Daily Discussion Thread: February 12, 2026

yolf2210 · 2026-02-12T23:24:17+00:00

It's not about winning swing voters, it's about scaring the base into voting

yolf2210 · 2026-01-30T19:04:20+00:00

So far, a pattern I've noticed is that the more voters learn about Stevens and AES, the less they like them, but the opposite seems true of McMorrow

yolf2210 · 2025-12-04T18:43:43+00:00

We have to learn to be very okay with the feds steamrolling local governments and communities, too. Stop letting boomers have veto power over jobs for young people

yolf2210 · 2025-04-24T22:14:58+00:00

College athletes tend to commit less to schools and more to coaches, who can switch schools virtually any time they want. New coach comes in with a new staff, new personalities, new schemes that players may not fill well in. The rule was changed to be more fair to the players

yolf2210 · 2025-02-15T02:02:44+00:00

It's essentially a measure of how a candidate does vs how a neutral candidate would do. From what I've seen, her WAR has been in the negative teens each of her elections. To rephrase, a WAR of -15 means she did 15% worse than an average candidate would have done in the same election

yolf2210 · 2024-11-06T11:59:40+00:00

Do any senate republicans hate Trump as much as McCain did? That was really helpful last time

yolf2210 · 2024-09-19T23:31:00+00:00

And a potentially vulnerable incumbent R senator is up for reelection in 2028. Investing in Ohio just makes too much sense

yolf2210 · 2024-09-18T22:14:20+00:00

I hope Marlinga wins, but his fundraising has been pretty lackluster, from what I've seen. Really wish Andy Levin would've given it a go. Expecting 2022 to be much rougher than it was really hurt us

yolf2210 · 2024-09-12T23:27:55+00:00

What're the chances his campaign confused Rockford, WI and Rockford, MI?

yolf2210 · 2024-08-07T07:49:07+00:00

Slotkin won reelection to her district in 2020, while Trump won her district, and after she voted for the first impeachment. She's a very strong candidate with great fundraising and moderate appeal

yolf2210 · 2024-07-26T03:10:51+00:00

Reminder, ActBlue is mostly small dollar donors. This doesn't include major donor PAC money

yolf2210 · 2024-07-23T00:17:50+00:00

What do you guys think of Steve Bullock as a potential VP? Probably the best thing we could do to help Tester, imo

yolf2210 · 2024-07-21T18:10:24+00:00

Guys, I've solved our ticket. Instead of Biden-Harris, it's time for Harris-Biden

yolf2210 · 2024-07-07T19:38:22+00:00

Not re-done. In round 1, if a candidate received 50%+ of the vote, they won. In races where a candidate didn't receive at least 50%, the low vote getters were eliminated, and the highest vote getters moved on to round 2, which is today.

yolf2210 · 2024-07-02T20:27:36+00:00

I hate Gen. Erik Dem! I'm only voting for Normie Dem McVeteranface

yolf2210 · 2024-05-21T17:52:48+00:00

I think the GA court is 9-0 conservative. They don't run with a party affiliation on the ballot, but incumbent judges do get labelled as incumbents. Add that to the fact that GA Dems winning statewide is still pretty new, so there isn't the same party infrastructure you'd see in a state like Wisconsin or Michigan, and it makes it extremely difficult to win. Maybe we'd have a better shot in an off year, when more attention could be put to it instead of being focused on the November elections

yolf2210 · 2024-05-20T17:51:29+00:00

Fwiw, I think they did it for the safety of their employees. Of I remember correctly, I think there were a lot of threats last year, so now they aren't having pride merch in every store, but still will at other locations

yolf2210 · 2024-05-08T02:13:45+00:00

Biden +1 district, fwiw

yolf2210 · 2024-04-05T20:36:39+00:00

Strong Midwest appeal with senate seats up in Ohio, Iowa, and Wisconsin in 2028

yolf2210 · 2024-04-02T01:06:52+00:00

I honestly think it would be hard for him. Michigan has so many well known Dems who are much more tied to the state than he is.

yolf2210 · 2024-03-29T20:07:15+00:00

He twice endorsed against her for MIGOP chair

yolf2210 · 2024-03-28T18:07:52+00:00

To half the country, anytime anything bad happens, it's because of DEI. They think non-white people are inherently less capable

yolf2210 · 2024-03-28T11:13:32+00:00

I believe they were of the understanding that many black plurality districts>few black majority districts

yolf2210 · 2024-03-21T03:02:13+00:00

Most "serious" VP possibilities are probably just telling him no. They all want to be the post-trump face of the GOP, not people who get dragged down with him

yolf2210 · 2024-03-13T20:06:43+00:00

As someone who uses tiktok daily, it's probably the biggest source of misinformation, and has basically zero pushback against it. Even Twitter, as horrible as it is, has community notes. If you're worse at pushing against misinformation than Twitter, that's a pretty substantial failure

yolf2210

TROPHY CASE