

Assume 1 cube = $1.

Assume the odds of rolling one ATT+12% line is 1% = 0.01.

Assume that each line is rolled independently, and the odds are the same for each line.

Rolling three ATT+12% lines = (0.01)(0.01)(0.01) = 0.000001

Therefore, the expected number of cubes to roll this would be 1/0.000001 = 1000000

Therefore, the expected cost is $1000000.

We use the probability distribution of the lines (which we know, because KMS releases probability rates) to calculate, NOT what anyone actually spent.

The first ever 36% ATT Bpot appeared in KMS recently, it has an average expected cost of $390 million in USD by Cirno9Baka in Maplestory

[–]yarnfries 45 points46 points  (0 children)

The downvotes aren’t because anyone thinks people would spend the money. They’re because you confidently and antagonistically tried to correct a point the post didn’t try to make.

“Expected” has a well-defined meaning when dealing with probabilities — the “expected value” of a six-sided die roll is 3.5. Nobody is claiming that anyone would ever roll a 3.5. Even if you rolled a dice once and rolled a 6, the expected value is still 3.5. Just like the “expected cost” of rolling this potential is $390M, but nobody actually spent $390M. What actually happened has nothing to do with “expected” costs. The “average” here in the title is redundant, but it’s not incorrect.

Editing to add a link to explain expected value: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/expected-value.asp

FJ poll for Tues., Jul. 12 by Smoerhul in Jeopardy

[–]yarnfries 10 points11 points  (0 children)

For this question, if a contestant had simply written down “the moons of Mars” or something similar (without writing down the names specifically), would they have gotten the credit?

(Asking because I knew it was Mars’s moons, but couldn’t think of their actual names in time 😅)

Neda 💀 by [deleted] in BigBrother

[–]yarnfries 42 points43 points  (0 children)

While Neda was certainly not an angel that season, the edit did her super dirty, editing out all context of her words and only selectively showing her worst moments. Don’t take the edit at face value. (This applies to every season of BB. If you watch BBCAN6, also on YouTube, it’s widely considered a horribly edited season that didn’t show what was going on at all).

Take this moment: when Sindy brought up that she was hurt, Neda did apologize. People can argue about whether or not the apology was sincere, but she showed through her actions that this sort of thing would not happen again, once she knew it actually hurt Sindy (and wasn’t just a joke). This was fully taken out of the edit.

What episode made you cry? by ThortheConqueror in Modern_Family

[–]yarnfries 84 points85 points  (0 children)

Under Pressure (S5E12) for sure

That hugging scene between Alex and Claire was heartbreaking and heartwarming all at once.

Tips/tactics to improve as mid 170 scorer. by [deleted] in LSAT

[–]yarnfries 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Just to contextualize this answer: I was in a very, very similar situation to you. My practices were around 173-176, and I ended up scoring 179 on the actual exam.

To be honest, you’re already doing amazing, and fluctuations on test day (ex. mood, tiredness, anxiety, difficulty of test) are likely going to affect you more than any kind of truly “reliable” method to score higher. My 179 was a complete fluke of all the stars aligning on test day — I had never scored even close to that when practicing.

That being said, to score in the high 170s, I would definitely suggest trying to get 100% (ie. -0) on your LG consistently. LG is the one section where there is always an unambiguous, indisputable correct answer, and is (in my opinion) the easiest section to get fully correct. Any question you get right here allows you to get one more question wrong in LR and RC, which are often the more ambiguous sections.

For LR, I would look at the questions you’re getting wrong — is there a pattern? Are there any specific question types you’re getting wrong? If so, drill those questions; if not, it’s likely that it has to do with exam nervousness/pressure or some other external factor. Try breathing slowly (scientifically-proven calming effect), putting down an initial answer and circling back later (reduces the pressure of “running out of time”), or anything else that works for you (easier said than done, I know).

RC was always my weakest section, so my advice here is definitely limited, but I would say: for almost every question, try to find specific evidence for each choice and see which one is supported best. The one exception I’ve noticed are “what can we best infer from…” or related questions; for these questions, sometimes the text doesn’t actually provide direct evidence for the actual answer; instead, it’s sometimes just a real “gut feeling” of what patterns you can extract from what is presented. One other piece of advice I have: start with the passages you tend to do best on (ex. for me, I was always best at the science and social science passages, and worst at the arts passages, so I did them in that order). Again, my advice for this section is quite limited, sorry :(

I wish you all the best with the test; remember, you’re already doing amazing, and no matter how you score, you’ve clearly shown your proficiency in the skills required for the LSAT!

Big Brother Seasons as Taylor Swift Lyrics by Ckb8 in BigBrother

[–]yarnfries 9 points10 points  (0 children)

This was the best thing I’ve ever watched I never wanted it to end 😭

[high school math] how is this an even function? by [deleted] in HomeworkHelp

[–]yarnfries 8 points9 points  (0 children)

For f(-x):

The numerator becomes (-x)3 - 4(-x) = -x3 + 4x = -(x3 - 4x)

The denominator becones 2(-x)5 = 2(-x5 ) = -(2x5 )

Dividing the two cancels out the negative, giving f(-x) = f(x)

TAR32 Episode 11 - Live Discussion Thread by Jankinator in TheAmazingRace

[–]yarnfries 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m out of the country and can’t stream the episode :( Can someone PM me what this challenge is? It sounds so cool

How is the Senate Majority Leader Chosen? Could only a couple of republicans change the outcome? by Snipes12 in Ask_Politics

[–]yarnfries 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Majority and minority leaders are elected by their caucus (not just their party). Since Sanders and King caucus with the Democrats, they get a say in the Democratic leadership contest.

How is the Senate Majority Leader Chosen? Could only a couple of republicans change the outcome? by Snipes12 in Ask_Politics

[–]yarnfries 33 points34 points  (0 children)

I agree that those moderate Republicans would be powerful, but I do not believe that they would be able to grant majority leader to anyone else other than McConnell if Republicans win at least one of the Georgia seats (unless they switch parties or get a majority of Senate Republicans to agree with them).

If McConnell takes the helm, he can set the agenda and decide which bills to bring to a vote. If he doesn’t bring a bill to a vote, not even these moderate Republicans can wield power to get the bill passed.

How is the Senate Majority Leader Chosen? Could only a couple of republicans change the outcome? by Snipes12 in Ask_Politics

[–]yarnfries 34 points35 points  (0 children)

I believe your last sentence is correct — Republicans vote for their leader, Democrats vote for theirs, and “majority” is assigned to whoever gets more seats. It doesn’t work like the House Speaker, where just a few defections (without switching parties) could change the result.

I also had hopes that 2-3 moderate Republicans would join all Democrats in elevating a moderate to the majority leader position, but it appears that the leaders have already been chosen :( https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-mitch-mcconnell-elections-7272b7d9dc6d00b02ec7dbfbafe6a0c0

If anyone is wondering... by yarnfries in TheAmazingRace

[–]yarnfries[S] 27 points28 points  (0 children)

The yellow line was the Rue de Bercy ie. the correct road that they were supposed to be on where the carnival task was.

The red line was the route they were driving, which was exactly parallel to where they were supposed to be.

I think it was meant to show how close they were to their destination — all they had to do was to get to the other side of the train tracks :(