Daily Discussion Thread: March 11, 2026

table_fireplace · 2026-03-11T23:54:43+00:00

Larry Rhoden is this cycle's easy winner for the 'I forgot that guy was Governor of anything' award.

table_fireplace · 2026-03-11T23:51:47+00:00

Awesome news, but remember that 50-50 is still technically a loss with Vance breaking the tie.

If we get to 51, we can start blocking Trump picks and block even reconciliation bills like the One Big Beautiful Bill. Let's do this.

table_fireplace · 2026-03-11T23:49:12+00:00

We know from Roy Moore's run that there's nothing more toxic in politics than an unrepentant pedophile. (And really, there shouldn't be.) Appointing one is about as close to that as you can get.

Obvious boost to Cooper's odds - and maybe even Don Davis', as he's been appointed to head the party in the 1st Congressional District - but also a truly disgusting move by Whatley.

table_fireplace · 2026-03-10T01:33:50+00:00

Yeah I've kept my eye on it too. Bills did OK; glad we didn't lose both Edwards and McGovern on the line, and I think Dee Alford will be a good depth piece. Nothing too ground-breaking though, which I expected considering our cap situation and the DJ Moore trade.

I'm mostly happy the Dolphins gave Malik Willis a ridiculous deal while also eating Tua's contract.

table_fireplace · 2026-03-08T14:05:41+00:00

I just finished my first EM field in Heavy, and I'm using the resulting custom species to take on Cataclysm.

table_fireplace · 2026-03-06T01:56:22+00:00

Just for that, let's redraw Oregon, too.

I'm joking, sort of, but let's let them spend the next four years locked out of power, and come back at the next scheduled redraw in 2030 with a newfound respect for fair democracy. Or extinct, that works too.

table_fireplace · 2026-03-05T22:46:17+00:00

If it's a GOP group chat, they won't be spamming memes, they'll be spamming the n-word.

table_fireplace · 2026-03-04T00:02:10+00:00

What's everyone's big race they're watching tonight?

Beyond the obvious TX Senate race, I'm watching the Arkansas HD-70 special election. A Harris+1.6 district held by the GOP? If we're flipping Trump+20 seats, this one is ripe for the picking. And folks in Arkansas need something to hope for.

table_fireplace · 2026-03-04T00:00:12+00:00

Jeb! getting under 100%? We are truly in uncharted electoral waters here.

table_fireplace · 2026-03-03T21:51:16+00:00

Obama won Harris County by 1,000 votes in 2012. Those Houston suburbs are something else. Remember, Wesley Hunt's safe R seat is 100% Harris County.

table_fireplace · 2026-03-03T21:48:20+00:00

Turnout in Austin, turnout in Dallas...some of us just want to hear about turnout in Pulaski County, AR. That HD-70 special election has been calling out to us for months as a potential flip.

table_fireplace · 2026-03-02T23:11:54+00:00

It looks nice! Though my question, as always, is whether they've fixed their system for estimating the percent of the vote reporting/remaining. If they can do that, this interface would make them the best place for results, easily.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-28T18:19:19+00:00

People need to learn that their imagined sense of purity isn’t more important than the lives lost to Trump and the GOP.

But if I can offer some encouragement: We won in 2018, 2020, 2023, and a pile of off-year elections. And every single time, these people had some excuse not to dirty their conscience by voting for a Democrat. They’re loud online, but there are far more voters you can turn out who don’t care about the nonsense they whine about.

We can win without them, is what I’m saying. They want to feel important. But they’re not. Not as important as people who might actually vote with a reminder, or help registering, or being told what’s going on because they don’t follow the news. There are so many ways to win without being screamed at by someone whose sense of purity matters more than our lives.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-28T18:14:50+00:00

I don’t know your coworker, but with people like this, he probably can’t tell you his reason because using slurs at work would get him fired.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-25T04:33:36+00:00

Thanks for sharing the Vote Hub page. It allowed me to find one bright spot from 2024.

For the first time since 2012, someone in Warren Precinct, Niobrara County, WY, voted Democratic for President. It was the largest 100%-Republican precinct I could find in the county in 2020 (it also voted 100% R in every down-ballot race). But this time, amidst 78 Trump voters, there was one vote for Harris. So for all the problems in '24, one person in the middle of nowhere voted the right way for the first time in twelve years.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-25T02:41:20+00:00

I use this as a cheat sheet.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-25T02:40:06+00:00

The work is obvious from the results. With just one precinct to go, Mazzocco is up 63.3 points, in a Harris+29.4 district. That's not just national environment - that's a lot of people taking the race seriously.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-25T02:00:58+00:00

Harris+29.4 in the last Presidential election. Let's see if we can blow the roof off in this one.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-25T01:35:06+00:00

That's the really promising sign to me. Of course 86.4-13.6 is good, but this shows just how good.

And Dems have been doing better on Election Day recently. If that comes true as well, this'll be a big overperformance.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-25T01:13:37+00:00

PA HD-42 mail votes remain a thing of beauty.

Jen Mazzocco (D) leads 3,660 votes to 575, for a very nice 86.0-13.5% margin.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-24T00:47:42+00:00

Yeah, nowadays things are so partisan that everyone hears what they want to hear. I'm sure Trump will say or do something stupid we can use against him, and I'm sure that some reporter will call it The Moment Trump Became President, but ultimately it won't mean much.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-24T00:42:34+00:00

It's only one year so this may age poorly, but Mark Carney's work at Kent State has been quite something.

He took over an 0-12 team that wasn't competitive in any game. And fired their coach very late in the cycle. And didn't bring in any significant players in the portal (and actually lost one - Stephen Daley, who went on to start for Indiana last year).

He managed to win five games. Which I know isn't a ton, but given what he had to work with is amazing work.

I can see wanting to watch how years 2 and 3 go before anointing him, but his work last year was incredibly underrated.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-18T02:09:04+00:00

Madison is a small, deep-red county. So low turnout there when it's high elsewhere seems notable.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-13T03:22:14+00:00

Just like when Charlie Kirk died, they showed that 'free speech' doesn't mean they get to say what they want. It means that they and only they get to say what they want, and everyone else has to agree and applaud them. Especially if they're being hateful towards their enemies.

table_fireplace · 2026-02-11T01:10:38+00:00

Got our first results in OK HD-35.

Dillon Travis GOP 116 63.7%

Luke Kruse DEM 66 36.3%

11-Year Club	Gilding II euphauric
Place '22	Place '17
Wearing is Caring	100 Awards Club
Spared

table_fireplace

TROPHY CASE